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The dynamics of prices in financial markets has been studied intensively both experimentally (data analysis) and theoretically (models). Nevertheless, a complete stochastic characterization of volatility is still lacking. What it is well…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Michele Pasquini , Maurizio Serva

The inversion formula for conservative multifractal measures was unveiled mathematically a decade ago, which is however not well tested in real complex systems. In this Letter, we propose to verify the inversion formula using high-frequency…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-02-11 Zhi-Qiang Jiang , Wei-Xing Zhou

We present a systematic study of various statistical characteristics of high-frequency returns from the foreign exchange market. This study is based on six exchange rates forming two triangles: EUR-GBP-USD and GBP-CHF-JPY. It is shown that…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-05-24 Stanislaw Drozdz , Jaroslaw Kwapien , Pawel Oswiecimka , Rafal Rak

In this manuscript we present a comprehensive study on the multifractal properties of high-frequency price fluctuations and instantaneous volatility of the equities that compose Dow Jones Industrial Average. The analysis consists about…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Jeferson de Souza , Silvio M. Duarte Queiros

In this paper, we consider daily financial data of a collection of different stock market indices, exchange rates, and interest rates, and we analyze their multi-scaling properties by estimating a simple specification of the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-11-13 Ruipeng Liu , T. Di Matteo , Thomas Lux

Financial time series exhibit a number of interesting properties that are difficult to explain with simple models. These properties include fat-tails in the distribution of price fluctuations (or returns) that are slowly removed at longer…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-11-19 Raoul Golan , Austin Gerig

The total value of domestic market capitalization of the Mexican Stock Exchange was calculated at 520 billion of dollars by the end of November 2013. To manage this system and make optimum capital investments, its dynamics needs to be…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-11-14 Javier Morales , Víctor Tercero , Fernando Camacho , Eduardo Cordero , Luis López , F-Javier Almaguer

We extend and test empirically the multifractal model of asset returns based on a multiplicative cascade of volatilities from large to small time scales. The multifractal description of asset fluctuations is generalized into a multivariate…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-10 J. -F. Muzy , D. Sornette , J. Delour , A. Arneodo

We propose a model of fractal point process driven by the nonlinear stochastic differential equation. The model is adjusted to the empirical data of trading activity in financial markets. This reproduces the probability distribution…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 V. Gontis , B. Kaulakys

We perform an extensive empirical analysis of scaling properties of equity returns, suggesting that financial data show time varying multifractal properties. This is obtained by comparing empirical observations of the weighted generalised…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-12 Raffaello Morales , T. Di Matteo , Tomaso Aste

Long memory and volatility clustering are two stylized facts frequently related to financial markets. Traditionally, these phenomena have been studied based on conditionally heteroscedastic models like ARCH, GARCH, IGARCH and FIGARCH, inter…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-11-13 Sonia R. Bentes , Rui Menezes , Diana A. Mendes

We investigate multifractality in the Korean stock-market index KOSPI. The generalized $q$th order height-height correlation function shows multiscaling properties. There are two scaling regimes with a crossover time around $t_c =40$ min.…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-11-10 Jae Woo Lee , Kyuoung Eun Lee , Per Arne Rikvold

In this paper we perform a statistical analysis of the high-frequency returns of the IBEX35 Madrid stock exchange index. We find that its probability distribution seems to be stable over different time scales, a stylized fact observed in…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-06-05 Pablo Suárez-García , David Gómez-Ullate

Accurate volatility modelling is paramount for optimal risk management practices. One stylized feature of financial volatility that impacts the modelling process is long memory explored in this paper for alternative risk measures, observed…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-03-30 John Cotter

The Mike-Farmer (MF) model was constructed empirically based on the continuous double auction mechanism in an order-driven market, which can successfully reproduce the cubic law of returns and the diffusive behavior of stock prices at the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-05-27 Gao-Feng Gu , Wei-Xing Zhou

Based on the Multifractal Detrended Fluctuation Analysis (MFDFA) and on the Wavelet Transform Modulus Maxima (WTMM) methods we investigate the origin of multifractality in the time series. Series fluctuating according to a qGaussian…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-05-13 Stanislaw Drozdz , Jaroslaw Kwapien , Pawel Oswiecimka , Rafal Rak

In this paper, a statistical analysis of high frequency fluctuations of the IPC, the Mexican Stock Market Index, is presented. A sample of tick-to-tick data covering the period from January 1999 to December 2002 was analyzed, as well as…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-02-14 Léster Alfonso , Danahe E. Garcia-Ramirez , Ricardo Mansilla , César A. Terrero-Escalante

Understanding the statistical properties of recurrence intervals of extreme events is crucial to risk assessment and management of complex systems. The probability distributions and correlations of recurrence intervals for many systems have…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-05-10 Hao Meng , Fei Ren , Gao-Feng Gu , Xiong Xiong , Yong-Jie Zhang , Wei-Xing Zhou , Wei Zhang

In this paper we briefly review the recently inrtroduced Multifractal Random Walk (MRW) that is able to reproduce most of recent empirical findings concerning financial time-series : no correlation between price variations, long-range…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 E. Bacry , J. Delour , J. F. Muzy

This is a short review in honor of B. Mandelbrot's 80st birthday, to appear in W ilmott magazine. We discuss how multiplicative cascades and related multifractal ideas might be relevant to model the main statistical features of financial…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2008-12-02 Lisa Borland , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud , Jean-Francois Muzy , Gilles Zumbach