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We study extremal statistics and return intervals in stationary long-range correlated sequences for which the underlying probability density function is bounded and uniform. The extremal statistics we consider e.g., maximum relative to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-13 N. R. Moloney , J. Davidsen

It has been shown that sufficiently well mixing dynamical systems with positive entropy have extreme value laws which in the limit converge to one of the three standard distributions known for i.i.d. processes, namely Gumbel, Fr\'echet and…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-08-05 Nicolai Haydn , Michal Kupsa

We study the short-time asymptotics of conditional expectations of smooth and non-smooth functions of a (discontinuous) Ito semimartingale; we compute the leading term in the asymptotics in terms of the local characteristics of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-02-08 Amel Bentata , Rama Cont

This paper provides a detailed description for the asymptotics of exponential functionals of random walks with light/heavy tails. We give the convergence rate based on the key observation that the asymptotics depends on the sample paths…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-29 Wei Xu

We derive the joint asymptotic distribution of empirical quantiles and expected shortfalls under general conditions on the distribution of the underlying observations. In particular, we do not assume that the distribution function is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-11-28 Tobias Zwingmann , Hajo Holzmann

The paper studies the asymptotic behaviour of weighted functionals of long-range dependent data over increasing observation windows. Various important statistics, including sample means, high order moments, occupation measures can be given…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-05-27 Tareq Alodat , Andriy Olenko

We prove a law of large numbers and functional central limit theorem for a class of multivariate Hawkes processes with time-dependent reproduction rate. We address the difficulties induced by the use of non-convolutive Volterra processes by…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-30 Thomas Deschatre , Pierre Gruet , Antoine Lotz

This article is a survey of the results on asymptotic behavior of small ball probabilities in $L_2$-norm. Recent progress in this field is mainly based on the methods of spectral theory of differential and integral operators.

Probability · Mathematics 2023-06-26 Alexander Nazarov , Yulia Petrova

We show in this paper that many risk measures arising in Actuarial Sciences, Finance, Medicine, Welfare analysis, etc. are garthered in classes of Weighted Mean Loss or Gain (WMLG) statistics. Some of them are Upper Threshold Based (UTH) or…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-05-23 Gane Samb Lo , Serigne Touba Sall , Pape Djiby Mergane

Let $\left\{ S_{n},n\geq 0\right\} $ be a random walk whose increment distribution belongs without centering to the domain of attraction of an $% \alpha $-stable law, i.e., there are some scaling constants $a_{n}$ such that the sequence…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-12-19 Congzao Dong , Elena Dyakonova , Vladimir Vatutin

We provide a systematic approach for deducing statistical limit laws via martingale-coboundary decomposition, for nonuniformly hyperbolic systems with slowly contracting and expanding directions. In particular, if the associated return time…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-03-11 Ian Melbourne , Paulo Varandas

We study the extreme value distribution of stochastic processes modeled by superstatistics. Classical extreme value theory asserts that (under mild asymptotic independence assumptions) only three possible limit distributions are possible,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-22 Pau Rabassa , Christian Beck

Statistically self-similar measures on $[0,1]$ are limit of multiplicative cascades of random weights distributed on the $b$-adic subintervals of $[0,1]$. These weights are i.i.d, positive, and of expectation $1/b$. We extend these cascades…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-02-18 Julien Barral , Benoit Mandelbrot

In this short note we study the asymptotic behaviour of the minima over compact intervals of Gaussian processes, whose paths are not necessarily smooth. We show that, beyond the logarithmic large deviation Gaussian estimates, this problem…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-08-27 Zhixin Wu , Arijit Chakrabarty , Gennady Samorodnitsky

This is a tutorial on some basic non-asymptotic methods and concepts in random matrix theory. The reader will learn several tools for the analysis of the extreme singular values of random matrices with independent rows or columns. Many of…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-05-21 Roman Vershynin

Classical mathematical statistics deals with models that are parametrized by a Euclidean, i.e. finite dimensional, parameter. Quite often such models have been and still are chosen in practical situations for their mathematical simplicity…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-12-25 Chris A. J. Klaassen

Asymptotic expansions are derived for the tail distribution of the product of two correlated normal random variables with non-zero means and arbitrary variances, and more generally the sum of independent copies of such random variables.…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-27 Robert E. Gaunt , Zixin Ye

This article presents various weak laws of large numbers for the so-called realised covariation of a bivariate stationary stochastic process which is not a semimartingale. More precisely, we consider two cases: Bivariate moving average…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-07-27 Andrea Granelli , Almut E. D. Veraart

In a functional setting, we propose two test statistics to highlight the Poisson nature of a Cox process when n copies of the process are available. Our approach involves a comparison of the empirical mean and the empirical variance of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-03-23 Benoît Cadre , Gaspar Massiot , Lionel Truquet

We discuss a complementary asymptotic analysis of the so called minimal random walk. More precisely, we present a version of the almost sure central limit theorem as well as a generalization of the recently proposed quadratic strong laws.…