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Pair-copula constructions are flexible dependence models that use bivariate copulas as building blocks. In this paper, we use generalized additive models to extend them by allowing covariates effects. Borrowing ideas from a traditionally…

Model selection is an important activity in modern data analysis and the conventional Bayesian approach to this problem involves calculation of marginal likelihoods for different models, together with diagnostics which examine specific…

In this paper, we propose a regular vine copula based methodology for the fusion of correlated decisions. Regular vine copula is an extremely flexible and powerful graphical model to characterize complex dependence among multiple…

When the copula of the conditional distribution of two random variables given a covariate does not depend on the value of the covariate, two conflicting intuitions arise about the best possible rate of convergence attainable by…

Empirical likelihood is a powerful semi-parametric method increasingly investigated in the literature. However, most authors essentially focus on an i.i.d. setting. In the case of dependent data, the classical empirical likelihood method…

Weak convergence of the empirical copula process indexed by a class of functions is established. Two scenarios are considered in which either some smoothness of these functions or smoothness of the underlying copula function is required. A…

A bivariate copula mixed model has been recently proposed to synthesize diagnostic test accuracy studies and it has been shown that is superior to the standard generalized linear mixed model (GLMM) in this context. Here we call trivariate…

Latent autoregressive processes are a popular choice to model time varying parameters. These models can be formulated as nonlinear state space models for which inference is not straightforward due to the high number of parameters. Therefore…

Copula-based models provide a great deal of flexibility in modelling multivariate distributions, allowing for the specifications of models for the marginal distributions separately from the dependence structure (copula) that links them to…

When modeling the distribution of a multivariate continuous random vector using the so-called \emph{copula approach}, it is not uncommon to have ties in the coordinate samples of the available data because of rounding or lack of measurement…

Fully describing the entire data set is essential in multivariate risk assessment, since moderate levels of one variable can influence another, potentially leading it to be extreme. Additionally, modelling both non-extreme and extreme…

The bootstrap provides a simple and powerful means of assessing the quality of estimators. However, in settings involving large datasets---which are increasingly prevalent---the computation of bootstrap-based quantities can be prohibitively…

Copulas provide a modular parameterization of multivariate distributions that decouples the modeling of marginals from the dependencies between them. Gaussian Mixture Copula Model (GMCM) is a highly flexible copula that can model many kinds…

Particle filters provide Monte Carlo approximations of intractable quantities such as point-wise evaluations of the likelihood in state space models. In many scenarios, the interest lies in the comparison of these quantities as some…

We develop factor copula models for analysing the dependence among mixed continuous and discrete responses. Factor copula models are canonical vine copulas that involve both observed and latent variables, hence they allow tail, asymmetric…

We are concerned with nonparametric hypothesis testing of time series functionals. It is known that the popular autoregressive sieve bootstrap is, in general, not valid for statistics whose (asymptotic) distribution depends on moments of…

The core of the classical block maxima method consists of fitting an extreme value distribution to a sample of maxima over blocks extracted from an underlying series. In asymptotic theory, it is usually postulated that the block maxima are…

Key to effective generic, or "black-box", variational inference is the selection of an approximation to the target density that balances accuracy and speed. Copula models are promising options, but calibration of the approximation can be…

Dirichlet Process Mixture (DPM) models have been increasingly employed to specify random partition models that take into account possible patterns within the covariates. Furthermore, to deal with large numbers of covariates, methods for…

Experiments with pre-trained models such as BERT are often based on a single checkpoint. While the conclusions drawn apply to the artifact tested in the experiment (i.e., the particular instance of the model), it is not always clear whether…