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We propose a model to forecast large realized covariance matrices of returns, applying it to the constituents of the S\&P 500 daily. To address the curse of dimensionality, we decompose the return covariance matrix using standard firm-level…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-03-29 Rafael Alves , Diego S. de Brito , Marcelo C. Medeiros , Ruy M. Ribeiro

In this paper, we study the asymptotic behavior of the extreme eigenvalues and eigenvectors of the high dimensional spiked sample covariance matrices, in the supercritical case when a reliable detection of spikes is possible. Especially, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-04 Zhigang Bao , Xiucai Ding , Jingming Wang , Ke Wang

The paper considers linear regression problems where the number of predictor variables is possibly larger than the sample size. The basic motivation of the study is to combine the points of view of model selection and functional regression…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-02-24 Alois Kneip , Pascal Sarda

Long-run covariance matrix estimation is the building block of time series inference. The corresponding difference-based estimator, which avoids detrending, has attracted considerable interest due to its robustness to both smooth and abrupt…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-29 Lujia Bai , Weichi Wu

Relying on recent advances in statistical estimation of covariance distances based on random matrix theory, this article proposes an improved covariance and precision matrix estimation for a wide family of metrics. The method is shown to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-03 Malik Tiomoko , Florent Bouchard , Guillaume Ginholac , Romain Couillet

Regression models with both high-dimensional responses and covariates have attracted growing attention. Standard multivariate regression models become inadequate when the response variables depend not only on observed covariates but also on…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-01 Jing Ouyang , Chengyu Cui , Yunxiao Chen , Kean Ming Tan , Gongjun Xu

This work presents a detailed covariance and correlation matrix analysis for experimentally measured cross sections obtained using the activation technique. Both statistical and systematic contributions to the covariance matrix were…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2026-04-01 Tanmoy Bar

This paper studies the principal component (PC) method-based estimation of weak factor models with sparse loadings. We uncover an intrinsic near-sparsity preservation property for the PC estimators of loadings, which comes from the…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-11-08 Jie Wei , Yonghui Zhang

Cluster-weighted factor analyzers (CWFA) are a versatile class of mixture models designed to estimate the joint distribution of a random vector that includes a response variable along with a set of explanatory variables. They are…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-07 Xiaoke Qin , Francesca Martella , Sanjeena Subedi

Early work established convergence of the principal component estimators of the factors and loadings up to a rotation for large dimensional approximate factor models with weak factors in that the factor loading $\Lambda^{(0)}$ scales…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-12 Yong He , Dong Liu , Yunjing Sun , Yalin Wang

This paper introduces a Projected Principal Component Analysis (Projected-PCA), which employs principal component analysis to the projected (smoothed) data matrix onto a given linear space spanned by covariates. When it applies to…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-01-18 Jianqing Fan , Yuan Liao , Weichen Wang

Estimating a covariance matrix is an important task in applications where the number of variables is larger than the number of observations. Shrinkage approaches for estimating a high-dimensional covariance matrix are often employed to…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-18 Anestis Touloumis

Estimations and applications of factor models often rely on the crucial condition that the number of latent factors is consistently estimated, which in turn also requires that factors be relatively strong, data are stationary and weak…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-05 Jianqing Fan , Yuan Liao

It is common in machine learning to estimate a response $y$ given covariate information $x$. However, these predictions alone do not quantify any uncertainty associated with said predictions. One way to overcome this deficiency is with…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-25 Chancellor Johnstone , Eugene Ndiaye

Regressions are commonly used in environmental science and economics to identify causal or associative relationships between variables. In these settings, remote sensing-derived map products increasingly serve as sources of variables,…

Applications · Statistics 2025-07-04 Kerri Lu , Dan M. Kluger , Stephen Bates , Sherrie Wang

The multinomial probit model is a popular tool for analyzing choice behaviour as it allows for correlation between choice alternatives. Because current model specifications employ a full covariance matrix of the latent utilities for the…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-03-25 Ruben Loaiza-Maya , Didier Nibbering

Many scientific questions in biomedical, environmental, and psychological research involve understanding the effects of multiple factors on outcomes. While factorial experiments are ideal for this purpose, randomized controlled treatment…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-03 Ruoqi Yu , Peng Ding

Fitting high-dimensional data involves a delicate tradeoff between faithful representation and the use of sparse models. Too often, sparsity assumptions on the fitted model are too restrictive to provide a faithful representation of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-12-17 Majid Janzamin , Animashree Anandkumar

Algorithms that detect covariance between pairs of columns in multiple sequence alignments are commonly employed to predict functionally important residues and structural contacts. However, the assumption that co-variance only occurs…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2014-01-07 Kyle E. Kreth , Anthony A. Fodor

Weighting methods are essential tools for estimating causal effects in observational studies, with the goal of balancing pre-treatment covariates across treatment groups. Traditional approaches pursue this objective indirectly, for example,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-09 Diptanil Santra , Guanhua Chen , Chan Park
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