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In this paper, we present a numerical framework for constructing bounds on stationary performance measures of random walks in the positive orthant using the Markov reward approach. These bounds are established in terms of stationary…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-22 Xinwei Bai , Jasper Goseling

We study the asymptotic behavior of a Markov chain on $\mathbb{Z}^2$ that corresponds to the two-dimensional marginals of a reinforcement process on $\mathbb{Z}^{\mathbb{N}}$. Three distinct asymptotic regimes are identified, depending on…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Jean Bérard

In this paper we study the problem of recovering a structured but unknown parameter ${\bf{\theta}}^*$ from $n$ nonlinear observations of the form $y_i=f(\langle {\bf{x}}_i,{\bf{\theta}}^*\rangle)$ for $i=1,2,\ldots,n$. We develop a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-10-25 Samet Oymak , Mahdi Soltanolkotabi

A recent trend in Bayesian research has been revisiting generalizations of the likelihood that enable Bayesian inference without requiring the specification of a model for the data generating mechanism. This paper focuses on a Bayesian…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-03 Antonio R. Linero

A step-reinforced random walk is a discrete-time non-Markovian process with long range memory. At each step, with a fixed probability p, the positively step-reinforced random walk repeats one of its preceding steps chosen uniformly at…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-28 Zhishui Hu , Yiting Zhang

An irreversible Markov-chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm with skew detailed balance conditions originally proposed by Turitsyn et al. is extended to general discrete systems on the basis of the Metropolis-Hastings scheme. To evaluate the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-04-21 Yuji Sakai , Koji Hukushima

Reversible Markov chains play a central role in stochastic modelling and in algorithms such as Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC). Motivated by the fundamental importance of reversibility in classical settings, this paper develops a…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-28 Damjan Škulj

Feature and trait allocation models are fundamental objects in Bayesian nonparametrics and play a prominent role in several applications. Existing approaches, however, typically assume full exchangeability of the data, which may be…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-11 Lorenzo Ghilotti , Federico Camerlenghi , Tommaso Rigon , Michele Guindani

Completely automatic and adaptive non-parametric inference is a pie in the sky. The frequentist approach, best exemplified by the kernel estimators, has excellent asymptotic characteristics but it is very sensitive to the choice of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 Carlos C. Rodriguez

In the context of nonparametric Bayesian estimation a Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm is devised and implemented to sample from the posterior distribution of the drift function of a continuously or discretely observed one-dimensional…

Computation · Statistics 2017-06-08 Frank van der Meulen , Moritz Schauer , Harry van Zanten

A new class of nonparametric prior distributions, termed Beta-Binomial stick-breaking process, is proposed. By allowing the underlying length random variables to be dependent through a Beta marginals Markov chain, an appealing discrete…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-08-12 María F. Gil-Leyva , Ramsés H. Mena , Theodoros Nicoleris

We study linearly edge-reinforced random walks on $\mathbb{Z}_+$, where each edge $\{x,x+1\}$ has the initial weight $x^{\alpha} \vee 1$, and each time an edge is traversed, its weight is increased by $\Delta$. It is known that the walk is…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-28 Masato Takei

Compared to the nominal scale, the ordinal scale for a categorical outcome variable has the property of making a monotonicity assumption for the covariate effects meaningful. This assumption is encoded in the commonly used proportional odds…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-04 Olli Saarela , Christian Rohrbeck , Elja Arjas

We develop a unifying framework for Bayesian nonparametric regression to study the rates of contraction with respect to the integrated $L_2$-distance without assuming the regression function space to be uniformly bounded. The framework is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-30 Fangzheng Xie , Wei Jin , Yanxun Xu

Measure-valued Markov chains have raised interest in Bayesian nonparametrics since the seminal paper by (Math. Proc. Cambridge Philos. Soc. 105 (1989) 579--585) where a Markov chain having the law of the Dirichlet process as unique…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-07-27 Stefano Favaro , Alessandra Guglielmi , Stephen G. Walker

We present an adiabatic quantum algorithm for the abstract problem of searching marked vertices in a graph, or spatial search. Given a random walk (or Markov chain) $P$ on a graph with a set of unknown marked vertices, one can define a…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2010-09-08 Hari Krovi , Maris Ozols , Jérémie Roland

Typical Bayesian inference requires parameter identification via likelihood parameterization, which has invited criticism for being less flexible than the Frequentist framework and subject to misspecification. Though misspecification may be…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-29 Vivian Y. Meng , David A. Stephens

We develop a Bayesian nonparametric extension of the popular Plackett-Luce choice model that can handle an infinite number of choice items. Our framework is based on the theory of random atomic measures, with the prior specified by a gamma…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-11-20 Francois Caron , Yee Whye Teh

The unitarily invariant probability measures on infinite Hermitian matrices have been classified by Pickrell, and by Olshanski and Vershik. This classification is equivalent to determining the boundary of a certain inhomogeneous Markov…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-08-21 Theodoros Assiotis , Joseph Najnudel

We introduce a unified operator-theoretic framework for analyzing mixing times of finite-state ergodic Markov chains that applies to both reversible and non-reversible dynamics. The central object in our analysis is the projected transition…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-05 Muhammad Abdullah Naeem