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The paper considers the problem of estimating a $p\geq2$\ dimensional mean vector of a multivariate conditionally normal distribution under quadratic loss. The problem of this type arises when estimating the parameters in a continuous time…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-05-27 Evgeny Pchelintsev

We propose a variational method to solve all three estimation problems for nonlinear stochastic dynamical systems: prediction, filtering, and smoothing. Our new approach is based upon a proper choice of cost function, termed the {\it…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 Gregory L. Eyink

We study sample average approximations (SAA) of chance constrained programs. SAA methods typically approximate the actual distribution in the chance constraint using an empirical distribution constructed from random samples assumed to be…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-05-13 Shuhao Yan , Francesca Parise , Eilyan Bitar

This paper proposes a new class of real-time optimization schemes to overcome system-model mismatch of uncertain processes. This work's novelty lies in integrating derivative-free optimization schemes and multi-fidelity Gaussian processes…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-11 Panagiotis Petsagkourakis , Benoit Chachuat , Ehecatl Antonio del Rio-Chanona

In numerous applications data are observed at random times and an estimated graph of the spectral density may be relevant for characterizing and explaining phenomena. By using a wavelet analysis, one derives a nonparametric estimator of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-11-27 Jean-Marc Bardet , Pierre Bertrand

We consider the problem of designing experiments for the estimation of a target in regression analysis if there is uncertainty about the parametric form of the regression function. A new optimality criterion is proposed, which minimizes the…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-17 Kira Alhorn , Kirsten Schorning , Holger Dette

This paper presents a new variational data assimilation (VDA) approach for the formal treatment of bias in both model outputs and observations. This approach relies on the Wasserstein metric stemming from the theory of optimal mass…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-04 Sagar K. Tamang , Ardeshir Ebtehaj , Dongmian Zou , Gilad Lerman

We present an efficient method for evaluating random phase errors in phase shifters within photonic integrated circuits, avoiding the computational cost of traditional Monte Carlo simulations. By modeling spatially correlated manufacturing…

Optics · Physics 2025-04-09 Zijian Zhang

We consider the problem of time optimal control of a continuous bosonic quantum system subject to the action of a Markovian dissipation. In particular, we consider the case of a one mode Gaussian quantum system prepared in an arbitrary…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2014-12-01 Alberto Carlini , Andrea Mari , Vittorio Giovannetti

In this paper, we present an equivalent convex optimization formulation for discrete-time stochastic linear systems subject to linear chance constraints, alongside a tight convex relaxation for quadratic chance constraints. By lifting the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-23 Tanmay Dokania , Yashwanth Kumar Nakka

We present a Hamiltonian Monte Carlo algorithm to sample from multivariate Gaussian distributions in which the target space is constrained by linear and quadratic inequalities or products thereof. The Hamiltonian equations of motion can be…

Computation · Statistics 2013-06-06 Ari Pakman , Liam Paninski

We consider the problem of approximating the moment generating function (MGF) of a truncated random variable in terms of the MGF of the underlying (i.e., untruncated) random variable. The purpose of approximating the MGF is to enable the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Ronald W. Butler , Andrew T. A. Wood

In this paper, we consider a discrete-time stochastic control problem with uncertain initial and target states. We first discuss the connection between optimal transport and stochastic control problems of this form. Next, we formulate a…

We propose efficient algorithms for classically simulating Gaussian unitaries and measurements applied to non-Gaussian initial states. The constructions are based on decomposing the non-Gaussian states into linear combinations of Gaussian…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-02-26 Oliver Hahn , Ryuji Takagi , Giulia Ferrini , Hayata Yamasaki

The problem of optimal linear estimation of linear functionals depending on the unknown values of a periodically correlated stochastic process from observations of the process with additive noise is considered. Formulas for calculating the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-29 Iryna Dubovets'ka , Mykhailo Moklyachuk

We propose a nonparametric density estimator based on the Gaussian process (GP) and derive three novel closed form learning algorithms based on Fisher divergence (FD) score matching. The density estimator is formed by multiplying a base…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-17 John Paisley , Wei Zhang , Brian Barr

Reliable methods for obtaining time-dependent solutions of Langevin equations are in high demand in the field of non-equilibrium theory. In this paper, we present a new method based on variational superposed Gaussian approximation (VSGA)…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-10-02 Xingyan Chu , Yoshihiko Hasegawa

This paper is devoted to the distributed continuous-time optimization problem with time-varying objective functions and time-varying nonlinear inequality constraints. Different from most studied distributed optimization problems with…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-09-08 Shan Sun , Wei Ren

The smallest singular value and condition number play important roles in numerical linear algebra and the analysis of algorithms. In numerical analysis with randomness, many previous works make Gaussian assumptions, which are not general…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-11-09 Haoyu Wang

We derive a novel variational expectation maximization approach based on truncated posterior distributions. Truncated distributions are proportional to exact posteriors within subsets of a discrete state space and equal zero otherwise. The…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-07-12 Jörg Lücke