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We show weak convergence of the time-$t$ marginals for the integrated variance in a re-scaled rough Heston model to an Inverse Gaussian L\'{e}vy process. This shows we can obtain such a limit without having to impose that the true Hurst…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-31 Alessandro Bondi , Martin Forde

Extreme events are by nature rare and difficult to predict, yet are often much more important than frequent, typical events. An interesting counterpoint to the prediction of such events is their retrodiction -- given a process in an outlier…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-11-21 Wesley W. Erickson , Daniel A. Steck

We present a numerical method to compute the survival function and the moments of the exit time for a piecewise-deterministic Markov process (PDMP). Our approach is based on the quantization of an underlying discrete-time Markov chain…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-08-31 Adrien Brandejsky , Benoîte de Saporta , François Dufour

Last passage times arise in a number of areas of applied probability, including risk theory and degradation models. Such times are obviously not stopping times since they depend on the whole path of the underlying process. We consider the…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-01 Erik J. Baurdoux , J. M. Pedraza

This paper is concerned with the small time behaviour of a L\'{e}vy process $X$. In particular, we investigate the {\it stabilities} of the times, $\Tstarb(r)$ and $\Tbarb(r)$, at which $X$, started with $X_0=0$, first leaves the space-time…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-10-17 Philip S. Griffin , Ross A. Maller

The challenge to fruitfully merge state-of-the-art techniques from mathematical finance and numerical analysis has inspired researchers to develop fast deterministic option pricing methods. As a result, highly efficient algorithms to…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-11-06 Kathrin Glau

Stability and safety are crucial in safety-critical control of dynamical systems. The reach-avoid-stay objectives for deterministic dynamical systems can be effectively handled by formal methods as well as Lyapunov methods with soundness…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-06-03 Yiming Meng , Jun Liu

We investigate the upper tail probabilities of the all-time maximum of a stable L\'evy process with a power negative drift. The asymptotic behaviour is shown to be exponential in the spectrally negative case and polynomial otherwise, with…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-05 Christophe Profeta , Thomas Simon

We prove the intrinsic ultracontractivity for the semigroup generated by a large class of symmetric Levy processes such that the Levy measure satisfies some conditions in the neighborhood of 0, killed on exiting a bounded and connected…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-07-06 Tomasz Grzywny

The emergence of the exit events from a bounded domain containing a stable fixed point induced by non-Gaussian L\'evy fluctuations plays a pivotal role in practical physical systems. In the limit of weak noise, we develop a Hamiltonian…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-15 Yang Li , Jinqiao Duan , Xianbin Liu , Yanxia Zhang

We study optimal Markovian couplings of Markov processes, where the optimality is understood in terms of minimization of concave transport costs between the time-marginal distributions of the coupled processes. We provide explicit…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-21 Wilfrid S. Kendall , Mateusz B. Majka , Aleksandar Mijatović

Upper estimates of densities of convolution semigroups of probability measures are given under explicit assumptions on the corresponding L\'evy measure and the L\'evy--Khinchin exponent.

Probability · Mathematics 2010-06-30 Pawel Sztonyk

For a stable process, we give an explicit formula for the potential measure of the process killed outside a bounded interval and the joint law of the overshoot, undershoot and undershoot from the maximum at exit from a bounded interval. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-22 A. E. Kyprianou , A. R. Watson

This paper deals with the robust stability analysis of linear systems, subject to time-varying parameters. The Parameter Dependent Lyapunov Function are considered, assuming that the temporal derivative of the parameters are bounded. Some…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-06-16 L. A. Mozelli , R. L. S. Adriano

Explicit coupling property and gradient estimates are investigated for the linear evolution equations on Hilbert spaces driven by an additive cylindrical L\'evy process. The results are efficiently applied to establish the exponential…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-01-27 Jian Wang

Several stochastic processes related to transient L\'evy processes with potential densities $u(x,y)=u(y-x)$, that need not be symmetric nor bounded on the diagonal, are defined and studied. They are real valued processes on a space of…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-11-11 Yves Le Jan , Michael B. Marcus , Jay Rosen

In this work we give a complete description to the asymptotic behaviors of exponential functionals of L\'evy processes and divide them into five different types according to their convergence rates. Not only their exact convergence speeds…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-09 Zenghu Li , Wei Xu

Given an autoregressive process X of order p (i.e. X_n = a_1 X_{n-1} + ...+ a_p X_{n_p} + Y_n where the random variables Y_1, Y_2, ... are i.i.d.), we study the asymptotic behaviour of the probability that the process does not exceed a…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-07-17 Christoph Baumgarten

For a spectrally negative L\'evy process (snLp) $X$, killed according to a rate that is a function $\omega$ of its position, we analyse the exit probability of the one-sided upwards-passage problem. When $\omega$ is strictly positive, this…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-04-17 Matija Vidmar

Let $X$ be an isotropic unimodal L\'{e}vy jump process on $\mathbb{R}^d$. We develop probabilistic methods which in many cases allow us to determine whether $X$ satisfies the elliptic Harnack inequality (EHI), by looking only at the jump…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-13 Jens Malmquist