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The gain-loss asymmetry, observed in the inverse statistics of stock indices is present for logarithmic return levels that are over $2\%$, and it is the result of the non-Pearson type auto-correlations in the index. These non-Pearson type…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-08-24 Bulcsú Sándor , Ingve Simonsen , Bálint Zsolt Nagy , Zoltán Néda

In a stock market, the price fluctuations are interactive, that is, one listed company can influence others. In this paper, we seek to study the influence relationships among listed companies by constructing a directed network on the basis…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-24 Ya-Chun Gao , Yong Zeng , Shi-Min Cai

The value of stocks, indices and other assets, are examples of stochastic processes with unpredictable dynamics. In this paper, we discuss asymmetries in short term price movements that can not be associated with a long term positive trend.…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-13 Ingve Simonsen , Peter Toke Heden Ahlgren , Mogens H. Jensen , Raul Donangelo , Kim Sneppen

We investigate the random walk of prices by developing a simple model relating the properties of the signs and absolute values of individual price changes to the diffusion rate (volatility) of prices at longer time scales. We show that this…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-11-13 Gabriele La Spada , J. Doyne Farmer , Fabrizio Lillo

In recent years, multi-factor strategies have gained increasing popularity in the financial industry, as they allow investors to have a better understanding of the risk drivers underlying their portfolios. Moreover, such strategies promise…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-11-12 Gabriele D'Acunto , Paolo Bajardi , Francesco Bonchi , Gianmarco De Francisci Morales

Most of the analytical techniques used in the business cycle synchronisation literature rely upon the estimation of an empirical correlation matrix of time series data of macroeconomic aggregates, real GDP usually being the key variable.…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Paul Ormerod

We study how the phenomenon of contagion can take place in the network of the world's stock exchanges due to the behavioral trait "blindeness to small changes". On large scale individual, the delay in the collective response may…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-02-25 Lucia Bellenzier , Jørgen Vitting Andersen , Giulia Rotundo

The understanding of complex systems has become a central issue because complex systems exist in a wide range of scientific disciplines. Time series are typical experimental results we have about complex systems. In the analysis of such…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-02-09 Michael C. Münnix , Takashi Shimada , Rudi Schäfer , Francois Leyvraz Thomas H. Seligman , Thomas Guhr , H. E. Stanley

This study attempts to investigate into the structure and features of global equity markets from a time-frequency perspective. An analysis grounded on this framework allows one to capture information from a different dimension, as opposed…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-04-21 Avishek Bhandari

The methodology presented provides a quantitative way to characterize investor behavior and price dynamics within a particular asset class and time period. The methodology is applied to a data set consisting of over 250,000 data points of…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-04-22 Gunduz Caginalp , Mark DeSantis

This paper contributes to the literature on international stock market comovements and contagion. The novelty of our approach lies in application of wavelet tools to high-frequency financial market data, which allows us to understand the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-10-01 Jozef Barunik , Lukas Vacha

This study conducts a comprehensive analysis of time series segmentation on the Japanese stock prices listed on the first section of the Tokyo Stock Exchange during the period from 4 January 2000 to 30 January 2012. A recursive segmentation…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-03-22 Aki-Hiro Sato

In this article, the long-term behavior of the stock market index of the New York Stock Exchange is studied, for the period 1950 to 2013. Specifically, the CRSP Value-Weighted and CRSP Equal-Weighted index are analyzed in terms of market…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2015-10-15 Roberto Ortiz , Mauricio Contreras , Marcelo Villena

Stock price change in financial market occurs through transactions in analogy with diffusion in stochastic physical systems. The analysis of price changes in real markets shows that long-range correlations of price fluctuations largely…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-10 V. Gontis

To investigate the universality of the structure of interactions in different markets, we analyze the cross-correlation matrix C of stock price fluctuations in the National Stock Exchange (NSE) of India. We find that this emerging market…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Raj Kumar Pan , Sitabhra Sinha

On the fifth of February, 2018, the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 1,175.21 points, the largest single-day fall in history in raw point terms. This followed a 666-point loss on the second, and another drop of over a thousand points…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-06-05 Blake C. Stacey , Yaneer Bar-Yam

We have analyzed the Indices of Industrial Production (Seasonal Adjustment Index) for a long period of 240 months (January 1988 to December 2007) to develop a deeper understanding of the economic shocks. The angular frequencies estimated…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-05-13 Yuichi Ikeda , Hideaki Aoyama , Hiroshi Iyetomi , Hiroshi Yoshikawa

In this paper we investigate the endogenous information contained in four liquidity variables at a five minutes time scale on equity markets around the world: the traded volume, the bid-ask spread, the volatility and the volume at first…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2018-11-12 Mikołaj Bińkowski , Charles-Albert Lehalle

The time dependence of the recently introduced minimum spanning tree description of correlations between stocks, called the ``asset tree'' have been studied to reflect the economic taxonomy. The nodes of the tree are identified with stocks…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 J. -P. Onnela , A. Chakraborti , K. Kaski , J. Kertesz , A. Kanto

We discovered that past changes in the market correlation structure are significantly related with future changes in the market volatility. By using correlation-based information filtering networks we device a new tool for forecasting the…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-05-31 Nicoló Musmeci , Tomaso Aste , Tiziana Di Matteo
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