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This paper deals with the question of conditional sampling and prediction for the class of stationary max-stable processes which allow for a mixed moving maxima representation. We develop an exact procedure for conditional sampling using…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-25 Marco Oesting , Martin Schlather

We obtain large deviations theorems for nonconventional sums with underlying process being a Markov process satisfying the Doeblin condition or a dynamical system such as subshift of finite type or hyperbolic or expanding transformation.

Probability · Mathematics 2013-02-21 Yuri Kifer , S. R. S. Varadhan

We derive the equations governing the protocols minimizing the heat released by a continuous-time Markov jump process on a one-dimensional countable state space during a transition between assigned initial and final probability…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-10-15 Paolo Muratore-Ginanneschi , Carlos Mejía-Monasterio , Luca Peliti

Coupling is a widely used technique in the theoretical study of interacting stochastic processes. In this paper I present an example demonstrating its usefulness also in the efficient computer simulation of such processes. I first describe…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-04-16 Ilmari Karonen

In recent work, Baez, Fong and the author introduced a framework for describing Markov processes equipped with a detailed balanced equilibrium as open systems of a certain type. These `open Markov processes' serve as the building blocks for…

Biological Physics · Physics 2016-11-02 Blake S. Pollard

We provide a hybrid method that captures the polynomial speed of convergence and polynomial speed of mixing for Markov processes. The hybrid method that we introduce is based on the coupling technique and renewal theory. We propose to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-11-07 Yao Li , Hui Xu

The normalised partial sums of values of a nonnegative multiplicative function over divisors with appropriately restricted sizes of a random permutation from the symmetric group define trajectories of a stochastic process. We prove a…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-14 Eugenijus Manstavičius

Markov jump processes (or continuous-time Markov chains) are a simple and important class of continuous-time dynamical systems. In this paper, we tackle the problem of simulating from the posterior distribution over paths in these models,…

Computation · Statistics 2013-10-21 Vinayak Rao , Yee Whye Teh

In this note, we present few examples of Piecewise Deterministic Markov Processes and their long time behavior. They share two important features: they are related to concrete models (in biology, networks, chemistry,. . .) and they are…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-24 Florent Malrieu

We study the existence of densities for distributions of piecewise deterministic Markov processes. We also obtain relationships between invariant densities of the continuous time process and that of the process observed at jump times. In…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-03 Piotr Gwiżdż , Marta Tyran-Kamińska

In this paper we show that a non-local operator of certain type extends to the generator of a strong Markov process, admitting the transition probability density. For this transition probability density we construct the intrinsic upper and…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-31 Victoria Knopova , Alexei Kulik

We give a short overview of recent results on a specific class of Markov process: the Piecewise Deterministic Markov Processes (PDMPs). We first recall the definition of these processes and give some general results. On more specific cases…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-09-25 Romain Azaïs , Jean-Baptiste Bardet , Alexandre Genadot , Nathalie Krell , Pierre-André Zitt

We propose an algorithm to approximate solutions of global optimization problems in Sobolev spaces that follows the spirit of Consensus-based algorithms in finite dimensions. The main ingredient are Gaussian processes. In fact, we exploit…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-17 Mahmoud Khatab , Claudia Totzeck

We consider the exchangeable fragmentation-coagulation (EFC) processes, where the coagulations are multiple and not simultaneous, as in a $\Lambda$-coalescent, and the fragmentations dislocate at finite rate an individual block into…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-18 Clément Foucart , Xiaowen Zhou

In this paper we present elementary computations for some Markov modulated counting processes, also called counting processes with regime switching. Regime switching has become an increasingly popular concept in many branches of science. In…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-02-27 Michel Mandjes , Peter Spreij

The paper is a sketch of systematic presentation of distributional limit theorems and their refinements for compound sums. When analyzing, e.g., ergodic semi-Markov systems with discrete or continuous time, this allows us to separate those…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-29 Vsevolod K. Malinovskii

A continuous-state polynomial branching process is constructed as the pathwise unique solution of a stochastic integral equation with absorbing boundary condition. The extinction and explosion probabilities and the mean extinction and…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-09 Pei-Sen Li

In an earlier paper we introduced a notion of Markov automaton, together with parallel operations which permit the compositional description of Markov processes. We illustrated by showing how to describe a system of n dining philosophers,…

Category Theory · Mathematics 2010-05-07 L. de Francesco Albasini , N. Sabadini , R. F. C. Walters

We propose a class of continuous-time Markov counting processes for analyzing correlated binary data and establish a correspondence between these models and sums of exchangeable Bernoulli random variables. Our approach generalizes many…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-08-28 Forrest W. Crawford , Daniel Zelterman

A Neyman-Scott process is a special case of a Cox process. The latent and observable stochastic processes are both Poisson processes. We consider a deep Neyman-Scott process in this paper, for which the building components of a network are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-05-10 Chengkuan Hong , Christian R. Shelton