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Statistical hypothesis tests typically use prespecified sample sizes, yet data often arrive sequentially. Interim analyses invalidate classical error guarantees, while existing sequential methods require rigid testing preschedules or incur…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-17 Chris Holmes , Stephen Walker

We describe group sequential tests which efficiently incorporate information from multiple endpoints allowing for early stopping at pre-planned interim analyses. We formulate a testing procedure where several outcomes are examined, and…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-09 Abigail J. Burdon , Thomas Jaki

Mathematical proofs are a cornerstone of control theory, and it is important to get them right. Deduction systems can help with this by mechanically checking the proofs. However, the structure and level of detail at which a proof is…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-21 Mario Gleirscher , Rehab Massoud , Dieter Hutter , Christoph Lüth

We propose using a permutation test to detect discontinuities in an underlying economic model at a known cutoff point. Relative to the existing literature, we show that this test is well suited for event studies based on time-series data.…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-07-12 Federico A. Bugni , Jia Li , Qiyuan Li

Comparison and contrast are the basic means to unveil causation and learn which treatments work. To build good comparison groups, randomized experimentation is key, yet often infeasible. In such non-experimental settings, we illustrate and…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-30 Ambarish Chattopadhyay , Jose R. Zubizarreta

Ratios of universal enumerable semimeasures corresponding to hypotheses are investigated as a solution for statistical composite hypotheses testing if an unbounded amount of computation time can be assumed. Influence testing for discrete…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-12-15 Bruno Bauwens

Consider a researcher estimating the parameters of a regression function based on data for all 50 states in the United States or on data for all visits to a website. What is the interpretation of the estimated parameters and the standard…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-25 Alberto Abadie , Susan Athey , Guido W. Imbens , Jeffrey M. Wooldridge

Although atomistic simulations of proteins and other biological systems are approaching microsecond timescales, the quality of trajectories has remained difficult to assess. Such assessment is critical not only for establishing the…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 Edward Lyman , Daniel M. Zuckerman

The aim of this article is to make a contribution to the Bayesian procedure of testing precise hypotheses for parametric models. For this purpose, we define the Bayesian Discrepancy Measure that allows one to evaluate the suitability of a…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-21 Francesco Bertolino , Mara Manca , Monica Musio , Walter Racugno , Laura Ventura

Hyperuniformity is the study of stationary point processes with a sub-Poisson variance in a large window. In other words, counting the points of a hyperuniform point process that fall in a given large region yields a small-variance Monte…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-04 Diala Hawat , Guillaume Gautier , Rémi Bardenet , Raphaël Lachièze-Rey

We consider the conditional randomization test as a way to account for covariate imbalance in randomized experiments. The test accounts for covariate imbalance by comparing the observed test statistic to the null distribution of the test…

Using cumulative residual processes, we propose joint goodness-of-fit tests for conditional means and variances functions in the context of nonlinear time series with martingale difference innovations. The main challenge comes from the fact…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-02 Kilani Ghoudi , Naâmane Laïb , Mohamed Chaouch

The estimation of covariance operators of spatio-temporal data is in many applications only computationally feasible under simplifying assumptions, such as separability of the covariance into strictly temporal and spatial factors.Powerful…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-03-30 Holger Dette , Gauthier Dierickx , Tim Kutta

Performance estimation aims at estimating the loss that a predictive model will incur on unseen data. These procedures are part of the pipeline in every machine learning project and are used for assessing the overall generalisation ability…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-31 Vitor Cerqueira , Luis Torgo , Igor Mozetic

Motivated by the need to statistically quantify differences between modern (complex) data-sets which commonly result as high-resolution measurements of stochastic processes varying over a continuum, we propose novel testing procedures to…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-15 Anne van Delft , Holger Dette

In spatial statistics, point processes are often assumed to be isotropic meaning that their distribution is invariant under rotations. Statistical tests for the null hypothesis of isotropy found in the literature are based either on…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-17 Chiara Fend , Claudia Redenbach

A new computationally efficient dependence measure, and an adaptive statistical test of independence, are proposed. The dependence measure is the difference between analytic embeddings of the joint distribution and the product of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-10-18 Wittawat Jitkrittum , Zoltan Szabo , Arthur Gretton

Economic data are often generated by stochastic processes that take place in continuous time, though observations may occur only at discrete times. For example, electricity and gas consumption take place in continuous time. Data generated…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-06-15 Federico A. Bugni , Joel L. Horowitz

Distance covariance is a popular measure of dependence between random variables. It has some robustness properties, but not all. We prove that the influence function of the usual distance covariance is bounded, but that its breakdown value…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-26 Sarah Leyder , Jakob Raymaekers , Peter J. Rousseeuw

Two-sample network hypothesis testing is an important inference task with applications across diverse fields such as medicine, neuroscience, and sociology. Many of these testing methodologies operate under the implicit assumption that the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-28 Ayushi Saxena , Vince Lyzinski
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