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Extracting time-varying latent variables from computational cognitive models is a key step in model-based neural analysis, which aims to understand the neural correlates of cognitive processes. However, existing methods only allow…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-01 Ti-Fen Pan , Jing-Jing Li , Bill Thompson , Anne Collins

Interval-valued data receives much attention due to its wide applications in the fields of finance, econometrics, meteorology and medicine. However, most regression models developed for interval-valued data assume observations are mutually…

Applications · Statistics 2022-10-31 Tingting Huang

In this paper we test for Granger causality in high-dimensional vector autoregressive models (VARs) to disentangle and interpret the complex causal chains linking radiative forcings and global temperatures. By allowing for high…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-06-04 Marina Friedrich , Luca Margaritella , Stephan Smeekes

This paper proposes a fast two-stage variational Bayesian (VB) algorithm to estimate unrestricted panel spatial autoregressive models. Using Dirichlet-Laplace priors, we are able to uncover the spatial relationships between cross-sectional…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-08-23 Deborah Gefang , Stephen G. Hall , George S. Tavlas

There is increasing interest in detecting collective anomalies: potentially short periods of time where the features of data change before reverting back to normal behaviour. We propose a new method for detecting a collective anomaly in VAR…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-18 Hyeyoung Maeng , Idris Eckley , Paul Fearnhead

Longitudinal data are important in numerous fields, such as healthcare, sociology and seismology, but real-world datasets present notable challenges for practitioners because they can be high-dimensional, contain structured missingness…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-01 Maksim Sinelnikov , Manuel Haussmann , Harri Lähdesmäki

This article studies identification and estimation for the network vector autoregressive model with nonstationary regressors. In particular, network dependence is characterized by a nonstochastic adjacency matrix. The information set…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-01-09 Christis Katsouris

Local projections (LP) and vector autoregressions (VAR) are the two standard tools for impulse response analysis, but they often display a finite-sample trade-off: LP is typically less biased but more volatile, while VAR is more precise but…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-08 Chaoyi Chen , Elena Pesavento , Balazs Vonnak

We propose a new method of estimation in high-dimensional linear regression model. It allows for very weak distributional assumptions including heteroscedasticity, and does not require the knowledge of the variance of random errors. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-04-16 Eric Gautier , Alexandre Tsybakov

Visual Autoregressive(VAR) models enhance generation quality but face a critical efficiency bottleneck in later stages. In this paper, we present a novel optimization framework for VAR models that fundamentally differs from prior approaches…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Jiayu Chen , Ruoyu Lin , Zihao Zheng , Jingxin Li , Maoliang Li , Guojie Luo , Xiang Chen

Multivariate spatio-temporal data arise more and more frequently in a wide range of applications; however, there are relatively few general statistical methods that can readily use that incorporate spatial, temporal and variable…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-15 Elynn Yi Chen , Qiwei Yao , Rong Chen

We propose a nonconvex estimator for joint multivariate regression and precision matrix estimation in the high dimensional regime, under sparsity constraints. A gradient descent algorithm with hard thresholding is developed to solve the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-06-03 Jinghui Chen , Quanquan Gu

We develop a class of tests for semiparametric vector autoregressive (VAR) models with unspecified innovation densities, based on the recent measure-transportation-based concepts of multivariate {\it center-outward ranks} and {\it signs}.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-13 Marc Hallin , Davide La Vecchia , Hang Liu

We present a novel approach to address the multi-agent sparse contextual linear bandit problem, in which the feature vectors have a high dimension $d$ whereas the reward function depends on only a limited set of features - precisely $s_0…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-31 Haniyeh Barghi , Xiaotong Cheng , Setareh Maghsudi

Consider the problem of estimating the local average treatment effect with an instrument variable, where the instrument unconfoundedness holds after adjusting for a set of measured covariates. Several unknown functions of the covariates…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-22 Baoluo Sun , Zhiqiang Tan

Recently, matrix-valued time series data have attracted significant attention in the literature with the recognition of threshold nonlinearity representing a significant advance. However, given the fact that a matrix is a two-array…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-22 Cheng Yu , Dong Li , Xinyu Zhang , Howell Tong

Recently, Visual Autoregressive ($\mathsf{VAR}$) Models introduced a groundbreaking advancement in the field of image generation, offering a scalable approach through a coarse-to-fine ``next-scale prediction'' paradigm. Suppose that $n$…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-04 Yekun Ke , Xiaoyu Li , Yingyu Liang , Zhizhou Sha , Zhenmei Shi , Zhao Song

Distributional approximations of (bi--) linear functions of sample variance-covariance matrices play a critical role to analyze vector time series, as they are needed for various purposes, especially to draw inference on the dependence…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-03-20 Ansgar Steland , Rainer von Sachs

Variable selection is one of the most important tasks in statistics and machine learning. To incorporate more prior information about the regression coefficients, the constrained Lasso model has been proposed in the literature. In this…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-03-13 Zengde Deng , Anthony Man-Cho So

In this paper, we propose a probabilistic reduced-dimensional vector autoregressive (PredVAR) model to extract low-dimensional dynamics from high-dimensional noisy data. The model utilizes an oblique projection to partition the measurement…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-05 Yanfang Mo , S. Joe Qin
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