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This paper develops a three-dimensional decomposition of volatility memory into orthogonal components of level, shape, and tempo. The framework unifies regime-switching, fractional-integration, and business-time approaches within a single…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-03 Ziyao Wang , A. Alexandre Trindade , Svetlozar T. Rachev

Complex systems are composed of mutually interacting components and the output values of these components are usually long-range cross-correlated. We propose a method to characterize the joint multifractal nature of such long-range cross…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-02-27 Zhi-Qiang Jiang , Xing-Lu Gao , Wei-Xing Zhou , H. Eugene Stanley

In the stochastic volatility models for multivariate daily stock returns, it has been found that the estimates of parameters become unstable as the dimension of returns increases. To solve this problem, we focus on the factor structure of…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-09-16 Yuta Yamauchi , Yasuhiro Omori

We describe a new method that is both physically explicable and quantitatively accurate in describing the multifractal characteristics of intermittent events based on groupings of rank-ordered fluctuations. The generic nature of such…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-06-23 Tom Chang , Cheng-chin Wu

Based on the tick-by-tick stock prices from the German and American stock markets, we study the statistical properties of the distribution of the individual stocks and the index returns in highly collective and noisy intervals of trading,…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2015-06-24 J. Kwapien , S. Drozdz , J. Speth

In today's increasingly international economy, return and volatility spillover effects across international equity markets are major macroeconomic drivers of stock dynamics. Thus, information regarding foreign markets is one of the most…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-09-20 Sang Il Lee , Seong Joon Yoo

It is commonly believed that the correlations between stock returns increase in high volatility periods. We investigate how much of these correlations can be explained within a simple non-Gaussian one-factor description with time…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2008-12-02 Pierre Cizeau , Marc Potters , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

Power spectral density is an accepted measure of heart rate variability. Two estimators of multifractal properties: Wavelet Transform Modulus Maxima and Multifractal Detrended Fluctuation Analysis are used to investigate multifractal…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 Danuta Makowiec , Aleksandra Dudkowska , Rafal Galaska , Andrzej Rynkiewicz

This study investigates the volatility of daily Bitcoin returns and multifractal properties of the Bitcoin market by employing the rolling window method and examines relationships between the volatility asymmetry and market efficiency.…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-02-18 Tetsuya Takaishi

In the face of the upcoming 30th anniversary of econophysics, we review our contributions and other related works on the modeling of the long-range memory phenomenon in physical, economic, and other social complex systems. Our group has…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-08-31 Rytis Kazakevicius , Aleksejus Kononovicius , Bronislovas Kaulakys , Vygintas Gontis

We investigate the correlation properties of transaction data from the New York Stock Exchange. The trading activity f(t) of each stock displays a crossover from weaker to stronger correlations at time scales 60-390 minutes. In both…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 Zoltan Eisler , Janos Kertesz

Financial stock returns correlations have been studied in the prism of random matrix theory, to distinguish the signal from the "noise". Eigenvalues of the matrix that are above the rescaled Marchenko Pastur distribution can be interpreted…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-19 Ixandra Achitouv

Using Trades and Quotes data from the Paris stock market, we show that the random walk nature of traded prices results from a very delicate interplay between two opposite tendencies: long-range correlated market orders that lead to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Jean-Philippe Bouchaud , Yuval Gefen , Marc Potters , Matthieu Wyart

We explore a decomposition in which returns on a large class of portfolios relative to the market depend on a smooth non-negative drift and changes in the asset price distribution. This decomposition is obtained using general continuous…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-10-31 Ricardo T. Fernholz , Caleb Stroup

We investigated distributions of short term price trends for high frequency stock market data. A number of trends as a function of their lengths was measured. We found that such a distribution does not fit to results following from an…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 Paweł Sieczka , Janusz A. Hołyst

We consider a mean-reverting stochastic volatility model which satisfies some relevant stylized facts of financial markets. We introduce an algorithm for the detection of peaks in the volatility profile, that we apply to the time series of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-12-05 Mario Bonino , Matteo Camelia , Paolo Pigato

The multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis of time series is able to reveal the presence of long-range correlations and, at the same time, to characterize the self-similarity of the series. The rich information derivable from the…

Biomolecules · Quantitative Biology 2015-02-06 Enrico Maiorino , Lorenzo Livi , Alessandro Giuliani , Alireza Sadeghian , Antonello Rizzi

We present some stylized facts exhibited by the time series of returns of the Mexican Stock Exchange Index (IPC) and compare them to a sample of both developed (USA, UK and Japan) and emerging markets (Brazil and India). The period of study…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-12-11 Omar Rojas , Carlos Trejo-Pech

We compare some methods recently used in the literature to detect the existence of a certain degree of common behavior of stock returns belonging to the same economic sector. Specifically, we discuss methods based on random matrix theory…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2008-12-02 C. Coronnello , M. Tumminello , F. Lillo , S. Miccichè , R. N. Mantegna

Intertrade duration of equities is an important financial measure characterizing the trading activities, which is defined as the waiting time between successive trades of an equity. Using the ultrahigh-frequency data of a liquid Chinese…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-04-01 Yong-Ping Ruan , Wei-Xing Zhou