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We introduce a new tool for predicting the evolution of an option for the cases where at some specific time, there is a high-degree of uncertainty for identifying its price. We work over the special case where we can predict the evolution…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2019-05-16 Ivan Arraut , Alan Au , Alan Ching-biu Tse , Carlos Segovia

We show how the prices of options can be determined with the help of double-fractional differential equation in such a way that their inclusion in a portfolio of stocks provides a more reliable hedge against dramatic price drops that the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-03-11 Hagen Kleinert , Jan Korbel

Stretched-exponential relaxation is a widely observed phenomenon found in ordered ferromagnets as well as glassy systems. One modeling approach connects this behavior to a droplet dynamics described by an effective Langevin equation for the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-02-21 Lucianno Defaveri , Eli Barkai , David A. Kessler

We introduce a Hawkes-like process and study its scaling limit as the system becomes increasingly endogenous. We derive functional limit theorems for intensity and fluctuations. Then, we introduce a high-frequency model for a price of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-07-12 Łukasz Treszczotko

We begin our journey by recalling the fundamentals of Probability Theory that underlie one of its most significant applications to real-world problems: Parametric Estimation. Throughout the text, we systematically develop this theme by…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-18 Levi Lopes de Lima

We study the energy minimization for a particle in a quadratic well in presence of short-ranged heavy-tailed disorder, as a toy model for an elastic manifold. The discrete model is shown to be described in the scaling limit by a continuum…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2014-04-23 Thomas Gueudré , Pierre Le Doussal

Density expansions for hypoelliptic diffusions $(X^1,...,X^d)$ are revisited. In particular, we are interested in density expansions of the projection $(X_T^1,...,X_T^l)$, at time $T>0$, with $l \leq d$. Global conditions are found which…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-05-30 J. D. Deuschel , P. K. Friz , A. Jacquier , S. Violante

Soft colloids allow to explore high density states well beyond random close packing. An important open question is whether softness controls the dynamics under these dense conditions. While experimental works reported conflicting results,…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2021-06-08 Nicoletta Gnan , Emanuela Zaccarelli

We derive new formulas for the price of the European call and put options in the Black-Scholes model, under the form of uniformly convergent series generalizing previously known approximations. We also provide precise boundaries for the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2019-06-07 Jean-Philippe Aguilar

We investigate a system of Brownian particles weakly bound by attractive parity-symmetric potentials that grow at large distances as $V(x) \sim |x|^\alpha$, with $0 < \alpha < 1$. The probability density function $P(x,t)$ at long times…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-07-24 Lucianno Defaveri , Eli Barkai , David A. Kessler

Mathematical theory of selection systems is developed for a wide class of dynamical models of inhomogeneous populations with discrete time. The Price equation and its particular case, the Fisher Fundamental theorem of natural selection…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 Georgy P. Karev

.Stochastic models based on random diffusivities, such as the diffusing-diffusivity approach, are popular concepts for the description of non-Gaussian diffusion in heterogeneous media. Studies of these models typically focus on the moments…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-08-26 V. Sposini , D. S. Grebenkov , R. Metzler , G. Oshanin , F. Seno

In this paper we propose an efficient method to compute the price of multi-asset American options, based on Machine Learning, Monte Carlo simulations and variance reduction technique. Specifically, the options we consider are written on a…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-12-04 Ludovic Goudenège , Andrea Molent , Antonino Zanette

We study the asymptotic behavior of distribution densities arising in stock price models with stochastic volatility. The main objects of our interest in the present paper are the density of time averages of the squared volatility process…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2009-06-03 A. Gulisashvili , E. M. Stein

The contact process is a non-equilibrium Hamiltonian model that, even in one dimension, lacks an exact solution and has been extensively studied via Monte Carlo simulations, both in steady-state and time-dependent scenarios. Although the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-04-15 Roberto da Silva , Eliseu Venites Filho , Henrique Almeida Fernandes , Paulo F. Gomes

Stochastic volatility models based on Gaussian processes, like fractional Brownian motion, are able to reproduce important stylized facts of financial markets such as rich autocorrelation structures, persistence and roughness of sample…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-10 Eduardo Abi Jaber

The classical linear Black--Scholes model for pricing derivative securities is a popular model in financial industry. It relies on several restrictive assumptions such as completeness, and frictionless of the market as well as the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-01-23 Jose Cruz , Daniel Sevcovic

Model uncertainty is a type of inevitable financial risk. Mistakes on the choice of pricing model may cause great financial losses. In this paper we investigate financial markets with mean-volatility uncertainty. Models for stock markets…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2014-07-31 Yuhong Xu

Proof that under simple assumptions, such as constraints of Put-Call Parity, the probability measure for the valuation of a European option has the mean derived from the forward price which can, but does not have to be the risk-neutral one,…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-09-05 Nassim N. Taleb

We present an explicit hedging strategy, which enables to prove arbitrageness of market incorporating at least two assets depending on the same random factor. The implied Black-Scholes volatility, computed taking into account the form of…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2011-03-01 Mikhail Martynov , Olga Rozanova