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It has repeatedly been observed that loss minimization by stochastic gradient descent (SGD) leads to heavy-tailed distributions of neural network parameters. Here, we analyze a continuous diffusion approximation of SGD, called homogenized…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-05 Zhe Jiao , Martin Keller-Ressel

Score-based diffusion models have become a powerful framework for generative modeling, with score estimation as a central statistical bottleneck. Existing guarantees for score estimation largely focus on light-tailed targets or rely on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-13 Yifeng Yu , Lu Yu

This article is devoted to the study of tail index estimation based on i.i.d. multivariate observations, drawn from a standard heavy-tailed distribution, i.e. of which 1-d Pareto-like marginals share the same tail index. A multivariate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-04-10 Stéphan Clémençon , Antoine Dematteo

We describe a general reduction technique for analyzing learning algorithms that are subject to light-tailed (but not necessarily bounded) randomness, a scenario that is often the focus of theoretical analysis. We show that the analysis of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-21 Amit Attia , Tomer Koren

We study the fundamental problem of estimating the mean of a $d$-dimensional distribution with covariance $\Sigma \preccurlyeq \sigma^2 I_d$ given $n$ samples. When $d = 1$, \cite{catoni} showed an estimator with error $(1+o(1)) \cdot…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-02-20 Shivam Gupta , Samuel B. Hopkins , Eric Price

Forecasting multivariate time series is a computationally intensive task challenged by extreme or redundant samples. Recent resampling methods aim to increase training efficiency by reweighting samples based on their running losses.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-21 Jiang You , Arben Cela , René Natowicz , Jacob Ouanounou , Patrick Siarry

We study the performance of the Least Squares Estimator (LSE) in a general nonparametric regression model, when the errors are independent of the covariates but may only have a $p$-th moment ($p\geq 1$). In such a heavy-tailed regression…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-07-17 Qiyang Han , Jon A. Wellner

Real-world data is laden with outlying values. The challenge for machine learning is that the learner typically has no prior knowledge of whether the feedback it receives (losses, gradients, etc.) will be heavy-tailed or not. In this work,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-16 Matthew J. Holland

Non-parametric estimation of a convex discrete distribution may be of interest in several applications, such as the estimation of species abundance distribution in ecology. In this paper we study the least squares estimator of a discrete…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-02-29 Cécile Durot , François Koladjo , Sylvie Huet , Stéphane Robin

We consider distributed estimation of the inverse covariance matrix, also called the concentration or precision matrix, in Gaussian graphical models. Traditional centralized estimation often requires global inference of the covariance…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-06-15 Zhaoshi Meng , Dennis Wei , Ami Wiesel , Alfred O. Hero

We study in this paper the problem of least absolute deviation (LAD) regression for high-dimensional heavy-tailed time series which have finite $\alpha$-th moment with $\alpha \in (1,2]$. To handle the heavy-tailed dependent data, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-11 Yu Wang , Guodong Li , Zhijie Xiao , Lihu Xu , Wenyang Zhang

We propose communication-efficient distributed estimation and inference methods for the transelliptical graphical model, a semiparametric extension of the elliptical distribution in the high dimensional regime. In detail, the proposed…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-12-30 Pan Xu , Lu Tian , Quanquan Gu

The problem of least squares regression of a $d$-dimensional unknown parameter is considered. A stochastic gradient descent based algorithm with weighted iterate-averaging that uses a single pass over the data is studied and its convergence…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-06-10 Kobi Cohen , Angelia Nedic , R. Srikant

Motivated by the prominence of Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR) as a measure for tail risk in settings affected by uncertainty, we develop a new formula for approximating CVaR based optimization objectives and their gradients from limited…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-25 Anand Deo , Karthyek Murthy

We study the problem of high-dimensional sparse mean estimation in the presence of an $\epsilon$-fraction of adversarial outliers. Prior work obtained sample and computationally efficient algorithms for this task for identity-covariance…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2024-07-08 Ilias Diakonikolas , Daniel M. Kane , Sushrut Karmalkar , Ankit Pensia , Thanasis Pittas

Concentration inequalities form an essential toolkit in the study of high dimensional (HD) statistical methods. Most of the relevant statistics literature in this regard is based on sub-Gaussian or sub-exponential tail assumptions. In this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-09 Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla , Abhishek Chakrabortty

We tackle estimating sparse coefficients in a linear regression when the covariates are sampled from an $L$-subexponential random vector. This vector belongs to a class of distributions that exhibit heavier tails than Gaussian random…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-02-07 Takeyuki Sasai

We study the problem of heavy-tailed mean estimation in settings where the variance of the data-generating distribution does not exist. Concretely, given a sample $\mathbf{X} = \{X_i\}_{i = 1}^n$ from a distribution $\mathcal{D}$ over…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-10 Yeshwanth Cherapanamjeri , Nilesh Tripuraneni , Peter L. Bartlett , Michael I. Jordan

In this paper, we propose self-tuned robust estimators for estimating the mean of heavy-tailed distributions, which refer to distributions with only finite variances. Our approach introduces a new loss function that considers both the mean…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-25 Qiang Sun

We consider random-design linear prediction and related questions on the lower tail of random matrices. It is known that, under boundedness constraints, the minimax risk is of order $d/n$ in dimension $d$ with $n$ samples. Here, we study…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-08-31 Jaouad Mourtada