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We consider Bayesian optimization of the output of a network of functions, where each function takes as input the output of its parent nodes, and where the network takes significant time to evaluate. Such problems arise, for example, in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-03 Raul Astudillo , Peter I. Frazier

The theoretical investigation of gas adsorption, storage, separation, diffusion and related transport processes in porous materials relies on a detailed knowledge of the potential energy surface of molecules in a stationary environment. In…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2025-01-30 Johannes K. Krondorfer , Christian W. Binder , Andreas W. Hauser

Gaussian process regression is used throughout statistics and machine learning for prediction and uncertainty quantification. A Gaussian process is specified by its mean and covariance functions. Many covariance functions, including…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-28 Toni Karvonen , François Bachoc

The ability to obtain reliable point estimates of model parameters is of crucial importance in many fields of physics. This is often a difficult task given that the observed data can have a very high number of dimensions. In order to…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2021-12-15 Janis Fluri , Aurelien Lucchi , Tomasz Kacprzak , Alexandre Refregier , Thomas Hofmann

In a task where many similar inverse problems must be solved, evaluating costly simulations is impractical. Therefore, replacing the model $y$ with a surrogate model $y_s$ that can be evaluated quickly leads to a significant speedup. The…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-05-15 Phillip Semler , Martin Weiser

In order to scale standard Gaussian process (GP) regression to large-scale datasets, aggregation models employ factorized training process and then combine predictions from distributed experts. The state-of-the-art aggregation models,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-05 Haitao Liu , Jianfei Cai , Yi Wang , Yew-Soon Ong

Detecting boundary of an image based on noisy observations is a fundamental problem of image processing and image segmentation. For a $d$-dimensional image ($d = 2, 3, \ldots$), the boundary can often be described by a closed smooth $(d -…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-02-16 Meng Li , Subhashis Ghosal

Spatial models are used in a variety research areas, such as environmental sciences, epidemiology, or physics. A common phenomenon in many spatial regression models is spatial confounding. This phenomenon takes place when spatially indexed…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-08 Isa Marques , Thomas Kneib , Nadja Klein

This paper focuses on utilizing two different Bayesian methods to deal with a variety of toy problems which occur in data analysis. In particular we implement the Variational Bayesian and Nested Sampling methods to tackle the problems of…

Computation · Statistics 2010-03-23 Alan Tua , Kristian Zarb Adami

Interesting data often concentrate on low dimensional smooth manifolds inside a high dimensional ambient space. Random projections are a simple, powerful tool for dimensionality reduction of such data. Previous works have studied bounds on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-09-13 Subhaneil Lahiri , Peiran Gao , Surya Ganguli

We survey techniques for constrained curve fitting, based upon Bayesian statistics, that offer significant advantages over conventional techniques used by lattice field theorists.

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2010-04-06 G. P. Lepage , B. Clark , C. T. H. Davies , K. Hornbostel , P. B. Mackenzie , C. Morningstar , H. Trottier

The concepts of Bayesian prediction, model comparison, and model selection have developed significantly over the last decade. As a result, the Bayesian community has witnessed a rapid growth in theoretical and applied contributions to…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-07 Yann McLatchie , Sölvi Rögnvaldsson , Frank Weber , Aki Vehtari

This work explores the dimension reduction problem for Bayesian nonparametric regression and density estimation. More precisely, we are interested in estimating a functional parameter $f$ over the unit ball in $\mathbb{R}^d$, which depends…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-22 Elie Odin , François Bachoc , Agnès Lagnoux

This work studies nonparametric Bayesian estimation of the intensity function of an inhomogeneous Poisson point process in the important case where the intensity depends on covariates, based on the observation of a single realisation of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-09 Matteo Giordano , Alisa Kirichenko , Judith Rousseau

We study the theoretical properties of a variational Bayes method in the Gaussian Process regression model. We consider the inducing variables method introduced by Titsias (2009a) and derive sufficient conditions for obtaining contraction…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-28 Dennis Nieman , Botond Szabo , Harry van Zanten

Bayesian statistical inference for Generalized Linear Models (GLMs) with parameters lying on a constrained space is of general interest (e.g., in monotonic or convex regression), but often constructing valid prior distributions supported on…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-02 Rahul Ghosal , Sujit K. Ghosh

Let M be a smooth compact oriented manifold without boundary, imbedded in a euclidean space E and let f be a smooth map of M into a Riemannian manifold N. An unknown state x in M is observed via X=x+su where s>0 is a small parameter and u…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-08-19 Leo T. Butler , Boris Levit

Due to their conjugate posteriors, Gaussian process priors are attractive for estimating the drift of stochastic differential equations with continuous time observations. However, their performance strongly depends on the choice of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-04 Jan van Waaij

This paper studies optimization on networks modeled as metric graphs. Motivated by applications where the objective function is expensive to evaluate or only available as a black box, we develop Bayesian optimization algorithms that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-30 Wenwen Li , Daniel Sanz-Alonso , Ruiyi Yang

Gaussian process models are commonly used as emulators for computer experiments. However, developing a Gaussian process emulator can be computationally prohibitive when the number of experimental samples is even moderately large. Local…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-26 Chih-Li Sung , Robert B. Gramacy , Benjamin Haaland
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