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Recently developed adaptive Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods have been applied successfully to many problems in Bayesian statistics. Grapham is a new open source implementation covering several such methods, with emphasis on…

Computation · Statistics 2011-10-04 Matti Vihola

Cyclical MCMC is a novel MCMC framework recently proposed by Zhang et al. (2019) to address the challenge posed by high-dimensional multimodal posterior distributions like those arising in deep learning. The algorithm works by generating a…

Computation · Statistics 2024-03-04 Liwei Wang , Xinru Liu , Aaron Smith , Yves Atchade

Recently, suboptimality estimates for model predictive controllers (MPC) have been derived for the case without additional stabilizing endpoint constraints or a Lyapunov function type endpoint weight. The proposed methods yield a posteriori…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-03-19 Thomas Jahn , Jürgen Pannek

Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods are a powerful tool for computation with complex probability distributions. However the performance of such methods is critically dependant on properly tuned parameters, most of which are difficult if…

Computation · Statistics 2021-10-27 James A. Brofos , Marylou Gabrié , Marcus A. Brubaker , Roy R. Lederman

Adaptive multilevel splitting algorithms have been introduced rather recently for estimating tail distributions in a fast and efficient way. In particular, they can be used for computing the so-called reactive trajectories corresponding to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2014-12-25 Joran Rolland , Eric Simonnet

The hidden Markov model (HMM) provides a powerful framework for inference in time-varying environments, where the underlying state evolves according to a Markov chain. To address the optimal filtering problem in general dynamic settings, we…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-10 Dongyan Sui , Haotian Pu , Siyang Leng , Stefan Vlaski

The conditional particle filter (CPF) is a promising algorithm for general hidden Markov model smoothing. Empirical evidence suggests that the variant of CPF with backward sampling (CBPF) performs well even with long time series. Previous…

Computation · Statistics 2019-08-29 Anthony Lee , Sumeetpal S. Singh , Matti Vihola

Flower pollination algorithm is a recent metaheuristic algorithm for solving nonlinear global optimization problems. The algorithm has also been extended to solve multiobjective optimization with promising results. In this work, we analyze…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-04-24 Xingshi He , Xin-She Yang , Mehmet Karamanoglu , Yuxin Zhao

We prove a central limit theorem for a general class of adaptive Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithms driven by sub-geometrically ergodic Markov kernels. We discuss in detail the special case of stochastic approximation. We use the result to…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-11-03 Yves F. Atchade , Gersende Fort

We investigate lower bounds on the subgeometric convergence of adaptive Markov chain Monte Carlo under any adaptation strategy. In particular, we prove general lower bounds in total variation and on the weak convergence rate under general…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-17 Austin Brown , Jeffrey S. Rosenthal

This paper compiles several aspects of the dynamics of stochastic approximation algorithms with Markov iterate-dependent noise when the iterates are not known to be stable beforehand. We achieve the same by extending the lock-in probability…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-02-22 Prasenjit Karmakar , Shalabh Bhatnagar

Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms are routinely used to draw samples from distributions with intractable normalization constants. However, standard MCMC algorithms do not apply to doubly-intractable distributions in which there are…

Computation · Statistics 2012-07-02 Iain Murray , Zoubin Ghahramani , David MacKay

Uncertainty Quantification through Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) can be prohibitively expensive for target probability densities with expensive likelihood functions, for instance when the evaluation it involves solving a Partial…

Computation · Statistics 2020-12-11 Mikkel B. Lykkegaard , Grigorios Mingas , Robert Scheichl , Colin Fox , Tim J. Dodwell

In the last few decades, Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods have been widely applied to Bayesian updating of structural dynamic models in the field of structural health monitoring. Recently, several MCMC algorithms have been developed…

Applications · Statistics 2026-04-29 Xianghao Meng , James L. Beck , Yong Huang , Hui Li

We study time-changed Markov processes to speed up the convergence of Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms. The time-changed process is defined by adjusting the speed of time of a base process via a user-chosen, state-dependent…

Computation · Statistics 2025-04-08 Andrea Bertazzi , Giorgos Vasdekis

Composite adaptive control (CAC) that integrates direct and indirect adaptive control techniques can achieve smaller tracking errors and faster parameter convergence compared with direct and indirect adaptive control techniques. However,…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2022-07-08 Yongping Pan , Lin Pan , Haoyong Yu

This review paper provides an introduction of Markov chains and their convergence rates which is an important and interesting mathematical topic which also has important applications for very widely used Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC)…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-09-03 Yu Hang Jiang , Tong Liu , Zhiya Lou , Jeffrey S. Rosenthal , Shanshan Shangguan , Fei Wang , Zixuan Wu

We study the problem of learning the transition matrices of a set of Markov chains from a single stream of observations on each chain. We assume that the Markov chains are ergodic but otherwise unknown. The learner can sample Markov chains…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-14 Mohammad Sadegh Talebi , Odalric-Ambrym Maillard

Tasks such as record linkage and multi-target tracking, which involve reconstructing the set of objects that underlie some observed data, are particularly challenging for probabilistic inference. Recent work has achieved efficient and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-07-02 Brian Milch , Stuart Russell

Parametric Markov chains (pMC) are used to model probabilistic systems with unknown or partially known probabilities. Although (universal) pMC verification for reachability properties is known to be coETR-complete, there have been efforts…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2025-04-29 Kasper Engelen , Guillermo A. Pérez , Shrisha Rao
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