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Propagation of balance-sheet or cash-flow insolvency across financial institutions may be modeled as a cascade process on a network representing their mutual exposures. We derive rigorous asymptotic results for the magnitude of contagion in…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-03-26 Hamed Amini , Rama Cont , Andreea Minca

The biases exhibited by Text-to-Image (TTI) models are often treated as if they are independent, but in reality, they may be deeply interrelated. Addressing bias along one dimension, such as ethnicity or age, can inadvertently influence…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-03-14 Pushkar Shukla , Aditya Chinchure , Emily Diana , Alexander Tolbert , Kartik Hosanagar , Vineeth N. Balasubramanian , Leonid Sigal , Matthew A. Turk

Social network research has begun to take advantage of fine-grained communications regarding coordination, decision-making, and knowledge sharing. These studies, however, have not generally analyzed how external events are associated with a…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-02-02 Daniel M. Romero , Brian Uzzi , Jon Kleinberg

Financial global crisis has devastating impacts to economies since early XX century and continues to impose increasing collateral damages for governments, enterprises, and society in general. Up to now, all efforts to obtain efficient…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-04-09 Bruna Amin Gonçalves , Laura Carpi , Osvaldo A. Rosso , Martin G. Ravetti , A. P. F Atman

Economic interdependencies have become increasingly present in globalized production, financial and trade systems. While establishing interdependencies among economic agents is crucial for the production of complex products, they may also…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-12-23 Aymeric Vié , Alfredo J. Morales

We propose a dynamic model of dependence structure between financial institutions within a financial system and we construct measures for dependence and financial instability. Employing Markov structures of joint credit migrations, our…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-09-11 Yu-Sin Chang

In order to use the advanced inference techniques available for Ising models, we transform complex data (real vectors) into binary strings, by local averaging and thresholding. This transformation introduces parameters, which must be varied…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-17 Hongli Zeng , Rémi Lemoy , Mikko Alava

Networks are well-established representations of social systems, and temporal networks are widely used to study their dynamics. Temporal network data often consist in a succession of static networks over consecutive time windows whose…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-09-30 Valeria Gelardi , Didier Le Bail , Alain Barrat , Nicolas Claidière

We derive the default cascade model and the fire-sale spillover model in a unified interdependent framework. The interactions among banks include not only direct cross-holding, but also indirect dependency by holding mutual assets outside…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-10-11 William A. Barnett , Xue Wang , Hai-Chuan Xu , Wei-Xing Zhou

A major impact of globalization has been the information flow across the financial markets rendering them vulnerable to financial contagion. Research has focused on network analysis techniques to understand the extent and nature of such…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-11-15 Sayantan Banerjee , Kousik Guhathakurta

We study the cluster dynamics of multichannel (multivariate) time series by representing their correlations as time-dependent networks and investigating the evolution of network communities. We employ a node-centric approach that allows us…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-05-13 Daniel J. Fenn , Mason A. Porter , Mark McDonald , Stacy Williams , Neil F. Johnson , Nick S. Jones

Risks threatening modern societies form an intricately interconnected network that often underlies crisis situations. Yet, little is known about how risk materializations in distinct domains influence each other. Here we present an approach…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2016-05-03 Boleslaw K. Szymanski , Xin Lin , Andrea Asztalos , Sameet Sreenivasan

The ever increasing adoption of mobile technologies and ubiquitous services allows to sense human behavior at unprecedented levels of details and scale. Wearable sensors are opening up a new window on human mobility and proximity at the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-15 Alain Barrat , Ciro Cattuto

Trust lies at the crux of most economic transactions, with credit markets being a notable example. Drawing on insights from the literature on coordination games and network growth, we develop a simple model to clarify how trust breaks down…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-11-17 Kartik Anand , Prasanna Gai , Matteo Marsili

Microservice architecture can be modeled as a network of microservices making calls to each other, commonly known as the service dependency graph. Network Science can provide methods to study such networks. In particular, temporal network…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2025-08-18 Alexander Bakhtin

We contribute to the understanding of how systemic risk arises in a network of credit-interlinked agents. Motivated by empirical studies we formulate a network model which, despite its simplicity, depicts the nature of interbank markets…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-06-26 Oliver Kley , Claudia Klüppelberg , Lukas Reichel

Following the financial crisis of the late 2000s, policy makers have shown considerable interest in monitoring financial stability. Several central banks now publish indices of financial stress, which are essentially based upon market…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-08-24 Paul Ormerod , Rickard Nyman , David Tuckett

The instability of financial system issues might trigger a bank failure, evoke spillovers, and generate contagion effects which negatively impacted the financial system, ultimately on the economy. This phenomenon is the result of the highly…

General Economics · Economics 2021-03-05 Andry Alamsyah , Dian Puteri Ramadhani , Farida Titik Kristanti

Many real-world networks represent dynamic systems with interactions that change over time, often in uncoordinated ways and at irregular intervals. For example, university students connect in intermittent groups that repeatedly form and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-06-27 Ulf Aslak , Martin Rosvall , Sune Lehmann

This paper investigates whether a financial system can be made more stable if financial institutions share risk by exchanging contingent convertible (CoCo) debt obligations. The question is framed in a financial network model of debt and…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-10-27 Zachary Feinstein , T. R. Hurd