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Identifying leading measurement units from a large collection is a common inference task in various domains of large-scale inference. Testing approaches, which measure evidence against a null hypothesis rather than effect magnitude, tend to…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-17 Nicholas C. Henderson , Michael A. Newton

Hyper-parameter optimization remains as the core issue of Gaussian process (GP) for machine learning nowadays. The benchmark method using maximum likelihood (ML) estimation and gradient descent (GD) is impractical for processing big data…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-10 Linning Xu , Feng Yin , Jiawei Zhang , Zhi-Quan Luo , Shuguang Cui

Indirect Inference (I-I) is a popular technique for estimating complex parametric models whose likelihood function is intractable, however, the statistical efficiency of I-I estimation is questionable. While the efficient method of moments,…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-06-19 Veronika Czellar , David T. Frazier , Eric Renault

The traditional maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) is often of limited use in complex high-dimensional data due to the intractability of the underlying likelihood function. Maximum composite likelihood estimation (McLE) avoids full…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-02-18 Davide Ferrari , Guoqi Qian

Latent Gaussian models (LGMs) are a popular class of Bayesian hierarchical models that include Gaussian processes, as well as certain spatial models and mixed-effect models. Efficient Bayesian inference of LGMs often requires marginalizing…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-21 Jinlin Lai , Charles C. Margossian , Daniel R. Sheldon

We present a family of \textit{Gaussian Mixture Approximation} (GMA) samplers for sampling unnormalised target densities, encompassing \textit{weights-only GMA} (W-GMA), \textit{Laplace Mixture Approximation} (LMA),…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-01 Yongchao Huang

Generalized empirical likelihood and generalized method of moments are well spread methods of resolution of inverse problems in econometrics. Each method defines a specific semiparametric model for which it is possible to calculate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-11-24 Paul Rochet

We present a computationally-efficient strategy to initialise the hyperparameters of a Gaussian process (GP) avoiding the computation of the likelihood function. Our strategy can be used as a pretraining stage to find initial conditions for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-27 Felipe Tobar , Elsa Cazelles , Taco de Wolff

Standard present day large-scale structure (LSS) analyses make a major assumption in their Bayesian parameter inference --- that the likelihood has a Gaussian form. For summary statistics currently used in LSS, this assumption, even if the…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2019-03-06 ChangHoon Hahn , Florian Beutler , Manodeep Sinha , Andreas Berlind , Shirley Ho , David W. Hogg

Consider a pair of cumulative distribution functions $F$ and $G$, where $F$ is unknown and $G$ is a known reference distribution. Given a sample from $F$, we propose tests to detect the convexity or the concavity of $G^{-1}\circ F$ versus…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-25 Tommaso Lando , Mohammed Es-Salih Benjrada

The maximum likelihood estimation is computationally demanding for large datasets, particularly when the likelihood function includes integrals. Subsampling can reduce the computational burden, but it often results in efficiency loss.This…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-27 Miaomiao Su , Qihua Wang , Ruoyu Wang

We develop a near-optimal testing procedure under the framework of Gaussian differential privacy for simple as well as one- and two-sided tests under monotone likelihood ratio conditions. Our mechanism is based on a private mean estimator…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-30 Yu-Wei Chen , Raghu Pasupathy , Jordan Awan

Likelihood-free (a.k.a. simulation-based) inference problems are inverse problems with expensive, or intractable, forward models. ODE inverse problems are commonly treated as likelihood-free, as their forward map has to be numerically…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-07-01 Hans Kersting , Nicholas Krämer , Martin Schiegg , Christian Daniel , Michael Tiemann , Philipp Hennig

Likelihood-free methods are useful for parameter estimation of complex models with intractable likelihood functions for which it is easy to simulate data. Such models are prevalent in many disciplines including genetics, biology, ecology…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-29 Christopher Drovandi , David T Frazier

We study a parametric estimation problem related to moment condition models. As an alternative to the generalized empirical likelihood (GEL) and the generalized method of moments (GMM), a Bayesian approach to the problem can be adopted,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-03-02 Paul Rochet

The kernel function and its hyperparameters are the central model selection choice in a Gaussian proces (Rasmussen and Williams, 2006). Typically, the hyperparameters of the kernel are chosen by maximising the marginal likelihood, an…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-11-07 Vidhi Lalchand , Wessel P. Bruinsma , David R. Burt , Carl E. Rasmussen

Gaussian process (GP) regression is a non-parametric, Bayesian framework to approximate complex models. Standard GP regression can lead to an unbounded model in which some points can take infeasible values. We introduce a new GP method that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-04-04 Didem Kochan , Xiu Yang

Important problems in causal inference, economics, and, more generally, robust machine learning can be expressed as conditional moment restrictions, but estimation becomes challenging as it requires solving a continuum of unconditional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-19 Heiner Kremer , Jia-Jie Zhu , Krikamol Muandet , Bernhard Schölkopf

Mixture models with Gamma and or inverse-Gamma distributed mixture components are useful for medical image tissue segmentation or as post-hoc models for regression coefficients obtained from linear regression within a Generalised Linear…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-07-27 A. Llera , D. Vidaurre , R. H. R. Pruim , C. F. Beckmann

For many inference problems in statistics and econometrics, the unknown parameter is identified by a set of moment conditions. A generic method of solving moment conditions is the Generalized Method of Moments (GMM). However, classical GMM…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-18 Dhruv Rohatgi , Vasilis Syrgkanis