Related papers: Social Discounting and the Long Rate of Interest
A possibly immortal agent tries to maximise its summed discounted rewards over time, where discounting is used to avoid infinite utilities and encourage the agent to value current rewards more than future ones. Some commonly used discount…
We study an infinite horizon optimal stopping problem which arises naturally in the optimal timing of a firm/project sale or in the valuation of natural resources: the functional to be maximised is a sum of a discounted running reward and a…
In this paper, we price the zero-coupon bond of the extended Cox-Ingersoll-Ross model by a Dyson type formula established in one of the authors' paper Jin, Peng and Schelllhorn (2016) using Malliavin calculus. This formula provides a fast…
With negative growth in real production in many countries and debt levels which become an increasing burden on developed societies, the calls for a change in economic policy and even the monetary system become louder and increasingly…
This paper extends the long-term factorization of the stochastic discount factor introduced and studied by Alvarez and Jermann (2005) in discretetime ergodic environments and by Hansen and Scheinkman (2009) and Hansen (2012) in Markovian…
Social Security and other public policies can be viewed as a series of cash in and outflows that depend on parameters such as the age distribution of the population and the retirement age. Given forecasts of these parameters, policies can…
We consider an economic agent (a household or an insurance company) modelling its surplus process by a deterministic process or by a Brownian motion with drift. The goal is to maximise the expected discounted spendings/dividend payments,…
The paper is concerned with stochastic equations for the short rate process $R$ $$ dR(t)=F(R(t))dt+G(R(t-))dZ(t), $$ in the affine model of the bond prices. The equation is driven by a L\'evy martingale $Z$. It is shown that the discounted…
We prove an analogue of Weitzman's (1998) famous result that an exponential discounter who is uncertain of the appropriate exponential discount rate should discount the far-distant future using the lowest (i.e., most patient) of the…
In this paper, we study the dividend strategies for a shareholder with non-constant discount rate in a diffusion risk model. We assume that the dividends can only be paid at a bounded rate and restrict ourselves to the Markov strategies.…
Preference heterogeneity massively increases the social cost of carbon. We call this the Weitzman premium. Uncertainty about an exponential discount rate implies a hyperbolic discount rate, which in the near term is equal to the average…
The paper studies a system of Hamilton-Jacobi equations, arising from a stochastic optimal debt management problem in an infinite time horizon with exponential discount, modeled as a noncooperative interaction between a borrower and a pool…
In the present paper, an empirical study of LIBOR (London Interbank Offered Rate) data is presented. In particular, a data set of interest rates from 1997 to 1999, for two different currencies and various maturities, is analyzed. It turns…
We show that the martingale component in the long-term factorization of the stochastic discount factor due to Alvarez and Jermann (2005) and Hansen and Scheinkman (2009) is highly volatile, produces a downward-sloping term structure of bond…
In the "positive interest" models of Flesaker-Hughston, the nominal discount bond system is determined by a one-parameter family of positive martingales. In the present paper we extend this analysis to include a variety of distributions for…
Can cost-reducing technical change lead to a fall in the long run rate of profit if class struggle manages to keep the rate of exploitation constant? In a general circulating capital model, we derive sufficient conditions for cost-reducing…
In [1] we presented a model for transactions when goods are given away in the expectation of a later settlement. In settings where people keep track of their social accounts we were able to redefine concepts like account balance, yield…
This paper extends the core results of discrete time infinite horizon dynamic programming to the case of state-dependent discounting. We obtain a condition on the discount factor process under which all of the standard optimality results…
The main goal of this paper is to investigate which normative requirements, or axioms, lead to exponential and quasi-hyperbolic forms of discounting. Exponential discounting has a well-established axiomatic foundation originally developed…
We consider a financial market in which the short rate is modeled by a continuous time Markov chain (CTMC) with a finite state space. In this setting, we show how to price any financial derivative whose payoff is a function of the state of…