Related papers: Modeling Dependencies in Claims Reserving with GEE

Analysing dependent risks is an important task for insurance companies. A dependency is reflected in the fact that information about one random variable provides information about the likely distribution of values of another random…

Modeling insurance claim amounts and classifying claims into different risk levels are critical yet challenging tasks. Traditional predictive models for insurance claims often overlook the valuable information embedded in claim…

The quality of generalized linear models (GLMs), frequently used by insurance companies, depends on the choice of interacting variables. The search for interactions is time-consuming, especially for data sets with a large number of…

We present a novel forecasting framework for lake water temperature, which is crucial for managing lake ecosystems and drinking water resources. The General Lake Model (GLM) has been previously used for this purpose, but, similar to many…

Prediction of outstanding claims has been done via nonparametric models (chain ladder), semiparametric models (overdispersed poisson) or fully parametric models. In this paper, we propose models based on negative binomial distributions for…

Geographic context is often consider relevant to motor insurance risk, yet public actuarial datasets provide limited location identifiers, constraining how this information can be incorporated and evaluated in claim-frequency models. This…

In this study, we propose shrinkage methods based on {\it generalized ridge regression} (GRR) estimation which is suitable for both multicollinearity and high dimensional problems with small number of samples (large $p$, small $n$). Also,…

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We address regularised versions of the Expectation-Maximisation (EM) algorithm for Generalised Linear Mixed Models (GLMM) in the context of panel data (measured on several individuals at different time-points). A random response y is…

Generalized linear mixed models (GLMM) encompass large class of statistical models, with a vast range of applications areas. GLMM extends the linear mixed models allowing for different types of response variable. Three most common data…

Datasets are often reused to perform multiple statistical analyses in an adaptive way, in which each analysis may depend on the outcomes of previous analyses on the same dataset. Standard statistical guarantees do not account for these…

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Regression classes modeling more than the mean of the response have found a lot of attention in the last years. Expectile regression is a special and computationally convenient case of this family of models. Expectiles offer a quantile-like…

The generalized Ridge penalty is a powerful tool for dealing with overfitting and for high-dimensional regressions. The generalized Ridge regression can be derived as the mean of a posterior distribution with a Normal prior and a given…

We consider the problem of learning mixtures of generalized linear models (GLM) which arise in classification and regression problems. Typical learning approaches such as expectation maximization (EM) or variational Bayes can get stuck in…

High-dimensional longitudinal data have become increasingly prevalent in recent studies, and penalized generalized estimating equations (GEEs) are often used to model such data. However, the desirable properties of the GEE method can break…

Generalized linear models (GLMs) -- such as logistic regression, Poisson regression, and robust regression -- provide interpretable models for diverse data types. Probabilistic approaches, particularly Bayesian ones, allow coherent…

This paper introduces a class of generalised linear models (GLMs) driven by latent processes for modelling count, real-valued, binary, and positive continuous time series. Extending earlier latent-process regression frameworks based on…

In the last few decades, the study of ordinal data in which the variable of interest is not exactly observed but only known to be in a specific ordinal category has become important. In Psychometrics such variables are analysed under the…

Causal inference methods have been applied in various fields where researchers want to estimate treatment effects. In traditional causal inference settings, one assumes that the outcome of a unit does not depend on treatments of other…