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An inductive probabilistic classification rule must generally obey the principles of Bayesian predictive inference, such that all observed and unobserved stochastic quantities are jointly modeled and the parameter uncertainty is fully…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-03-25 Henrik Nyman , Jie Xiong , Johan Pensar , Jukka Corander

In this paper, we investigate local permutation tests for testing conditional independence between two random vectors $X$ and $Y$ given $Z$. The local permutation test determines the significance of a test statistic by locally shuffling…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-01-07 Ilmun Kim , Matey Neykov , Sivaraman Balakrishnan , Larry Wasserman

Multivariate functional data arise in a wide range of applications. One fundamental task is to understand the causal relationships among these functional objects of interest, which has not yet been fully explored. In this article, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-25 Fangting Zhou , Kejun He , Kunbo Wang , Yanxun Xu , Yang Ni

Statistical dependence between hypotheses poses a significant challenge to the stability of large scale multiple hypotheses testing. Ignoring it often results in an unacceptably large spread in the false positive proportion even though the…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-10-15 Sairam Rayaprolu , Zhiyi Chi

Testing hypothesis of independence between two random elements on a joint alphabet is a fundamental exercise in statistics. Pearson's chi-squared test is an effective test for such a situation when the contingency table is relatively small.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-19 Jialin Zhang , Zhiyi Zhang

The inferential model (IM) framework provides valid prior-free probabilistic inference by focusing on predicting unobserved auxiliary variables. But, efficient IM-based inference can be challenging when the auxiliary variable is of higher…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-01-20 Ryan Martin , Chuanhai Liu

Bayesian methods for graphical log-linear marginal models have not been developed in the same extent as traditional frequentist approaches. In this work, we introduce a novel Bayesian approach for quantitative learning for such models.…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-04 Ioannis Ntzoufras , Claudia Tarantola , Monia Lupparelli

This work initiates a systematic investigation of testing high-dimensional structured distributions by focusing on testing Bayesian networks -- the prototypical family of directed graphical models. A Bayesian network is defined by a…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2020-01-28 Clement Canonne , Ilias Diakonikolas , Daniel Kane , Alistair Stewart

We study the following independence testing problem: given access to samples from a distribution $P$ over $\{0,1\}^n$, decide whether $P$ is a product distribution or whether it is $\varepsilon$-far in total variation distance from any…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2023-01-04 Arnab Bhattacharyya , Clément L. Canonne , Joy Qiping Yang

Despite their importance in supporting experimental conclusions, standard statistical tests are often inadequate for research areas, like the life sciences, where the typical sample size is small and the test assumptions difficult to…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-04-15 Pietro Berkes , Jozsef Fiser

Gaussian process state-space models (GPSSMs) provide a principled and flexible approach to modeling the dynamics of a latent state, which is observed at discrete-time points via a likelihood model. However, inference in GPSSMs is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-18 Xuhui Fan , Edwin V. Bonilla , Terence J. O'Kane , Scott A. Sisson

We consider the problem of conditional independence testing: given a response Y and covariates (X,Z), we test the null hypothesis that Y is independent of X given Z. The conditional randomization test (CRT) was recently proposed as a way to…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-07 Molei Liu , Eugene Katsevich , Lucas Janson , Aaditya Ramdas

We propose an estimator of the Hilbert-Schmidt Independence Criterion obtained from an appropriate modification of the usual estimator. We then get asymptotic normality of this estimator both under independence hypothesis and under the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-06-24 Terence Kevin Manfoumbi Djonguet , Guy Martial Nkiet , Alban Mbina Mbina

In sequential design strategies, common in geostatistics and Bayesian optimization, the selection of a new observation point $X_{n+1}$ of a random function $\mathbf f$ is informed by past data, captured by the filtration $\mathcal…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-12 Felix Benning

Independence testing is a fundamental problem in statistical inference: given samples from a joint distribution $p$ over multiple random variables, the goal is to determine whether $p$ is a product distribution or is $\epsilon$-far from all…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-06 Maryam Aliakbarpour , Alireza Azizi , Ria Stevens

Conditional independence, and more generally conditional mutual independence, are central notions in probability theory. In their general forms, they include functional dependence as a special case. In this paper, we tackle two fundamental…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-24 Laigang Guo , Raymond W. Yeung , Tao Guo

Partial correlation coefficients are widely applied in the social sciences to evaluate the relationship between two variables after accounting for the influence of others. In this article, we present Bayes Factor Functions (BFFs) for…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-16 Saptati Datta

This paper introduces the notions of independence and conditional independence in valuation-based systems (VBS). VBS is an axiomatic framework capable of representing many different uncertainty calculi. We define independence and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-03-25 Prakash P. Shenoy

Constraint-based causal discovery algorithms utilize many statistical tests for conditional independence to uncover networks of causal dependencies. These approaches to causal discovery rely on an assumed correspondence between the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-18 Bijan Mazaheri , Jiaqi Zhang , Caroline Uhler

It is well known that conditional independence can be used to factorize a joint probability into a multiplication of conditional probabilities. This paper proposes a constructive definition of inter-causal independence, which can be used to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-28 Nevin Lianwen Zhang , David L Poole