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While the Kelly portfolio has many desirable properties, including optimal long-term growth rate, the resulting investment strategy is rather aggressive. In this paper, we suggest a unified approach to the risk assessment of the Kelly…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-25 Levon Hakobyan , Sergey Lototsky

This paper extends Xing's (2023abcd) optimal growth models of catching-up economies from the case of production function switching to that of economic structure switching and argues how a country develops its economy by endogenous…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2023-09-13 Justin Y. F. Lin , Haipeng Xing

In this letter we obtain sharp estimates on the growth rate of solutions to a nonlinear ODE with a nonautonomous forcing term. The equation is superlinear in the state variable and hence solutions exhibit rapid growth and finite-time…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2017-05-23 John A. D. Appleby , Denis D. Patterson

Exchange-driven growth is a process in which pairs of clusters interact and exchange a single unit of mass. The rate of exchange is given by an interaction kernel $K(j,k)$ which depends on the masses of the two interacting clusters. In this…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2018-10-09 Emre Esenturk

We suggest a natural approach that leads to a modification of classical quasispecies models and incorporates the possibility of population extinction in addition to growth. The resulting modified models are called open. Their essential…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-03-25 Ivan Yegorov , Artem S. Novozhilov , Alexander S. Bratus

In this paper we consider kinetically constrained models (KCM) on $\mathbb Z^2$ with general update families $\mathcal U$. For $\mathcal U$ belonging to the so-called "critical class" our focus is on the divergence of the infection time of…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-12-07 Ivailo Hartarsky , Fabio Martinelli , Cristina Toninelli

Spatial distribution of the human population is distinctly heterogeneous, e.g. showing significant difference in the population density between urban and rural areas. In the historical perspective, i.e. on the timescale of centuries, the…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2022-08-30 Anna Zincenko , Sergei Petrovskii , Vitaly Volpert

We give a comprehensive rate equation description for the irreversible growth of aggregates by migration from small to large aggregates. For a homogeneous rate K(i;j) at which monomers migrate from aggregates of size i to those of size j,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 F. Leyvraz , S. Redner

The evolving Kingman coalescent is the tree-valued process which records the time evolution undergone by the genealogies of Moran populations. We consider the associated process of total external tree length of the evolving Kingman…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-20 Iulia Dahmer , Götz Kersting

A generic feature of cosmic quintessence models is the possibility of significant energy density in the scalar field during the radiation dominated epoch. This possibility is even greater if the quintessence field begins in a…

Astrophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 G. J. Mathews , K. Ichiki , T. Kajino , M. Orito , M. Yahiro

This article presents a comprehensive study of the continuous McKendrick model, which serves as a foundational framework in population dynamics and epidemiology. The model is formulated through partial differential equations that describe…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-01-23 Dragos-Patru Covei

Verhulst logistic curve either grows OR decays, depending on the {\it growth rate} parameter value. A similar situation is found in the Gompertz law about human mortality. However, growth can neither be infinite nor reach a finite steady…

Biological Physics · Physics 2015-03-19 Marcel Ausloos

The collapse of large social systems, often referred to as civilizations or empires, is a well known historical phenomenon, but its origins are the object of an unresolved debate. In this paper, we present a simple biophysical model which…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-10-17 Ugo Bardi , Sara Falsini , Ilaria Perissi

We consider a stochastic individual-based model of adaptive dynamics for an asexually reproducing population with mutation, with linear birth and death rates, as well as a density-dependent competition. To depict repeating changes of the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-05-28 Manuel Esser , Anna Kraut

It is shown that a large class of higher-order (i.e. non-quadratic) scalar kinetic terms can, without the help of potential terms, drive an inflationary evolution starting from rather generic initial conditions. In many models, this…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2008-11-26 C. Armendariz-Picon , T. Damour , V. Mukhanov

We deal with an infinite horizon, infinite dimensional stochastic optimal control problem arising in the study of economic growth in time-space. Such problem has been the object of various papers in deterministic cases when the possible…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-03-14 Fausto Gozzi , Marta Leocata

We consider solutions to the Kac master equation for initial conditions where $N$ particles are in a thermal equilibrium and $M\le N$ particles are out of equilibrium. We show that such solutions have exponential decay in entropy relative…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2018-10-17 Federico Bonetto , Alissa Geisinger , Michael Loss , Tobias Ried

The exact solution of the kinetic equation of the one step process of a growth (birth) in the presence of sources (runs-off) is found for arbitrary dependence of the rate of the growth on the number of the state (or size). It is shown that…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-08-14 Ikhtier Umirzakov

The numerical approximation of an inverse problem subject to the convection--diffusion equation when diffusion dominates is studied. We derive Carleman estimates that are on a form suitable for use in numerical analysis and with explicit…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-06-25 Erik Burman , Mihai Nechita , Lauri Oksanen

We study solvency of insurers in a comprehensive model where various economic factors affect the capital developments of the companies. The main interest is in the impact of real growth to ruin probabilities. The volume of the business is…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-11-06 Harri Nyrhinen