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We analyze the accuracy of collective decision-making in socially connected populations, where agents update binary choices through local interactions on a network. Each agent receives a private signal that is biased -- even marginally --…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-29 Dan Braha , Marcus A. M. de Aguiar

Our aim is to estimate the largest community (a.k.a., mode) in a population composed of multiple disjoint communities. This estimation is performed in a fixed confidence setting via sequential sampling of individuals with replacement. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-09-25 Meera Pai , Nikhil Karamchandani , Jayakrishnan Nair

With the rapid development of data collection and aggregation technologies in many scientific disciplines, it is becoming increasingly ubiquitous to conduct large-scale or online regression to analyze real-world data and unveil real-world…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-22 Jinfeng Xu , Zhiliang Ying , Na Zhao

Nowadays, people in the modern world communicate with their friends, relatives, and colleagues through the internet. Persons/nodes and communication/edges among them form a network. Social media networks are a type of network where people…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-07-01 Rahul Kumar Gautam

Adult death rates are a critical indicator of population health and wellbeing. Wealthy countries have high-quality vital registration systems, but poor countries lack this infrastructure and must rely on estimates that are often…

Applications · Statistics 2017-08-01 Dennis M. Feehan , Mary Mahy , Matthew J. Salganik

We study the voter model dynamics in the presence of confidence and bias. We assume two types of voters. Unbiased voters whose confidence is indifferent to the state of the voter and biased voters whose confidence is biased towards a common…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-08-10 Agnieszka Czaplicka , Christos Charalambous , Raul Toral , Maxi San Miguel

Estimating heritability remains a significant challenge in statistical genetics. Diverse approaches have emerged over the years that are broadly categorized as either random effects or fixed effects heritability methods. In this work, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-18 Yanke Song , Xihong Lin , Pragya Sur

Influence maximization (IM) aims to identify a small number of influential individuals to maximize the information spread and finds applications in various fields. It was first introduced in the context of viral marketing, where a company…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-06-06 Shiqi Zhang , Yiqian Huang , Jiachen Sun , Wenqing Lin , Xiaokui Xiao , Bo Tang

This paper deals with randomized polling of a social network. In the case of forecasting the outcome of an election between two candidates A and B, classical intent polling asks randomly sampled individuals: who will you vote for?…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-05-06 Buddhika Nettasinghe , Vikram Krishnamurthy

Understanding individual decisions in a world where communications and information move instantly via cell phones and the internet, contributes to the development and implementation of policies aimed at stopping or ameliorating the spread…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-03-31 Asma Azizi , Cesar Montalvo , Baltazar Espinoza , Yun Kang , Carlos Castillo-Chavez

Social networks are commonly used for marketing purposes. For example, free samples of a product can be given to a few influential social network users (or "seed nodes"), with the hope that they will convince their friends to buy it. One…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-01-17 Siyu Lei , Silviu Maniu , Luyi Mo , Reynold Cheng , Pierre Senellart

Infectious or contagious diseases can be transmitted from one person to another through social contact networks. In today's interconnected global society, such contagion processes can cause global public health hazards, as exemplified by…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-07-30 Anirban Dasgupta , Srijan Sengupta

Influence maximization aims to find a subset of seeds that maximize the influence spread under a given budget. In this paper, we mainly address the data-driven version of this problem, where the diffusion model is not given but needs to be…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-11-21 Yuxin Zuo , Haojia Sun , Yongyi Hu , Jianxiong Guo , Xiaofeng Gao

Influence propagation in social networks has recently received large interest. In fact, the understanding of how influence propagates among subjects in a social network opens the way to a growing number of applications. Many efforts have…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-01-30 Luca Luceri , Torsten Braun , Silvia Giordano

In this article, we propose using network-based sampling strategies to estimate the number of unsheltered people experiencing homelessness within a given administrative service unit, known as a Continuum of Care. We demonstrate the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-10-31 Zack W. Almquist , Ashley Hazel , Owen Kajfasz , Janelle Rothfolk , Claire Guilmette , Mary-Catherine Anderson , Larisa Ozeryansky , Amy Hagopian

We examine the problem of family size statistics (the number of individuals carrying the same surname, or the same DNA sequence) in a given size subsample of an exponentially growing population. We approach the problem from two directions.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-03-24 Yosef E. Maruvka , Nadav M. Shnerb , David A. Kessler

We develop a multi-state model to estimate the size of a closed population from ecological capture-recapture studies. We consider the case where capture-recapture data are not of a simple binary form, but where the state of an individual is…

Applications · Statistics 2017-08-02 Hannah Worthington , Rachel S. McCrea , Ruth King , Richard A. Griffiths

Influence maximization is the problem of finding a set of users in a social network, such that by targeting this set, one maximizes the expected spread of influence in the network. Most of the literature on this topic has focused…

Databases · Computer Science 2011-10-03 Amit Goyal , Francesco Bonchi , Laks V. S. Lakshmanan

Estimating the size of hidden populations using Multiple Systems Estimation (MSE) is a critical task in quantitative sociology; however, practical application is often hindered by imperfect administrative data and computational constraints.…

Applications · Statistics 2026-01-12 Joseph Marsh , Nathan A. Judd , Lax Chan , Rowland G. Seymour

Progress in natural language generation research has been shaped by the ever-growing size of language models. While large language models pre-trained on web data can generate human-sounding text, they also reproduce social biases and…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-06-06 Celine Wald , Lukas Pfahler