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It is crucially important to estimate unknown parameters in earth system models by integrating observation and numerical simulation. For many applications in earth system sciences, an optimization method which allows parameters to…

Geophysics · Physics 2022-07-13 Yohei Sawada

Filtering is concerned with online estimation of the state of a dynamical system from partial and noisy observations. In applications where the state is high dimensional, ensemble Kalman filters are often the method of choice. This paper…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-12-20 Daniel Sanz-Alonso , Nathan Waniorek

Kalman Filter requires the true parameters of the model and solves optimal state estimation recursively. Expectation Maximization (EM) algorithm is applicable for estimating the parameters of the model that are not available before Kalman…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-26 Zhuangwei Shi

Real-time nonlinear Bayesian filtering algorithms are overwhelmed by data volume, velocity and increasing complexity of computational models. In this paper, we propose a novel ensemble based nonlinear Bayesian filtering approach which only…

Computation · Statistics 2019-06-05 Xiao Lin , Gabriel Terejanu

Global maps of the solar photospheric magnetic flux are fundamental drivers for simulations of the corona and solar wind and therefore are important predictors of geoeffective events. However, observations of the solar photosphere are only…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-06-23 Kyle S. Hickmann , Humberto C. Godinez , Carl J. Henney , C. Nick Arge

Concurrent observation technologies have made high-precision real-time data available in large quantities. Data assimilation (DA) is concerned with how to combine this data with physical models to produce accurate predictions. For…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-08-26 Jana de Wiljes , Xin T. Tong

Several localized versions of the ensemble Kalman filter have been proposed. Although tests applying such schemes have proven them to be extremely promising, a full basic understanding of the rationale and limitations of localization is…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2015-05-30 Young-noh Yoon , Edward Ott , Istvan Szunyogh

We use statistical learning methods to construct an adaptive state estimator for nonlinear stochastic systems. Optimal state estimation, in the form of a Kalman filter, requires knowledge of the system's process and measurement uncertainty.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-11-05 Michael Busch , Jeff Moehlis

This paper investigates the robot state estimation problem within a non-inertial environment. The proposed state estimation approach relaxes the common assumption of static ground in the system modeling. The process and measurement models…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-03-26 Zijian He , Sangli Teng , Tzu-Yuan Lin , Maani Ghaffari , Yan Gu

Kalman Filter (KF) is an optimal linear state prediction algorithm, with applications in fields as diverse as engineering, economics, robotics, and space exploration. Here, we develop an extension of the KF, called a Pathspace Kalman Filter…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-04-03 Chaitra Agrahar , William Poole , Simone Bianco , Hana El-Samad

We introduce a new computational framework for estimating parameters in generalized generalized linear models (GGLM), a class of models that extends the popular generalized linear models (GLM) to account for dependencies among observations…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-28 Anatoli Juditsky , Arkadi Nemirovski , Yao Xie , Chen Xu

The Gaussian process state-space models (GPSSMs) represent a versatile class of data-driven nonlinear dynamical system models. However, the presence of numerous latent variables in GPSSM incurs unresolved issues for existing variational…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-23 Zhidi Lin , Yiyong Sun , Feng Yin , Alexandre Hoang Thiéry

Modeling data with non-stationary covariance structure is important to represent heterogeneity in geophysical and other environmental spatial processes. In this work, we investigate a multistage approach to modeling non-stationary…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-05 Ashton Wiens , Douglas Nychka , William Kleibe

In a global numerical weather prediction (NWP) modeling framework we study the implementation of Gaussian uncertainty of individual particles into the assimilation step of a localized adaptive particle filter (LAPF). We obtain a local…

Applications · Statistics 2022-06-16 Anne Rojahn , Nora Schenk , Peter Jan van Leeuwen , Roland Potthast

The use of Kalman filtering, as well as its nonlinear extensions, for the estimation of system variables and parameters has played a pivotal role in many fields of scientific inquiry where observations of the system are restricted to a…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-02-15 Joseph Arthur , Adam Attarian , Franz Hamilton , Hien Tran

Latent variable models have become instrumental in computational neuroscience for reasoning about neural computation. This has fostered the development of powerful offline algorithms for extracting latent neural trajectories from neural…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-22 Matthew Dowling , Yuan Zhao , Il Memming Park

Switching Kalman Filters (SKF) are well known for their ability to solve the piecewise linear dynamic system estimation problem using the standard Kalman Filter (KF). Practical SKFs are heuristic, approximate filters that are not guaranteed…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-01-31 Parisa Karimi , Zhizhen Zhao , Mark Butala , Farzad Kamalabadi

We investigate the applicability of the data assimilation (DA) to large eddy simulations (LESs) based on the lattice Boltzmann method (LBM). We carry out the observing system simulation experiment of a two-dimensional (2D) forced isotropic…

For linear discrete state-space (LDSS) models, under certain conditions, the linear least mean squares filter estimate has a convenient recursive predictor/corrector format, aka the Kalman filter (KF). The aim of the paper is to introduce…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2017-11-07 Eric Chaumette , Francois Vincent

Ensemble Kalman methods were initially developed to solve nonlinear data assimilation problems in oceanography, but are now popular in applications far beyond their original use cases. Of particular interest is climate model calibration. As…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2025-11-21 Rebecca Gjini , Matthias Morzfeld , Oliver R. A. Dunbar , Tapio Schneider
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