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Related papers: Dynamic Predictions with Time-Dependent Covariates…

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Models for predicting the time of a future event are crucial for risk assessment, across a diverse range of applications. Existing time-to-event (survival) models have focused primarily on preserving pairwise ordering of estimated event…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-01-14 Paidamoyo Chapfuwa , Chenyang Tao , Lawrence Carin , Ricardo Henao

Survival analysis has become a standard approach for modelling time to default by time-varying covariates in credit risk. Unlike most existing methods that implicitly assume a stationary data-generating process, in practise, mortgage…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-29 Jianwei Peng , Stefan Lessmann

In many clinical trials studying neurodegenerative diseases such as Parkinson's disease (PD), multiple longitudinal outcomes are collected to fully explore the multidimensional impairment caused by this disease. If the outcomes deteriorate…

Applications · Statistics 2017-05-18 Jue Wang , Sheng Luo , Liang Li

Observational data in medicine arise as a result of the complex interaction between patients and the healthcare system. The sampling process is often highly irregular and itself constitutes an informative process. When using such data to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-27 Vincent Jeanselme , Glen Martin , Niels Peek , Matthew Sperrin , Brian Tom , Jessica Barrett

Time elapsed till an event of interest is often modeled using the survival analysis methodology, which estimates a survival score based on the input features. There is a resurgence of interest in developing more accurate prediction models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-23 Navid Seidi , Ardhendu Tripathy , Sajal K. Das

Joint Models for longitudinal and time-to-event data have gained a lot of attention in the last few years as they are a helpful technique to approach common a data structure in clinical studies where longitudinal outcomes are recorded…

Clinical decision-making is a feedback system where risk estimates influence treatment, which in turn changes disease trajectories, and both shape clinicians' measurement practices. Static prediction often fails clinically: models trained…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Pujun Feng , Xiaoyu Guo , Seyed Ehsan Saffari , Min Hun Lee , Siew-Kei Lam , Erik Cambria , Xibin Sun , Yangtao Zhou , Tong Yang , Xiaoyu Zhang , Tao Tan , Yue Sun , Bin Cui

With the ever-growing complexity of primary health care system, proactive patient failure management is an effective way to enhancing the availability of health care resource. One key enabler is the dynamic prediction of time-to-event…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-12 Jie Zhu , Blanca Gallego

This review article provides an overview of recent work in the modeling and analysis of recurrent events arising in engineering, reliability, public health, biomedicine and other areas. Recurrent event modeling possesses unique facets…

Methodology · Statistics 2007-08-03 Edsel A. Peña

Joint models for longitudinal and survival data have gained a lot of attention in recent years, with the development of myriad extensions to the basic model, including those which allow for multivariate longitudinal data, competing risks…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-09 Katya Mauff , Ewout Steyerberg , Isabella Kardys , Eric Boersma , Dimitris Rizopoulos

Accurate and transparent prediction of cancer survival times on the level of individual patients can inform and improve patient care and treatment practices. In this paper, we design a model that concurrently learns to accurately predict…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-01-31 Maruan Al-Shedivat , Avinava Dubey , Eric P. Xing

Accurate prediction of disease trajectories is critical for early identification and timely treatment of patients at risk. Conventional methods in survival analysis are often constrained by strong parametric assumptions and limited in their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-28 Daniel Jarrett , Jinsung Yoon , Mihaela van der Schaar

Survival regression is widely used to model time-to-events data, to explore how covariates may influence the occurrence of events. Modern datasets often encompass a vast number of covariates across many subjects, with only a subset of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-18 Abhishek Mandal , Abhisek Chakraborty

Joint models for longitudinal and time-to-event data are commonly used in longitudinal studies to forecast disease trajectories over time. While there are many advantages to joint modeling, the standard forms suffer from limitations that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-09-09 Bryan Lim , Mihaela van der Schaar

Repeated measures of biomarkers have the potential of explaining hazards of survival outcomes. In practice, these measurements are intermittently measured and are known to be subject to substantial measurement error. Joint modelling of…

Applications · Statistics 2019-12-12 Lisa McFetridge , Ozgur Asar , Jonas Wallin

The sequential treatment decisions made by physicians to treat chronic diseases are formalized in the statistical literature as dynamic treatment regimes. To date, methods for dynamic treatment regimes have been developed under the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-22 Janie Coulombe , Erica E. M. Moodie , Susan M. Shortreed , Christel Renoux

Within-individual variability of health indicators measured over time is becoming commonly used to inform about disease progression. Simple summary statistics (e.g. the standard deviation for each individual) are often used but they are not…

An individualized risk prediction model that dynamically updates the probability of a clinical event from a specific cause is valuable for physicians to be able to optimize personalized treatment strategies in real-time by incorporating all…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-22 Qing Liu , Gong Tang , Joseph P. Costantino , Chung-Chou H. Chang

In survival analysis, longitudinal information on the health status of a patient can be used to dynamically update the predicted probability that a patient will experience an event of interest. Traditional approaches to dynamic prediction…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-16 Mirko Signorelli

This paper studies the estimation and inference of treatment effects in panel data settings when treatments change dynamically over time. We propose a balancing method that allows for (i) treatments to be assigned dynamically over time…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-02-24 Davide Viviano , Jelena Bradic