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The principle of absence of arbitrage opportunities allows obtaining the distribution of stock price fluctuations by maximizing its information entropy. This leads to a physical description of the underlying dynamics as a random walk…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-10-31 Rosario Bartiromo

Stochastic processes with renewal properties are powerful tools for modeling systems where memory effects and long-time correlations play a significant role. In this work, we study a broad class of renewal processes where a variable's value…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-10-15 Marco Bianucci , Mauro Bologna , Daniele Lagomarsino-Oneto , Riccardo Mannella

In this paper an econophysics model for the currency exchange operations with commission is proposed. With this purpose some analogies and similarities of the processes that take place in the frame of the electrochemical system made from…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2010-05-04 Ion Spanulescu , Victor A. Stoica , Ion Popescu

In statistical physics entropy is usually introduced as a global quantity which expresses the amount of information that would be needed to specify the microscopic configuration of a system. However, for lattice models with infinitely many…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-12 Ulrich Müller , Haye Hinrichsen

This thesis investigates the interactions of different degrees of freedom of one joint system within the theory of stochastic thermodynamics. First, a comprehensive introduction to the subjects of stochastic processes, information theory…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-07-31 Jannik Ehrich

We apply the formalism of the continuous time random walk to the study of financial data. The entire distribution of prices can be obtained once two auxiliary densities are known. These are the probability densities for the pausing time…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-10 Jaume Masoliver , Miquel Montero , George H. Weiss

Time series of observables measured from complex systems do often exhibit non-normal statistics, their statistical distributions (PDF's) are not gaussian and often skewed, with roughly exponential tails. Departure from gaussianity is…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-06-29 F. Sattin

The constituents of a complex system exchange information to function properly. Their signalling dynamics often leads to the appearance of emergent phenomena, such as phase transitions and collective behaviors. While information exchange…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-11-18 Arsham Ghavasieh , Carlo Nicolini , Manlio De Domenico

Complex systems are often characterized by the interplay of multiple interconnected dynamical processes operating across a range of temporal scales. This phenomenon is widespread in both biological and artificial scenarios, making it…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-09-08 Giorgio Nicoletti , Daniel M. Busiello

We solve a simple model that supports a dynamic phase transition and show conditions for the existence of the transition. Using methods of large deviation theory we analytically compute the probability distribution for activity and entropy…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-10-17 Todd R. Gingrich , Suriyanarayanan Vaikuntanathan , Phillip L. Geissler

The importance of structured, complex connectivity patterns found in several real-world systems is to a great extent related to their respective effects in constraining and even defining the respective dynamics. Yet, while complex networks…

Tissues and Organs · Quantitative Biology 2008-05-16 Matheus P. Viana , Bruno A. N. Travencolo , E. Tanck , Luciano da F. Costa

Estimating conditional mutual information (CMI) is an essential yet challenging step in many machine learning and data mining tasks. Estimating CMI from data that contains both discrete and continuous variables, or even discrete-continuous…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-01-14 Alexander Marx , Lincen Yang , Matthijs van Leeuwen

Recommendations based on behavioral data may be faced with ambiguous statistical evidence. We consider the case of association rules, relevant e.g.~for query and product recommendations. For example: Suppose that a customer belongs to…

Databases · Computer Science 2015-01-12 Rasmus Pagh , Morten Stöckel

Diversity is a fundamental feature of ecosystems, even when the concept of ecosystem is extended to sociology or economics. Diversity can be intended as the count of different items, animals, or, more generally, interactions. There are two…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-09-14 Andrea Tacchella , Riccardo Di Clemente , Andrea Gabrielli , Luciano Pietronero

We derive expressions for determination of the stress and the elastic constants in systems composed of particles interacting via non-central two-body potentials as thermal averages of products of first and second partial derivatives of the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 Michael Murat , Yacov Kantor

We study the dynamics of the linear and non-linear serial dependencies in financial time series in a rolling window framework. In particular, we focus on the detection of episodes of statistically significant two- and three-point…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-01-10 Milan Žukovič

We show that the two-stage minimum description length (MDL) criterion widely used to estimate linear change-point (CP) models corresponds to the marginal likelihood of a Bayesian model with a specific class of prior distributions. This…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-09 David Ardia , Arnaud Dufays , Carlos Ordas Criado

The basic system of differential equations for a multiphase flow with the introduction of the probability of each phase in the flow is considered. The main analysis is focused on the case of a heterogeneous two-phase flow. The conservation…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2018-03-12 Ivan Kazachkov

Complex system arises as a result of the nonlinear interactions between components. In particular, the evolutionary dynamics of a multivariate system encodes the ways in which different variables interact with each other individually or in…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2020-04-22 Peishi Jiang , Praveen Kumar

In this paper, we attempt to derive the expression of ensemble average internal energy in long-range interaction complex system. Further, the Shannon entropy hypothesis is used to derive the probability distribution function of energy. It…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-02-04 Yanxiu Liu , Shenglei Zhang , Liu He , Cheng Xu , Zhifu Huang