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Marginal structural models are a popular tool for investigating the effects of time-varying treatments, but they require an assumption of no unobserved confounders between the treatment and outcome. With observational data, this assumption…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-10 Matthew Blackwell , Soichiro Yamauchi

Bounds on the log partition function are important in a variety of contexts, including approximate inference, model fitting, decision theory, and large deviations analysis. We introduce a new class of upper bounds on the log partition…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-01-07 Martin Wainwright , Tommi S. Jaakkola , Alan Willsky

We consider the chance-constrained program (CCP) with random right-hand side under a finite discrete distribution. It is known that the standard mixed integer linear programming (MILP) reformulation of the CCP is generally difficult to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-01-28 Wei Lv , Wei-Kun Chen , Yu-Hong Dai , Xiao-Jiao Tong

The ill-posedness of the inverse problem of recovering a regression function in a nonparametric instrumental variable model leads to estimators that may suffer from a very slow, logarithmic rate of convergence. In this paper, we show that…

Applications · Statistics 2017-09-27 Denis Chetverikov , Daniel Wilhelm

In decision theoretic estimation of parameters in Euclidean space $\mathbb{R}^p$, the action space is chosen to be the convex closure of the estimand space. In this paper, the concept has been extended to the estimation of circular…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-06-28 Kanika , Somesh Kumar

A convex envelope for the problem of finding the best approximation to a given matrix with a prescribed rank is constructed. This convex envelope allows the usage of traditional optimization techniques when additional constraints are added…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2016-08-30 Fredrik Andersson , Marcus Carlsson , Carl Olsson

We consider the matrix completion problem under a form of row/column weighted entrywise sampling, including the case of uniform entrywise sampling as a special case. We analyze the associated random observation operator, and prove that with…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2011-05-17 Sahand Negahban , Martin J. Wainwright

Composite optimization problems involve minimizing the composition of a smooth map with a convex function. Such objectives arise in numerous data science and signal processing applications, including phase retrieval, blind deconvolution,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-06 Mateo Díaz , Liwei Jiang , Abdel Ghani Labassi

Distributional regression aims at estimating the conditional distribution of a targetvariable given explanatory co-variates. It is a crucial tool for forecasting whena precise uncertainty quantification is required. A popular methodology…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-22 Clément Dombry , Ahmed Zaoui

We consider random binary trees that appear as the output of certain standard algorithms for sorting and searching if the input is random. We introduce the subtree size metric on search trees and show that the resulting metric spaces…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-05-06 Rudolf Grübel

We develop new techniques for rounding packing integer programs using iterative randomized rounding. It is based on a novel application of multidimensional Brownian motion in $\mathbb{R}^n$. Let $\overset{\sim}{x} \in {[0,1]}^n$ be a…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2015-07-31 Dhiraj Madan , Sandeep Sen

This paper investigates a category of constrained fractional optimization problems that emerge in various practical applications. The objective function for this category is characterized by the ratio of a numerator and denominator, both…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-28 Yizun Lin , Jian-Feng Cai , Zhao-Rong Lai , Cheng Li

We study the role of the constraint set in determining the solution to low-rank, positive semidefinite (PSD) matrix sensing problems. The setting we consider involves rank-one sensing matrices: In particular, given a set of rank-one…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-04-07 T. Mitchell Roddenberry , Santiago Segarra , Anastasios Kyrillidis

Confounding is a significant obstacle to unbiased estimation of causal effects from observational data. For settings with high-dimensional covariates -- such as text data, genomics, or the behavioral social sciences -- researchers have…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-02-01 Katherine A. Keith , Sergey Feldman , David Jurgens , Jonathan Bragg , Rohit Bhattacharya

When a linear model is adjusted to control for additional explanatory variables the sign of a fitted coefficient may reverse. Here these reversals are studied using coefficients of determination. The resulting theory can be used to…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-11 Brian Knaeble , Seth Dutter

Probabilistic solvers for ordinary differential equations assign a posterior measure to the solution of an initial value problem. The joint covariance of this distribution provides an estimate of the (global) approximation error. The…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-02-23 Nathanael Bosch , Philipp Hennig , Filip Tronarp

Conformal Prediction (CP) is a principled framework for quantifying uncertainty in blackbox learning models, by constructing prediction sets with finite-sample coverage guarantees. Traditional approaches rely on scalar nonconformity scores,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-07 Gauthier Thurin , Kimia Nadjahi , Claire Boyer

Principal component analysis (PCA) requires the computation of a low-rank approximation to a matrix containing the data being analyzed. In many applications of PCA, the best possible accuracy of any rank-deficient approximation is at most a…

Computation · Statistics 2010-06-04 Vladimir Rokhlin , Arthur Szlam , Mark Tygert

For many applications in signal processing and machine learning, we are tasked with minimizing a large sum of convex functions subject to a large number of convex constraints. In this paper, we devise a new random projection method (RPM) to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-04-08 Zhichun Yang , Fu-quan Xia , Kai Tu , Man-Chung Yue

We propose a principled method for autoencoding with random forests. Our strategy builds on foundational results from nonparametric statistics and spectral graph theory to learn a low-dimensional embedding of the model that optimally…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-16 Binh Duc Vu , Jan Kapar , Marvin Wright , David S. Watson