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In this work we establish the posterior consistency for a parametrized family of partially observed, fully dominated Markov models. As a main assumption, we suppose that the prior distribution assigns positive probability to all…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-09-01 Randal Douc , Jimmy Olsson , Francois Roueff

The asymptotic variance of the maximum likelihood estimate is proved to decrease when the maximization is restricted to a subspace that contains the true parameter value. Maximum likelihood estimation allows a systematic fitting of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-01-31 Marie Turčičová , Jan Mandel , Kryštof Eben

In this paper, we extend the energy-Casimir stability method for deterministic Lie-Poisson Hamiltonian systems to provide sufficient conditions for the stability in probability of stochastic dynamical systems with symmetries and…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2018-04-18 Alexis Arnaudon , Nader Ganaba , Darryl Holm

A maximum likelihood type estimation of the drift and volatility coefficient parameters in the CIR type model driven by $\alpha$-stable noises is studied when the dispersion parameter $\varepsilon\to0$ and the discrete observations…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-10-10 Xu Yang

This article is concerned with stability analysis and stabilization of randomly switched nonlinear systems. These systems may be regarded as piecewise deterministic stochastic systems: the discrete switches are triggered by a stochastic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2010-09-08 Debasish Chatterjee , Daniel Liberzon

We study the maximum likelihood estimator of the drift parameters of a stochastic differential equation, with both drift and diffusion coefficients constant on the positive and negative axis, yet discontinuous at zero. This threshold…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-08-22 Antoine Lejay , Paolo Pigato

Nonlinear dynamical systems possessing an invariant subspace can display interesting dynamical behavior, such as on-off intermittency and bubbling. This letter shows that a class of such systems have amazing features of (1) supersensitivity…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2007-05-23 Changsong Zhou , C. -H. Lai

We present a data-driven framework based on Lyapunov theory to provide stability guarantees for a family of hybrid systems. In particular, we are interested in the asymptotic stability of switching linear systems whose switching sequence is…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-02-13 Adrien Banse , Zheming Wang , Raphaël M. Jungers

Stability is among the most important concepts in dynamical systems. Local stability is well-studied, whereas determining how "globally stable" a nonlinear system is very challenging. Over the last few decades, many different ideas have…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-10-10 Hana Krakovská , Christian Kühn , Iacopo P. Longo

We study equilibrium selection for invariant measures of stochastic dynamical systems with constant step size, under persistent noise and minimal moment assumptions, in a general quasi-Feller framework. Such dynamics arise in…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-16 Jean-Gabriel Attali

We study prediction-assimilation systems, which have become routine in meteorology and oceanography and are rapidly spreading to other areas of the geosciences and of continuum physics. The long-term, nonlinear stability of such a system…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-11-13 Alberto Carrassi , Michael Ghil , Anna Trevisan , Francesco Uboldi

We consider the problem of estimating a vector of unknown constant parameters for a class of hybrid dynamical systems -- that is, systems whose state variables exhibit both continuous (flow) and discrete (jump) evolution. Using a hybrid…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-08-16 Ryan S. Johnson , Stefano Di Cairano , Ricardo G. Sanfelice

This paper proposes several definitions of robust stability for logic dynamical systems (LDSs) with uncertain switching, including robust/uniform robust set stability and asymptotical (or infinitely convergent)/finite-time set stability…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-10-12 Yuqian Guo , Zhitao Li

Doubly robust estimators have gained widespread popularity in various fields due to their ability to provide unbiased estimates under model misspecification. However, the asymptotic theory for doubly robust estimators with continuous-time…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-23 Andrew Ying

This paper is concerned with the study of the stability of dynamical systems evolving on time scales. We first {formalize the notion of matrix measures on time scales, prove some of their key properties and make use of this notion to study…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-06-10 Giovanni Russo , Fabian Wirth

This work presents a new methodology to obtain probabilistic interval predictions of a dynamical system. The proposed strategy uses stored past system measurements to estimate the future evolution of the system. The method relies on the use…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-12-21 A. Daniel Carnerero , Daniel R. Ramirez , Teodoro Alamo

Many biological phenomena such as locomotion, circadian cycles, and breathing are rhythmic in nature and can be modeled as rhythmic dynamical systems. Dynamical systems modeling often involves neglecting certain characteristics of a…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-01-20 M. Mert Ankaralı , Shahin Sefati , Manu S. Madhav , Andrew Long , Amy J. Bastian , Noah J. Cowan

Suppose we can choose from a set of linear autonomous systems with bounded process noise, the dynamics of each system are unknown, and we would like to design a stabilizing policy. The underlying question is how to estimate the dynamics of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-04-30 Pedro Hespanhol , Anil Aswani

An attractor of a dynamical system may represent the system's 'desirable' state. Perturbations to the system may push the system out of the basin of attraction of the desirable attractor and into undesirable states. Hence, it is important…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2024-08-15 Calvin Alvares , Soumitro Banerjee

Complex systems are characterized by a huge number of degrees of freedom often interacting in a non-linear manner. In many cases macroscopic states, however, can be characterized by a small number of order parameters that obey stochastic…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2012-02-20 David Kleinhans
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