Related papers: A new recentered confidence sphere for the multiva…
Confidence interval of mean is often used when quoting statistics. The same rigor is often missing when quoting percentiles and tolerance or percentile intervals. This article derives the expression for confidence in percentiles of a sample…
We investigate the inference of varifold structures in a statistical framework: assuming that we have access to i.i.d. samples in $\mathbb{R}^n$ obtained from an underlying $d$--dimensional shape $S$ endowed with a possibly non uniform…
We study different estimators of the radius of convergence of the Taylor series of the pressure in finite density QCD. We adopt the approach in which the radius of convergence is estimated first in a finite volume, and the infinite-volume…
We propose a bootstrap-based calibrated projection procedure to build confidence intervals for single components and for smooth functions of a partially identified parameter vector in moment (in)equality models. The method controls…
Estimating the score, i.e., the gradient of log density function, from a set of samples generated by an unknown distribution is a fundamental task in inference and learning of probabilistic models that involve flexible yet intractable…
Projected least squares (PLS) is an intuitive and numerically cheap technique for quantum state tomography. The method first computes the least-squares estimator (or a linear inversion estimator) and then projects the initial estimate onto…
Let $\mu$ be a Gaussian measure (say, on ${\bf R}^n$) and let $K, L \subset {\bf R}^n$ be such that K is convex, $L$ is a "layer" (i.e. $L = \{x : a \leq < x,u > \leq b \}$ for some $a$, $b \in {\bf R}$ and $u \in {\bf R}^n$) and the…
We present a maximum likelihood analysis of cosmological parameters from measurements of the aperture mass up to 35 arcmin, using simulated and real cosmic shear data. A four-dimensional parameter space is explored which examines the mean…
Efficient Bayesian model selection relies on the model evidence or marginal likelihood, whose computation often requires evaluating an intractable integral. The harmonic mean estimator (HME) has long been a standard method of approximating…
In this work we deal with the problem of support estimation under shape restrictions. The shape restriction we deal with is an extension of the notion of convexity named alpha-convexity. Instead of assuming, as in the convex case, the…
We study robust mean-variance optimization in multiperiod portfolio selection by allowing the true probability measure to be inside a Wasserstein ball centered at the empirical probability measure. Given the confidence level, the radius of…
In this article, we derive the weak limiting distribution of the least squares estimator (LSE) of a convex probability mass function (pmf) with a finite support. We show that it can be defined via a certain convex projection of a Gaussian…
The infinite-dimensional Hilbert sphere $S^\infty$ has been widely employed to model density functions and shapes, extending the finite-dimensional counterpart. We consider the Fr\'echet mean as an intrinsic summary of the central tendency…
As a classical problem, covariance estimation has drawn much attention from the statistical community for decades. Much work has been done under the frequentist and the Bayesian frameworks. Aiming to quantify the uncertainty of the…
Introductory texts on statistics typically only cover the classical "two sigma" confidence interval for the mean value and do not describe methods to obtain confidence intervals for other estimators. The present technical report fills this…
Total probability and Bayes formula are two basic tools for using prior information in the Bayesian statistics. In this paper we introduce an alternative tool for using prior information. This new toold enables us to improve some…
This paper studies the sparse normal mean models under the empirical Bayes framework. We focus on the mixture priors with an atom at zero and a density component centered at a data driven location determined by maximizing the marginal…
We consider a high-probability non-asymptotic confidence estimation in the $\ell^2$-regularized non-linear least-squares setting with fixed design. In particular, we study confidence estimation for local minimizers of the regularized…
We consider the common problem setting of an elastic sphere impacting on a flexible beam. In contrast to previous studies, we analyze the modal energy distribution induced by the impact, having in mind the particular application of impact…
The possibility of improving on the usual multivariate normal confidence was first discussed in Stein (1962). Using the ideas of shrinkage, through Bayesian and empirical Bayesian arguments, domination results, both analytic and numerical,…