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Prediction sets can wrap around any ML model to cover unknown test outcomes with a guaranteed probability. Yet, it remains unclear how to use them optimally for downstream decision-making. Here, we propose a decision-theoretic framework…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-10 Tao Wang , Edgar Dobriban

Empirical risk minimization (ERM) is typically designed to perform well on the average loss, which can result in estimators that are sensitive to outliers, generalize poorly, or treat subgroups unfairly. While many methods aim to address…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-18 Tian Li , Ahmad Beirami , Maziar Sanjabi , Virginia Smith

Randomness extraction is an essential post-processing step in practical quantum cryptography systems. When statistical fluctuations are taken into consideration, the requirement of large input data size could heavily penalise the speed and…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-04-09 Hong Jie Ng , Wen Yu Kon , Ignatius William Primaatmaja , Chao Wang , Charles Lim

Large sample size brings the computation bottleneck for modern data analysis. Subsampling is one of efficient strategies to handle this problem. In previous studies, researchers make more fo- cus on subsampling with replacement (SSR) than…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-11-24 Rong Zhu

In this paper we propose strategies for estimating performance of a classifier when labels cannot be obtained for the whole test set. The number of test instances which can be labeled is very small compared to the whole test data size. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-02-21 Anurag Kumar , Bhiksha Raj

The estimation of rare event or failure probabilities in high dimensions is of interest in many areas of science and technology. We consider problems where the rare event is expressed in terms of a computationally costly numerical model.…

Computation · Statistics 2020-06-11 Felipe Uribe , Iason Papaioannou , Youssef M. Marzouk , Daniel Straub

Datasets with sheer volume have been generated from fields including computer vision, medical imageology, and astronomy whose large-scale and high-dimensional properties hamper the implementation of classical statistical models. To tackle…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-05-30 Hang Yu , Zhenxing Dou , Zhiwei Chen , Xiaomeng Yan

This note explores probabilistic sampling weighted by uncertainty in active learning. This method has been previously used and authors have tangentially remarked on its efficacy. The scheme has several benefits: (1) it is computationally…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-12 Vinay Jethava

The aim of this paper is twofold. First, three theoretical principles are formalized: randomization, overrepresentation and restriction. We develop these principles and give a rationale for their use in choosing the sampling design in a…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-12-16 Yves Tillé , Matthieu Wilhelm

To tackle massive data, subsampling is a practical approach to select the more informative data points. However, when responses are expensive to measure, developing efficient subsampling schemes is challenging, and an optimal sampling…

Computation · Statistics 2022-10-11 Jing Wang , HaiYing Wang , Shifeng Xiong

Parametric inference posits a statistical model that is a specified family of probability distributions. Restricted inference, e.g., restricted likelihood ratio testing, attempts to exploit the structure of a statistical submodel that is a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-03-22 Michael W. Trosset , Carey E. Priebe

A key tool to carry out inference on the unknown copula when modeling a continuous multivariate distribution is a nonparametric estimator known as the empirical copula. One popular way of approximating its sampling distribution consists of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-01 Ivan Kojadinovic , Kristina Stemikovskaya

This paper addresses the problem of estimating the containment and similarity between two sets using only random samples from each set, without relying on sketches of full sets. The study introduces a binomial model for predicting the…

Computation · Statistics 2025-07-22 Pranav Joshi

Random hypothesis sampling lies at the core of many popular robust fitting techniques such as RANSAC. In this paper, we propose a novel hypothesis sampling scheme based on incremental computation of distances between partial rankings…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2011-06-02 Hoi Sim Wong , Tat-Jun Chin , Jin Yu , David Suter

We study the empirical likelihood approach to construct confidence intervals for the optimal value and the optimality gap of a given solution, henceforth quantify the statistical uncertainty of sample average approximation, for optimization…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-10-25 Henry Lam , Enlu Zhou

The traditional maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) is often of limited use in complex high-dimensional data due to the intractability of the underlying likelihood function. Maximum composite likelihood estimation (McLE) avoids full…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-02-18 Davide Ferrari , Guoqi Qian

Data reduction is a fundamental challenge of modern technology, where classical statistical methods are not applicable because of computational limitations. We consider multiple linear regression for an extraordinarily large number of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-30 Torsten Glemser , Rainer Schwabe

Big data presents potential but unresolved value as a source for analysis and inference. However,selection bias, present in many of these datasets, needs to be accounted for so that appropriate inferences can be made on the target…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-09 Lyndon Ang , Robert Clark , Bronwyn Loong , Anders Holmberg

Asymptotically optimal sampling-based planners require an intelligent exploration strategy to accelerate convergence. After an initial solution is found, a necessary condition for improvement is to generate new samples in the so-called…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-03-22 Sagar Suhas Joshi , Panagiotis Tsiotras

When randomized ensemble methods such as bagging and random forests are implemented, a basic question arises: Is the ensemble large enough? In particular, the practitioner desires a rigorous guarantee that a given ensemble will perform…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-08-06 Miles E. Lopes , Suofei Wu , Thomas C. M. Lee