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In paired comparison experiments respondents usually evaluate pairs of competing options. For this situation we introduce an appropriate model and derive optimal designs in the presence of second-order interactions when all attributes are…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-24 Eric Nyarko , Rainer Schwabe

In this paper some new properties and computational tools for finding KL-optimum designs are provided. KL-optimality is a general criterion useful to select the best experimental conditions to discriminate between statistical models. A…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-01-04 Giacomo Aletti , Caterina May , Chiara Tommasi

Many existing methods for constructing optimal split-plot designs, such as D-optimal designs, only focus on minimizing the variances and covariances of the estimation for the fitted model. However, the underlying true model is usually…

Computation · Statistics 2016-08-02 Chang-Yun Lin

In the one-parameter regression model with AR(1) and AR(2) errors we find explicit expressions and a continuous approximation of the optimal discrete design for the signed least square estimator. The results are used to derive the optimal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-02-12 Holger Dette , Andrey Pepelyshev , Anatoly Zhigljavsky

This paper considers pairs of optimization problems that are defined from a single input and for which it is desired to find a good approximation to either one of the problems. In many instances, it is possible to efficiently find an…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2009-09-11 David Eppstein

Prediction sets can wrap around any ML model to cover unknown test outcomes with a guaranteed probability. Yet, it remains unclear how to use them optimally for downstream decision-making. Here, we propose a decision-theoretic framework…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-10 Tao Wang , Edgar Dobriban

Dynamical systems are frequently used to model biological systems. When these models are fit to data it is necessary to ascertain the uncertainty in the model fit. Here we present prediction deviation, a new metric of uncertainty that…

Applications · Statistics 2017-06-08 Benjamin Letham , Portia A. Letham , Cynthia Rudin , Edward P. Browne

In this work, we present a novel algorithm design methodology that finds the optimal algorithm as a function of inequalities. Specifically, we restrict convergence analyses of algorithms to use a prespecified subset of inequalities, rather…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-03-25 Chanwoo Park , Ernest K. Ryu

Today's high-stakes adversarial interactions feature attackers who constantly breach the ever-improving security measures. Deception mitigates the defender's loss by misleading the attacker to make suboptimal decisions. In order to formally…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-06-11 Zheyuan Ryan Shi , Ariel D. Procaccia , Kevin S. Chan , Sridhar Venkatesan , Noam Ben-Asher , Nandi O. Leslie , Charles Kamhoua , Fei Fang

To avoid multicollinearity in regression analysis, Ye and Zhou(2013) proposed $K-$optimality criterion. By far the most popular models for modeling the response of a mixture experiment are the Scheff\'{e} models. However, there have been no…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-10-17 Hao-sheng Jiang , Jia-li Chen , Chong-qi Zhang

If the assumed model does not accurately capture the underlying structure of the data, a statistical method is likely to yield sub-optimal results, and so model selection is crucial in order to conduct any statistical analysis. However, in…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-21 Vasilis Chasiotis , Dimitris Karlis

We design optimal $2 \times N$ ($2 <N$) matrices, with unit columns, so that the maximum condition number of all the submatrices comprising 3 columns is minimized. The problem has two applications. When estimating a 2-dimensional signal by…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2012-12-17 Hema Kumari Achanta , Weiyu Xu , Soura Dasgupta

Model selection/optimization in conformal inference is challenging, since it may break the exchangeability between labeled and unlabeled data. We study this problem in the context of conformal selection, which uses conformal p-values to…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-28 Tian Bai , Ying Jin

We develop general theory for finding locally optimal designs in a class of single-covariate models under any differentiable optimality criterion. Yang and Stufken [Ann. Statist. 40 (2012) 1665-1681] and Dette and Schorning [Ann. Statist.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-12-01 Linwei Hu , Min Yang , John Stufken

We investigate the problem of best policy identification in discounted linear Markov Decision Processes in the fixed confidence setting under a generative model. We first derive an instance-specific lower bound on the expected number of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-12 Jerome Taupin , Yassir Jedra , Alexandre Proutiere

We formulate the problem of performing optimal data compression under the constraints that compressed data can be used for accurate classification in machine learning. We show that this translates to a problem of minimizing the mutual…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-11-04 Jingchao Gao , Ao Tang , Weiyu Xu

Optimal designs for generalized linear models require a prior knowledge of the regression parameters. At certain values of the parameters we propose particular assumptions which allow to derive a locally optimal design for a model without…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-26 Osama Idais

The problem of computing an exact experimental design that is optimal for the least-squares estimation of the parameters of a regression model is considered. We show that this problem can be solved via mixed-integer linear programming…

Computation · Statistics 2024-06-18 Radoslav Harman , Samuel Rosa

This paper compares two leading approaches for robust optimization in the models of online algorithms and mechanism design. Competitive analysis compares the performance of an online algorithm to an offline benchmark in worst-case over…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2020-09-09 Jason Hartline , Aleck Johnsen , Yingkai Li

Checklists are simple decision aids that are often used to promote safety and reliability in clinical applications. In this paper, we present a method to learn checklists for clinical decision support. We represent predictive checklists as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-19 Haoran Zhang , Quaid Morris , Berk Ustun , Marzyeh Ghassemi
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