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The paper deals with a family of jump Markov process defined in a medium with a periodic or locally periodic microstructure. We assume that the generator of the process is a zero order convolution type operator with rapidly oscillating…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-22 Andrey Piatnitski , Sergei Pirogov , Elena Zhizhina

Bifurcating Markov chains (BMC) are Markov chains indexed by a full binary tree representing the evolution of a trait along a population where each individual has two children. Motivated by the functional estimation of the density of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-17 S. Valère Bitseki Penda , Jean-François Delmas

A stable-like Markov chain is a time-homogeneous Markov chain on the real line with the transition kernel $p(x,dy)=f_x(y-x)dy$, where the density functions $f_x(y)$, for large $|y|$, have a power-law decay with exponent $\alpha(x)+1$, where…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-01 Nikola Sandrić

This paper is devoted to the study of a stochastic process obtained by random switching between a finite collection of vector fields. Such processes have recently been the focus of much attention in the case where the switching times are…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-01 Tobias Hurth , Edouard Strickler

We consider importance sampling as well as other properly weighted samples with respect to a target distribution $\pi$ from a different point of view. By considering the associated weights as sojourn times until the next jump, we define…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 S. Malefaki , G. Iliopoulos

We consider the problems of parameter estimation for several models of threshold ergodic diffusion processes in the asymptotics of large samples. These models are the direct continuous time analogues of the well-known in time series…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-03-19 Yury A. Kutoyants

The paper deals with the asymptotic properties of a random jump process in a high contrast periodic medium in $\mathbb R^d$, $d\geq 1$. We show that if the coordinates of the random jump process in $\mathbb R^d$ are equipped with an extra…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-13 Andrey Piatnitski , Elena Zhizhina

Switching dynamical systems provide a powerful, interpretable modeling framework for inference in time-series data in, e.g., the natural sciences or engineering applications. Since many areas, such as biology or discrete-event systems, are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-30 Lukas Köhs , Bastian Alt , Heinz Koeppl

For a class of locally (but not necessarily uniformly) Lipschitz continuous $d$-dimensional observables over a Gibbs-Markov system, we show that convergence of (suitably normalized and centered) ergodic sums to a non-Gaussian stable vector…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-10-05 David Kocheim , Fabian Pühringer , Roland Zweimüller

We revisit classic ergodic large-deviation principles: for the occupation measure (Donsker-Varadhan), and for the empirical flux. We show that these problems can be embedded into a more general, discrete-time framework. A conditioning and…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-02 D. R. Michiel Renger

In this paper we consider an additive functional of an observable $V(x)$ of a Markov jump process. We assume that the law of the expected jump time $t(x)$ under the invariant probability measure $\pi$ of the skeleton chain belongs to the…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-10-07 Milton Jara , Tomasz Komorowski

Markov jump process models have many applications across science. Often, these models are defined on a state-space of product form and only one of the components of the process is of direct interest. In this paper, we extend the marginal…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2018-06-28 Leo Bronstein , Heinz Koeppl

We consider a piecewise-deterministic Markov process governed by a jump intensity function, a rate function that determines the behaviour between jumps, and a stochastic kernel describing the conditional distribution of jump sizes. We study…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-09-22 K. A. Borovkov , G. Last

In this paper, we consider a multidimensional ergodic diffusion with jumps driven by a Brownian motion and a Poisson random measure associated with a pure-jump L\'evy process with finite L\'evy measure, whose drift coefficient depends on an…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-30 Arturo Kohatsu-Higa , Eulalia Nualart , Ngoc Khue Tran

We consider a discrete time hidden Markov model where the signal is a stationary Markov chain. When conditioned on the observations, the signal is a Markov chain in a random environment under the conditional measure. It is shown that this…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-24 Ramon van Handel

Markov jump processes are continuous-time stochastic processes with a wide range of applications in both natural and social sciences. Despite their widespread use, inference in these models is highly non-trivial and typically proceeds via…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-01 Patrick Seifner , Ramses J. Sanchez

The transition law of every exchangeable Feller process on the space of countable graphs is determined by a $\sigma$-finite measure on the space of $\{0,1\}\times\{0,1\}$-valued arrays. In discrete-time, this characterization amounts to a…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-23 Harry Crane

For affine processes on finite-dimensional cones, we give criteria for geometric ergodicity - that is exponentially fast convergence to a unique stationary distribution. Ergodic results include both the existence of exponential moments of…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-12 Eberhard Mayerhofer , Robert Stelzer , Johanna Vestweber

We study a class of Markov processes that combine local dynamics, arising from a fixed Markov process, with regenerations arising at a state-dependent rate. We give conditions under which such processes possess a given target distribution…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-06 Andi Q. Wang , Murray Pollock , Gareth O. Roberts , David Steinsaltz

In this article, we introduce \textit{Mallows processes}, defined to be continuous-time c\`adl\`ag processes with Mallows distributed marginals. We show that such processes exist and that they can be restricted to have certain natural…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-11 Benoît Corsini