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We propose a statistical method for modeling the non-Poisson variability of spike trains observed in a wide range of brain regions. Central to our approach is the assumption that the variance and the mean of interspike intervals are related…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2015-05-22 Shinsuke Koyama

We propose in this work an original estimator of the conditional intensity of a marker-dependent counting process, that is, a counting process with covariates. We use model selection methods and provide a non asymptotic bound for the risk…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-10-24 F. Comte , S. Gaïffas , A. Guilloux

This paper addresses the problem of estimating the modes of an observed non-stationary mixture signal in the presence of an arbitrary distributed noise. A novel Bayesian model is introduced to estimate the model parameters from the…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-03-31 Quentin Legros , Dominique Fourer , Sylvain Meignen , Marcelo A. Colominas

In this work we consider a periodically forced generic integrate-and-fire model with a unique attracting equilibrium in the subthreshold dynamics and study the dependence of the firing-rate on the frequency of the drive. In an earlier study…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2014-04-07 Albert Granados , Maciej Krupa

Let $\{X_n\}_{n=0}^{\infty}$ be a stationary real-valued time series with unknown distribution. Our goal is to estimate the conditional expectation of $X_{n+1}$ based on the observations $X_i$, $0\le i\le n$ in a strongly consistent way.…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-06-19 G. Morvai , B. Weiss

In a generic neuron model, we present the linear response theory for the firing rate in response to both time dependent input currents and noise amplitudes. In both cases the signal transmission is strongly attenuated for frequencies above…

Biological Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Bjoern Naundorf , Theo Geisel , Fred Wolf

Accurate modelling of the joint extremal dependence structure within a stationary time series is a challenging problem that is important in many applications.\ Several previous approaches to this problem are only applicable to certain types…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-09 Graeme Auld , Ioannis Papastathopoulos

We seek to narrow the gap between parametric and nonparametric modelling of stationary time series processes. The approach is inspired by recent advances in focused inference and model selection techniques. The paper generalises and extends…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-20 Gudmund Hermansen , Nils Lid Hjort , Martin Jullum

Spike generation in neurons produces a temporal point process, whose statistics is governed by intrinsic phenomena and the external incoming inputs to be coded. In particular, spike-evoked adaptation currents support a slow temporal process…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2016-10-31 Eugenio Urdapilleta

Neurons in the intact brain receive a continuous and irregular synaptic bombardment from excitatory and inhibitory pre-synaptic neurons, which determines the firing activity of the stimulated neuron. In order to investigate the influence of…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2017-05-23 Simona Olmi , David Angulo-Garcia , Alberto Imparato , Alessandro Torcini

Parametric estimation for diffusion processes is considered for high frequency observations over a fixed time interval. The processes solve stochastic differential equations with an unknown parameter in the diffusion coefficient. We find…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-04-03 Nina Munkholt Jakobsen , Michael Sørensen

We present an approximate analytical expression for the escape rate of time-dependent driven stochastic processes with an absorbing boundary such as the driven leaky integrate-and-fire model for neural spiking. The novel approximation is…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 Michael Schindler , Peter Talkner , Peter Hänggi

Integrate-and-fire is a resource efficient time-encoding mechanism that summarizes into a signed spike train those time intervals where a signal's charge exceeds a certain threshold. We analyze the IF encoder in terms of a very general…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2026-01-15 Diana Carbajal , José Luis Romero

In this paper, we consider a piecewise deterministic Markov process (PDMP), with known flow and deterministic transition measure, and unknown jump rate $\lambda$. To estimate nonparametrically the jump rate, we first construct an adaptive…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-09 Nathalie Krell , Emeline Schmisser

We introduce a double/debiased machine learning estimator for the impulse response function in settings where a time series of interest is subjected to multiple discrete treatments, assigned over time, which can have a causal effect on…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-12-17 Daniele Ballinari , Alexander Wehrli

Piecewise-deterministic Markov processes form a general class of non-diffusion stochastic models that involve both deterministic trajectories and random jumps at random times. In this paper, we state a new characterization of the jump rate…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-05-03 Romain Azaïs , Alexandre Genadot

Discrimination between non-stationarity and long-range dependency is a difficult and long-standing issue in modelling financial time series. This paper uses an adaptive spectral technique which jointly models the non-stationarity and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-02-12 Nick James , Roman Marchant , Richard Gerlach , Sally Cripps

We consider the estimation of a non-linear reaction term in the stochastic heat or more generally in a semi-linear stochastic partial differential equation (SPDE). Consistent inference is achieved by studying a small diffusivity level,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-03-22 Sascha Gaudlitz , Markus Reiß

Integrate-and-fire (IF) neurons have found widespread applications in computational neuroscience. Particularly important are stochastic versions of these models where the driving consists of a synaptic input modeled as white Gaussian noise…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2009-12-15 Rafael D. Vilela , Benjamin Lindner

The coefficient function of the leading differential operator is estimated from observations of a linear stochastic partial differential equation (SPDE). The estimation is based on continuous time observations which are localised in space.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-30 Randolf Altmeyer , Markus Reiß