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In this survey we report some recent results in the mathematical modeling of epidemic phenomena through the use of kinetic equations. We initially consider models of interaction between agents in which social characteristics play a key role…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-09-11 Giacomo Albi , Giulia Bertaglia , Walter Boscheri , Giacomo Dimarco , Lorenzo Pareschi , Giuseppe Toscani , Mattia Zanella

The 2014 Ebola outbreak in west Africa raised many questions about the control of infectious disease in an increasingly connected global society. Limited availability of contact information made contact tracing difficult or impractical in…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-03-09 Vincent Wong , Daniel Cooney , Yaneer Bar-Yam

Human mobility and other social activity patterns influence various aspects of society such as urban planning, traffic predictions, crisis resilience, and epidemic prevention. The behaviour of individuals, like their communication…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-11-27 Fumiko Ogushi , Chandreyee Roy , Kimmo Kaski

Human mobility is a key factor in spatial disease dynamics and related phenomena. In computational models host mobility is typically modelled by diffusion in space or on metapolulation networks. Alternatively, an effective force of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-03-07 Vitaly Belik , Theo Geisel , Dirk Brockmann

I study the spreading of infectious diseases on heterogeneous populations. I represent the population structure by a contact-graph where vertices represent agents and edges represent disease transmission channels among them. The population…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-11-13 Alexei Vazquez

Models of disease spreading are critical for predicting infection growth in a population and evaluating public health policies. However, standard models typically represent the dynamics of disease transmission between individuals using…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-06-07 Christopher A. Browne , Daniel B. Amchin , Joanna Schneider , Sujit S. Datta

The patterns of human mobility play a key role in the spreading of infectious diseases and thus represent a key ingredient of epidemic modeling and forecasting. Unfortunately, as the Covid-19 pandemic has dramatically highlighted, for the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-08-28 Antonio Desiderio , Giulio Cimini , Gaetano Salina

A mathematical model for the COVID-19 pandemic spread, which integrates age-structured Susceptible-Exposed-Infected-Recovered-Deceased dynamics with real mobile phone data accounting for the population mobility, is presented. The dynamical…

Applications · Statistics 2021-08-24 Ritabrata Dutta , Susana Gomes , Dante Kalise , Lorenzo Pacchiardi

Inter-city interactions are critical for the transmission of infectious diseases, yet their effects on the scaling of disease cases remain largely underexplored. Here, we use the commuting network as a proxy for inter-city interactions,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-01-06 Nathalia A. Loureiro , Camilo R. Neto , Jack Sutton , Matjaz Perc , Haroldo V. Ribeiro

Infectious disease modeling is used to forecast epidemics and assess the effectiveness of intervention strategies. Although the core assumption of mass-action models of homogeneously mixed population is often implausible, they are…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-08-29 Thien-Minh Le , Jukka-Pekka Onnela

Despite the advanced stage of epidemic modeling, there is a major demand for methods to incorporate behavioral responses to the spread of a disease such as social distancing and adoption of prevention methods. Mobility plays an important…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-03-14 Paulo Cesar Ventura , Alberto Aleta , Francisco A. Rodrigues , Yamir Moreno

The propagation of infectious diseases and its impact on individuals play a major role in disease dynamics, and it is important to incorporate population heterogeneity into efforts to study diseases. As a simplistic but illustrative…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-07-24 Juan G. Calvo , Alberto Hernández , Mason A. Porter , Fabio Sanchez

We study a resource allocation problem for containing an infectious disease in a metapopulation subject to resource uncertainty. We propose a two-stage model where the policy maker seeks to allocate resources in both stages where the second…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-06-03 Ceyda Yaba Best , Amin Khademi , Burak Eksioglu

Data volume grows explosively with the proliferation of powerful smartphones and innovative mobile applications. The ability to accurately and extensively monitor and analyze these data is necessary. Much concern in mobile data analysis is…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-09-01 Mohammadhossein Ghahramani , MengChu Zhou , Gang Wang

Today, 95% of the global population has 2G mobile phone coverage and the number of individuals who own a mobile phone is at an all time high. Mobile phones generate rich data on billions of people across different societal contexts and have…

The study proposes a modeling framework for investigating the disease dynamics with adaptive human behavior during a disease outbreak, considering the impacts of both local observations and global information. One important application…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-08-26 Xinwu Qian , Jiawei Xue , Satish V. Ukkusuri

The importance of indoor human mobility in the transmission dynamics of respiratory infectious diseases has been acknowledged. Previous studies have predominantly addressed a single type of mobility behavior such as queueing and a series of…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2023-11-30 Ziwei Cui , Ming Cai , Zheng Zhu , Gongbo Chen , Yao Xiao

During the COVID-19 pandemic, governments have tried to keep their territories safe by isolating themselves from others, limiting non-essential travel and imposing mandatory quarantines for travelers. While large-scale quarantine has been…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-12-08 Olha Buchel , Anton Ninkov , Danise Cathel , Yaneer Bar-Yam , Leila Hedayatifar

Urbanization drives the epidemiology of infectious diseases to many threats and new challenges. In this research, we study the interplay between human mobility and dengue outbreaks in the complex urban environment of the city-state of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-10-09 Emanuele Massaro , Daniel Kondor , Carlo Ratti

The Orange "Data for Development" (D4D) challenge is an open data challenge on anonymous call patterns of Orange's mobile phone users in Ivory Coast. The goal of the challenge is to help address society development questions in novel ways…

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