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We present an explicit unified stochastic model of fluctuations in population size due to random birth, death, density-dependent competition and environmental fluctuations. Stochastic dynamics provide insight into small populations,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2008-07-31 Alexei J. Drummond , Peter D. Drummond

The Verhulst model is probably the best known macroscopic rate equation in population ecology. It depends on two parameters, the intrinsic growth rate and the carrying capacity. These parameters can be estimated for different populations…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-19 Vicenç Méndez , Michael Assaf , Daniel Campos , Werner Horsthemke

We consider extinction times for a class of birth-death processes commonly found in applications, where there is a control parameter which determines whether the population quickly becomes extinct, or rather persists for a long time. We…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 Charles R. Doering , Khachik V. Sargsyan , Leonard M. Sander

In large but finite populations, weak demographic stochasticity due to random birth and death events can lead to population extinction. The process is analogous to the escaping problem of trapped particles under random forces. Methods…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-11-28 Xiaoquan Yu , Xiang-Yi Li

In this work we construct individual-based models that give rise to the generalized logistic model at the mean-field deterministic level and that allow us to interpret the parameters of these models in terms of individual interactions. We…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-09-13 Vicenc Mendez , Michael Assaf , Werner Horsthemke , Daniel Campos

We propose a new deterministic growth model which captures certain features of both the Gompertz and Korf laws. We investigate its main properties, with special attention to the correction factor, the relative growth rate, the inflection…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-10-31 Antonio Di Crescenzo , Serena Spina

We propose a model based on coupled multiplicative stochastic processes to understand the dynamics of competing species in an ecosystem. This process can be conveniently described by a Fokker-Planck equation. We provide an analytical…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-03-13 Simone Pigolotti , Alessandro Flammini , Amos Maritan

Populations of competing biological species exhibit a fascinating interplay between the nonlinear dynamics of evolutionary selection forces and random fluctuations arising from the stochastic nature of the interactions. The processes…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-05-08 A. Dobrinevski , E. Frey

The extinction of a single species due to demographic stochasticity is analyzed. The discrete nature of the individual agents and the Poissonian noise related to the birth-death processes result in local extinction of a metastable…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-11-13 David A. Kessler , Nadav M. Shnerb

Extinction is the ultimate absorbing state of any stochastic birth-death process, hence the time to extinction is an important characteristic of any natural population. Here we consider logistic and logistic-like systems under the combined…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-03-27 Yitzhak Yahalom , Nadav M. Shnerb

In this study, spatial stochastic and logistic model (SSLM) describing dynamics of a population of a certain species was analysed. The behaviour of the extinction threshold as a function of model parameters was studied. More specifically,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-10-28 Yevheniia Soroka , Bogdan Rublyov

In this paper, we formulate a stochastic logistic fish growth model driven by both white noise and non-Gaussian noise. We focus our study on the mean time to extinction, escape probability to measure the noise-induced extinction probability…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-03 A. Tesfay , D. Tesfay , A. Khalaf , J. Brannan

Stochastic fluctuations are central to the understanding of extinction dynamics. In the context of population models they allow for the description of the transition from the vicinity of a non-trivial fixed point of the deterministic…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-08-04 Claudia Cianci , Duccio Fanelli , Alan J. McKane

We consider the extinction regime in the spatial stochastic logistic model in $\mathbb{R}^d$ (a.k.a. Bolker--Pacala--Dieckmann--Law model of spatial populations) using the first-order perturbation beyond the mean-field equation. In space…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-07 Dmitri Finkelshtein

This paper deals with the analysis of stochastic systems which can be described by a Langevin equation. By the method presented in this paper drift and diffusion terms of the corresponding Fokker-Planck equation can be extracted from the…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-31 S. Siegert , R. Friedrich , J. Peinke

The spatial logistic model is a system of point entities (particles) in $\mathbb{R}^d$ which reproduce themselves at distant points (dispersal) and die, also due to competition. The states of such systems are probability measures on the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2014-08-19 Yuri Kozitsky

A parameter estimation problem for a class of semilinear stochastic evolution equations is considered. Conditions for consistency and asymptotic normality are given in terms of growth and continuity properties of the nonlinear part.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-26 Gregor Pasemann , Wilhelm Stannat

This paper investigates the dynamics of biomass in a marine ecosystem. A stochastic process is defined in which organisms undergo jumps in body size as they catch and eat smaller organisms. Using a systematic expansion of the master…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2010-01-11 Samik Datta , Gustav W. Delius , Richard Law

In this paper, we consider stochastic versions of three classical growth models given by ordinary differential equations (ODEs). Indeed we use stochastic versions of Von Bertalanffy, Gompertz, and Logistic differential equations as models.…

Applications · Statistics 2023-12-22 F. Baltazar-Larios , F. J. Delgado-Vences , A. Ornelas Vargas

In numerous papers, the behaviour of stochastic population models is investigated through the sign of a real quantity which is the growth rate of the population near the extinction set. In many cases, it is proven that when this growth rate…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-06 Dang H. Nguyen , Edouard Strickler
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