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Recent research in robust optimization has shown an overfitting-like phenomenon in which models trained against adversarial attacks exhibit higher robustness on the training set compared to the test set. Although previous work provided…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-24 Zifan Wang , Nan Ding , Tomer Levinboim , Xi Chen , Radu Soricut

Bayesian inference provides a principled probabilistic framework for quantifying uncertainty by updating beliefs based on prior knowledge and observed data through Bayes' theorem. In Bayesian deep learning, neural network weights are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-22 Yijie Zhang

This paper is focused on dimension-free PAC-Bayesian bounds, under weak polynomial moment assumptions, allowing for heavy tailed sample distributions. It covers the estimation of the mean of a vector or a matrix, with applications to least…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-01-03 Olivier Catoni , Ilaria Giulini

Datasets are rarely a realistic approximation of the target population. Say, prevalence is misrepresented, image quality is above clinical standards, etc. This mismatch is known as sampling bias. Sampling biases are a major hindrance for…

A standard approach in pattern classification is to estimate the distributions of the label classes, and then to apply the Bayes classifier to the estimates of the distributions in order to classify unlabeled examples. As one might expect,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Nick Palmer , Paul W. Goldberg

Bayesian optimisation has proven to be a powerful tool for expensive global black-box optimisation problems. In this paper, we propose new Bayesian optimisation variants of the popular Knowledge Gradient acquisition functions for problems…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-22 Xietao Wang Lin , Juan Ungredda , Max Butler , James Town , Alma Rahat , Hemant Singh , Juergen Branke

We propose a general framework for studying adaptive regret bounds in the online learning framework, including model selection bounds and data-dependent bounds. Given a data- or model-dependent bound we ask, "Does there exist some algorithm…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-14 Dylan J. Foster , Alexander Rakhlin , Karthik Sridharan

We present a new family of information-theoretic generalization bounds, in which the training loss and the population loss are compared through a jointly convex function. This function is upper-bounded in terms of the disintegrated,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-28 Fredrik Hellström , Giuseppe Durisi

This paper presents four theoretical contributions that improve the usability of risk certificates for neural networks based on PAC-Bayes bounds. First, two bounds on the KL divergence between Bernoulli distributions enable the derivation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-12 Diego García-Pérez , Emilio Parrado-Hernández , John Shawe-Taylor

A general class of Bayesian lower bounds when the underlying loss function is a Bregman divergence is demonstrated. This class can be considered as an extension of the Weinstein--Weiss family of bounds for the mean squared error and relies…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2020-06-17 Alex Dytso , Michael Fauß , H. Vincent Poor

The developments of Rademacher complexity and PAC-Bayesian theory have been largely independent. One exception is the PAC-Bayes theorem of Kakade, Sridharan, and Tewari (2008), which is established via Rademacher complexity theory by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-03 Jun Yang , Shengyang Sun , Daniel M. Roy

We establish a generic theoretical tool to construct probabilistic bounds for algorithms where the output is a subset of objects from an initial pool of candidates (or more generally, a probability distribution on said pool). This general…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Gilles Blanchard , François Fleuret

We study a two-level multiview learning with more than two views under the PAC-Bayesian framework. This approach, sometimes referred as late fusion, consists in learning sequentially multiple view-specific classifiers at the first level,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-07-14 Anil Goyal , Emilie Morvant , Pascal Germain , Massih-Reza Amini

Inductive Conformal Prediction (ICP) provides a practical and effective approach for equipping deep learning models with uncertainty estimates in the form of set-valued predictions which are guaranteed to contain the ground truth with high…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-11 Apoorva Sharma , Sushant Veer , Asher Hancock , Heng Yang , Marco Pavone , Anirudha Majumdar

Data-driven algorithms can adapt their internal structure or parameters to inputs from unknown application-specific distributions, by learning from a training sample of inputs. Several recent works have applied this approach to problems in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-17 Peter Bartlett , Piotr Indyk , Tal Wagner

Conformal prediction methodology has recently been extended to the covariate shift setting, where the distribution of covariates differs between training and test data. While existing results ensure that the prediction sets from these…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-09 Mehrdad Pournaderi , Yu Xiang

Early-exit neural networks enable adaptive computation by allowing confident predictions to exit at intermediate layers, achieving 2-8$\times$ inference speedup. Despite widespread deployment, their generalization properties lack…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-20 Dongxin Guo , Jikun Wu , Siu Ming Yiu

In this paper, we derive generalization bounds for the two primary classes of graph neural networks (GNNs), namely graph convolutional networks (GCNs) and message passing GNNs (MPGNNs), via a PAC-Bayesian approach. Our result reveals that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-15 Renjie Liao , Raquel Urtasun , Richard Zemel

The posterior variance of Gaussian processes is a valuable measure of the learning error which is exploited in various applications such as safe reinforcement learning and control design. However, suitable analysis of the posterior variance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-05 Armin Lederer , Jonas Umlauft , Sandra Hirche

We show that dropout training is best understood as performing MAP estimation concurrently for a family of conditional models whose objectives are themselves lower bounded by the original dropout objective. This discovery allows us to pick…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-09-28 Gábor Melis , Charles Blundell , Tomáš Kočiský , Karl Moritz Hermann , Chris Dyer , Phil Blunsom