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In tropical regions, fires propagate readily in grasslands but typically consume only edges of forest patches. Thus forest patches grow due to tree propagation and shrink by fires in surrounding grasslands. The interplay between these…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-02-15 Laurent Hébert-Dufresne , Adam F. A. Pellegrini , Uttam Bhat , Sidney Redner , Stephen W. Pacala , Andrew M. Berdahl

The role of forest heterogeneity in the long-term, large-scale dynamics of forest fires is investigated by means of a cellular automata model and mean field approximation. Heterogeneity was conceived as trees (or acres of forest) with…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-08-04 G. Camelo-Neto , S. Coutinho

We describe the physical model, numerical algorithms, and software structure of WRF-Fire. WRF-Fire consists of a fire-spread model, implemented by the level-set method, coupled with the Weather Research and Forecasting model. In every time…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2012-03-27 Jan Mandel , Jonathan D. Beezley , Adam K. Kochanski

The increasing frequency and intensity of wildfires underscore the need for accurate predictive models to enhance wildfire management. Traditional models, such as Rothermel and FARSITE, provide foundational insights but often oversimplify…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-12-30 Hengameh R. Dehkordi

We are developing a wildland fire model based on semi-empirical relations that estimate the rate of spread of a surface fire and post-frontal heat release, coupled with WRF, the Weather Research and Forecasting atmospheric model. A level…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2009-01-09 Jonathan D. Beezley , Soham Chakraborty , Janice L. Coen , Craig C. Douglas , Jan Mandel , Anthony Vodacek , Zhen Wang

In this paper we use a variant of the Watts-Strogatz small-world model to predict wildfire behavior near the critical propagation/nonpropagation threshold. We find that forest fire patterns are fractal and that critical exponents are…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-05-23 Porterie Bernard , Kaiss Ahmed , Clerc Jean Pierre , Zekri Nouredine , Lotfi Zekri

The availability of wildland fire propagation models with parameters estimated in an accurate way starting from measurements of fire fronts is crucial to predict the evolution of fire and allocate resources for firefighting. Thus, we…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-12-21 Angelo Alessandri , Patrizia Bagnerini , Mauro Gaggero , Luca Mantelli

The understanding and prediction of large wildland fire events around the world is a growing interdisciplinary research area advanced rapidly by development and use of computational models. Recent models bidirectionally couple computational…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-07-06 J. L. Coen , W. Schroeder , S. Conway , L. Tarnay

We describe the coupled atmosphere-wildfire model WRF-Fire, which is distributed as a part of WRF. The fire module is based on a fire-spread model, implemented by the level-set method. In each time step, the fire module takes the wind as…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2011-02-01 Jan Mandel , Jonathan D. Beezley , Adam K. Kochanski

Ecosystem of a forest suffers from many adverse events such as wild-fire which can occur randomly anywhere in the forest and grows in size with time. This paper aims to analyze performance of a network of randomly deployed wireless sensors…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2019-04-23 Kaushlendra K. Pandey , Abhishek K. Gupta

Forecasting bushfire spread is an important element in fire prevention and response efforts. Empirical observations of bushfire spread can be used to estimate fire response under certain conditions. These observations form rate-of-spread…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-24 Andrew Bolt , Joel Janek Dabrowski , Carolyn Huston , Petra Kuhnert

Wildfire forecasting problems usually rely on complex grid-based mathematical models, mostly involving Computational fluid dynamics(CFD) and Celluar Automata, but these methods have always been computationally expensive and difficult to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-21 Hansong Xiao

The forest fire model is a reaction-diffusion model where energy, in the form of trees, is injected uniformly, and burned (dissipated) locally. We show that the spatial distribution of fires forms a novel geometric structure where the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Kan Chen , Per Bak

Wildfires can be devastating, causing significant damage to property, ecosystem disruption, and loss of life. Forecasting the evolution of wildfire boundaries is essential to real-time wildfire management. To this end, substantial attention…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-13 Myungsoo Yoo , Christopher K. Wikle

Savannas are characterized by a discontinuous tree layer superimposed on a continuous layer of grass. Identifying the mechanisms that facilitate this tree-grass coexistence has remained a persistent challenge in ecology and is known as the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-01-30 Flora S. Bacelar , Justin M. Calabrese , Emílio Hernández-García

Diffusion processes in networks are increasingly used to model the spread of information and social influence. In several applications in computational sustainability such as the spread of wildlife, infectious diseases and traffic mobility…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2013-09-27 Akshat Kumar , Daniel Sheldon , Biplav Srivastava

Fire is an indissoluble component of ecosystems, however quantifying the effects of fire on vegetation is challenging task as fire lies outside the typical experimental design attributes. A recent simulation study showed that under…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-12-16 Aristides Moustakas

Thanks to recent advances in generative AI, computers can now simulate realistic and complex natural processes. We apply this capability to predict how wildfires spread, a task made difficult by the unpredictable nature of fire and the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-24 Wenbo Yu , Anirbit Ghosh , Tobias Sebastian Finn , Rossella Arcucci , Marc Bocquet , Sibo Cheng

Level set methods are versatile and extensible techniques for general front tracking problems, including the practically important problem of predicting the advance of a firefront across expanses of surface vegetation. Given a rule,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2007-10-16 V. Mallet , D. E. Keyes , F. E. Fendell

We describe two recent additions to WRF coupled with a fire spread model. Fire propagation is strongly dependent on fuel moisture, which in turn depends on the history of the atmosphere. We have implemented a equilibrium time-lag model of…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2012-08-28 Adam K. Kochanski , Jonathan D. Beezley , Jan Mandel , Minjeong Kim