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In unconstrained maximum a posteriori (MAP) and maximum likelihood estimation, the inverse of minus the merit-function Hessian matrix is an approximation of the estimate covariance matrix. In the Bayesian context of MAP estimation, it is…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-17 Dimas Abreu Archanjo Dutra

We introduce a novel approach to portfolio optimization that leverages hierarchical graph structures and the Schur complement method to systematically reduce computational complexity while preserving full covariance information. Inspired by…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-18 Gamal Mograby

We revisit the classical Merton consumption--investment problem when risky-asset returns are modeled by stochastic differential equations interpreted through a general $\alpha$-integral, interpolating between It\^{o}, Stratonovich, and…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-02-10 Mario Ayala , Benjamin Vallejo Jiménez

In this paper, we perform a comprehensive study of different covariance and precision matrix estimation methods in the context of minimum variance portfolio allocation. The set of models studied by us can be broadly categorized as: Gaussian…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-05-22 Sumanjay Dutta , Shashi Jain

We evoke the idea of representation of the chaotic attractor by the set of unstable periodic orbits and disclose a novel noise-induced ordering phenomenon. For long unstable periodic orbits forming the strange attractor the weights (or…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2014-05-14 Denis S. Goldobin

This paper studies the inference of the regression coefficient matrix under multivariate response linear regressions in the presence of hidden variables. A novel procedure for constructing confidence intervals of entries of the coefficient…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-21 Xin Bing , Wei Cheng , Huijie Feng , Yang Ning

We consider the multivariate response regression problem with a regression coefficient matrix of low, unknown rank. In this setting, we analyze a new criterion for selecting the optimal reduced rank. This criterion differs notably from the…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-10-30 Xin Bing , Marten Wegkamp

We examine the problem of variance components testing in general mixed effects models using the likelihood ratio test. We account for the presence of nuisance parameters, i.e. the fact that some untested variances might also be equal to…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-27 Tom Guédon , Charlotte Baey , Estelle Kuhn

It is shown that the axioms for coherent risk measures imply that whenever there is an asset in a portfolio that dominates the others in a given sample (which happens with finite probability even for large samples), then this portfolio…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2009-09-29 Imre Kondor , Istvan Varga-Haszonits

Wishart random matrices are often used to model multivariate systems in physics, finance, biology and wireless communication. Extreme value statistics, such as those of the smallest eigenvalue, can be used to test the accuracy of the model.…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2016-07-19 Pedro A. Vidal Miranda

This paper introduces new techniques for estimating, identifying and simulating mixed causal-noncausal invertible-noninvertible models. We propose a framework that integrates high-order cumulants, merging both the spectrum and bispectrum…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-10-31 Alain Hecq , Daniel Velasquez-Gaviria

We give a constructive proof for the superbosonization formula for invariant random matrix ensembles, which is the supersymmetry analog of the theory of Wishart matrices. Formulas are given for unitary, orthogonal and symplectic symmetry,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-11-15 Hans-Jürgen Sommers

Many inverse problems include nuisance parameters which, while not of direct interest, are required to recover primary parameters. Structure present in these problems allows efficient optimization strategies - a well known example is…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-06-05 Aleksandr Y. Aravkin , Tristan van Leeuwen

Relying on recent advances in statistical estimation of covariance distances based on random matrix theory, this article proposes an improved covariance and precision matrix estimation for a wide family of metrics. The method is shown to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-03 Malik Tiomoko , Florent Bouchard , Guillaume Ginholac , Romain Couillet

Obtaining reliable estimates of conditional covariance matrices is an important task of heteroskedastic multivariate time series. In portfolio optimization and financial risk management, it is crucial to provide measures of uncertainty and…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-19 Davide Ravagli , Georgi N. Boshnakov

In many astrophysical settings covariance matrices of large datasets have to be determined empirically from a finite number of mock realisations. The resulting noise degrades inference and precludes it completely if there are fewer…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2017-01-11 Benjamin Joachimi

The use of improved covariance matrix estimators as an alternative to the sample estimator is considered an important approach for enhancing portfolio optimization. Here we empirically compare the performance of 9 improved covariance…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2010-04-27 Ester Pantaleo , Michele Tumminello , Fabrizio Lillo , Rosario N. Mantegna

The increased use of low-cost gyroscopes within inertial sensors for navigation purposes, among others, has brought to the development of a considerable amount of research in improving their measurement precision. Aside from developing…

Applications · Statistics 2021-07-01 Yuming Zhang , Davide A. Cucci , Roberto Molinari , Stéphane Guerrier

The question of optimal portfolio is addressed. The conventional Markowitz portfolio optimisation is discussed and the shortcomings due to non-Gaussian security returns are outlined. A method is proposed to minimise the likelihood of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 Robert Kitt , Jaan Kalda

In a typical optimization problem, the task is to pick one of a number of options with the lowest cost or the highest value. In practice, these cost/value quantities often come through processes such as measurement or machine learning,…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2022-07-20 Mohammad Mahdian , Jieming Mao , Kangning Wang