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We present supremum Lagrange Multiplier tests to compare a linear ARMA specification against its threshold ARMA extension. We derive the asymptotic distribution of the test statistics both under the null hypothesis and contiguous local…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-19 Greta Goracci , Simone Giannerini , Kung-Sik Chan , Howell Tong

In this paper we investigate the problem of testing the assumption of stationarity in locally stationary processes. The test is based on an estimate of a Kolmogorov-Smirnov type distance between the true time varying spectral density and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-12-20 Philip Preuß , Mathias Vetter , Holger Dette

Monte Carlo and Quasi-Monte Carlo methods present a convenient approach for approximating the expected value of a random variable. Algorithms exist to adaptively sample the random variable until a user defined absolute error tolerance is…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-11-14 Aleksei G. Sorokin , Jagadeeswaran Rathinavel

We present an aid for importance sampling in Monte Carlo integration, which is of the general-purpose type in the sense that it in principle deals with any quadratically integrable integrand on a unit hyper-cube of arbitrary dimension. In…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2009-07-29 A. van Hameren

Shape constraints yield flexible middle grounds between fully nonparametric and fully parametric approaches to modeling distributions of data. The specific assumption of log-concavity is motivated by applications across economics, survival…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-16 Robin Dunn , Aditya Gangrade , Larry Wasserman , Aaditya Ramdas

Suppose that a mobile sensor describes a Markovian trajectory in the ambient space. At each time the sensor measures an attribute of interest, e.g., the temperature. Using only the location history of the sensor and the associated…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-02 Romain Azaïs , Bernard Delyon , François Portier

When permutation methods are used in practice, often a limited number of random permutations are used to decrease the computational burden. However, most theoretical literature assumes that the whole permutation group is used, and methods…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-08-20 Jesse Hemerik , Jelle Goeman

This paper proposes a unified framework to quantify local and global inferential uncertainty for high dimensional nonparanormal graphical models. In particular, we consider the problems of testing the presence of a single edge and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-07-01 Quanquan Gu , Yuan Cao , Yang Ning , Han Liu

We consider conditional exact tests of factor effects in designed experiments for discrete response variables. Similarly to the analysis of contingency tables, a Markov chain Monte Carlo method can be used for performing exact tests, when…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-11-20 Satoshi Aoki , Akimichi Takemura

Space provides unique opportunities to test gravitation. By using an interplanetary spacecraft as a test mass, it is possible to test General Relativity at the Solar System distance scale. This requires to compute accurately the trajectory…

Instrumentation and Detectors · Physics 2014-09-16 Benjamin Lenoir , Bruno Christophe , Serge Reynaud

Given a random sample from a random variable $T$ which is bounded from above, $T\le\tau$ a.s., we define processes that are positive supermartingales if $E(T)\ge\mu$. Such processes are called test martingales. Tests of the supermartingale…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-20 Harrie Hendriks

Global optimization is an active area of research in atomistic simulations, and many algorithms have been proposed to date. A prominent example is basin hopping Monte Carlo, which performs a modified Metropolis Monte Carlo search to explore…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2020-02-04 Martín Leandro Paleico , Jörg Behler

The timing of radio pulsars in binary systems provides a superb testing ground of general relativity. Here we propose a Bayesian approach to carry out these tests, and a relevant efficient numerical implementation, that has several…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2016-07-27 Walter Del Pozzo , Alberto Vecchio

In High-Energy Physics experiments it is often necessary to evaluate the global statistical significance of apparent resonances observed in invariant mass spectra. One approach to determining significance is to use simulated events to find…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2023-12-29 Kelly J Yi , Leonard G Spiegel , Zhen Hu

This paper introduces an approach for detecting differences in the first-order structures of spatial point patterns. The proposed approach leverages the kernel mean embedding in a novel way by introducing its approximate version tailored to…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-15 Raif M. Rustamov , James T. Klosowski

This paper presents a tool for addressing a key component in many algorithms for planning robot trajectories under uncertainty: evaluation of the safety of a robot whose actions are governed by a closed-loop feedback policy near a nominal…

Robotics · Computer Science 2017-06-05 Edward Schmerling , Marco Pavone

The envelope theory, also known as the auxiliary field method, is a simple technique to compute approximate solutions of Hamiltonians for $N$ identical particles in $D$-dimension. The accuracy of this method is tested by computing the…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2015-05-19 Claude Semay

Consider testing multiple hypotheses in the setting where the p-values of all hypotheses are unknown and thus have to be approximated using Monte Carlo simulations. One class of algorithms published in the literature for this scenario…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-16 Georg Hahn

The goal of this paper is to develop provably efficient importance sampling Monte Carlo methods for the estimation of rare events within the class of linear stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs). We find that if a spectral gap…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-05 Michael Salins , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

The aim of this Thesis is to present five new tests for random numbers, which are widely used {\em e.g.} in computer simulations in physics applications. The first two tests, the cluster test and the autocorrelation test, are based on…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2008-02-03 I. Vattulainen