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We present a new CUSUM procedure for sequentially detecting change-point in the self and mutual exciting processes, a.k.a. Hawkes networks using discrete events data. Hawkes networks have become a popular model for statistics and machine…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-08 Haoyun Wang , Liyan Xie , Yao Xie , Alex Cuozzo , Simon Mak

This paper studies methods for testing and estimating change-points in the covariance structure of a high-dimensional linear time series. The assumed framework allows for a large class of multivariate linear processes (including vector…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-14 Ansgar Steland

We consider the sequential change-point detection for asynchronous multi-sensors, where each sensor observe a signal (due to change-point) at different times. We propose an asynchronous Subspace-CUSUM procedure based on jointly estimating…

Applications · Statistics 2019-01-25 Liyan Xie , Yao Xie , George V. Moustakides

Testing for change points in sequences of covariance matrices is an important and equally challenging problem in statistical methodology with applications in various fields. Motivated by the observation that even in cases where the ratio…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-14 Nina Dörnemann , Holger Dette

In the sequential change-point detection literature, most research specifies a required frequency of false alarms at a given pre-change distribution $f_{\theta}$ and tries to minimize the detection delay for every possible post-change…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Yajun Mei

An important assumption in the work on testing for structural breaks in time series consists in the fact that the model is formulated such that the stochastic process under the null hypothesis of "no change-point" is stationary. This…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-31 Holger Dette , Weichi Wu , Zhou Zhou

Change point detection in high dimensional data has found considerable interest in recent years. Most of the literature either designs methodology for a retrospective analysis, where the whole sample is already available when the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-16 Josua Gösmann , Christina Stoehr , Johannes Heiny , Holger Dette

Cumulative sum (CUSUM) statistics are widely used in the change point inference and identification. For the problem of testing for existence of a change point in an independent sample generated from the mean-shift model, we introduce a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-05 Mengjia Yu , Xiaohui Chen

In this paper, we consider a change-point problem for a centered, stationary and $m$-dependent multivariate random field. Under the distribution free assumption, a change-point test using CUSUM statistic is proposed to detect anomalies…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-28 Vitalii Makogin , Duc Nguyen

The aim of online monitoring is to issue an alarm as soon as there is significant evidence in the collected observations to suggest that the underlying data generating mechanism has changed. This work is concerned with open-end,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-21 Mark Holmes , Ivan Kojadinovic

In this paper, we study change-point testing for high-dimensional linear models, an important problem that has not been well explored in the literature. Specifically, we propose a quadratic-form cumulative sum (CUSUM) statistic to test the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-23 Zifeng Zhao , Xiaokai Luo , Zongge Liu , Daren Wang

In this article, we consider the estimation of the structural change point in the nonparametric model with dependent observations. We introduce a maximum-CUSUM-estimation procedure, where the CUSUM statistic is constructed based on the…

Applications · Statistics 2020-12-03 Q. Yang , Y. Li , Y. Zhang

This paper describes and compares several prominent single and multiple changepoint techniques for time series data. Due to their importance in inferential matters, changepoint research on correlated data has accelerated recently.…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-07 Xueheng Shi , Colin Gallagher , Robert Lund , Rebecca Killick

We study the problem of detecting a change in the mean of one-dimensional Gaussian process data. This problem is investigated in the setting of increasing domain (customarily employed in time series analysis) and in the setting of fixed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-04-11 Hossein Keshavarz , Clayton Scott , XuanLong Nguyen

We propose a general framework of sequential testing procedures based on $U$-statistics which contains as an example a sequential CUSUM test based on differences in mean but also includes a robust sequential Wilcoxon change point procedure.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-12-19 Claudia Kirch , Christina Stoehr

We study sequential change-point detection for spatio-temporal point processes, where actionable detection requires not only identifying when a distributional change occurs but also localizing where it manifests in space. While classical…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-05 Wenbin Zhou , Liyan Xie , Shixiang Zhu

We develop a testing procedure for distinguishing between a long-range dependent time series and a weakly dependent time series with change-points in the mean. In the simplest case, under the null hypothesis the time series is weakly…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-16 István Berkes , Lajos Horváth , Piotr Kokoszka , Qi-Man Shao

We propose a new, computationally efficient, sparsity adaptive changepoint estimator for detecting changes in unknown subsets of a high-dimensional data sequence. Assuming the data sequence is Gaussian, we prove that the new method…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-27 Per August Jarval Moen , Ingrid Kristine Glad , Martin Tveten

In this paper, we consider the problem of (multiple) change-point detection in panel data. We propose the double CUSUM statistic which utilises the cross-sectional change-point structure by examining the cumulative sums of ordered CUSUMs at…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-29 Haeran Cho

This paper addresses the issue of detecting change-points in multivariate time series. The proposed approach differs from existing counterparts by making only weak assumptions on both the change-points structure across series, and the…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-07-14 Flore Harlé , Florent Chatelain , Cédric Gouy-Pailler , Sophie Achard