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This paper develops a probabilistic numerical method for solution of partial differential equations (PDEs) and studies application of that method to PDE-constrained inverse problems. This approach enables the solution of challenging inverse…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-07-12 Jon Cockayne , Chris Oates , Tim Sullivan , Mark Girolami

The emergent field of probabilistic numerics has thus far lacked clear statistical principals. This paper establishes Bayesian probabilistic numerical methods as those which can be cast as solutions to certain inverse problems within the…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-11-15 Jon Cockayne , Chris Oates , Tim Sullivan , Mark Girolami

The numerical solution of differential equations can be formulated as an inference problem to which formal statistical approaches can be applied. However, nonlinear partial differential equations (PDEs) pose substantial challenges from an…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-08-26 Junyang Wang , Jon Cockayne , Oksana Chkrebtii , T. J. Sullivan , Chris. J. Oates

This paper develops meshless methods for probabilistically describing discretisation error in the numerical solution of partial differential equations. This construction enables the solution of Bayesian inverse problems while accounting for…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-20 Jon Cockayne , Chris Oates , Tim Sullivan , Mark Girolami

This work is concerned with the quantification of the epistemic uncertainties induced the discretization of partial differential equations. Following the paradigm of probabilistic numerics, we quantify this uncertainty probabilistically.…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-14 Ilias Bilionis

The interpretation of numerical methods, such as finite difference methods for differential equations, as point estimators allows for formal statistical quantification of the error due to discretisation in the numerical context. Competing…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-23 Junyang Wang , Jon Cockayne , Chris Oates

We deliver a call to arms for probabilistic numerical methods: algorithms for numerical tasks, including linear algebra, integration, optimization and solving differential equations, that return uncertainties in their calculations. Such…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-02-17 Philipp Hennig , Michael A Osborne , Mark Girolami

This work develops a class of probabilistic algorithms for the numerical solution of nonlinear, time-dependent partial differential equations (PDEs). Current state-of-the-art PDE solvers treat the space- and time-dimensions separately,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-03-10 Nicholas Krämer , Jonathan Schmidt , Philipp Hennig

The interpretation of numerical methods, such as finite difference methods for differential equations, as point estimators suggests that formal uncertainty quantification can also be performed in this context. Competing statistical…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2019-09-24 Junyang Wang , Jon Cockayne , Chris J. Oates

In this paper, we present a formal quantification of epistemic uncertainty induced by numerical solutions of ordinary and partial differential equation models. Numerical solutions of differential equations contain inherent uncertainties due…

Probabilistic solvers for ordinary differential equations (ODEs) have emerged as an efficient framework for uncertainty quantification and inference on dynamical systems. In this work, we explain the mathematical assumptions and detailed…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-25 Nicholas Krämer , Nathanael Bosch , Jonathan Schmidt , Philipp Hennig

We propose a fast algorithm for the probabilistic solution of boundary value problems (BVPs), which are ordinary differential equations subject to boundary conditions. In contrast to previous work, we introduce a Gauss--Markov prior and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-16 Nicholas Krämer , Philipp Hennig

A stochastic algorithm is proposed, finding the set of generalized means associated to a probability measure on a compact Riemannian manifold M and a continuous cost function on the product of M by itself. Generalized means include p-means…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-05-28 Marc Arnaudon , Laurent Miclo

Variance parameter estimation in linear mixed models is a challenge for many classical nonlinear optimization algorithms due to the positive-definiteness constraint of the random effects covariance matrix. We take a completely novel view on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-12-20 Lena Sembach , Jan Pablo Burgard , Volker H. Schulz

Computer simulations of differential equations require a time discretization, which inhibits to identify the exact solution with certainty. Probabilistic simulations take this into account via uncertainty quantification. The construction of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-10-15 Philipp Frank , Torsten A. Enßlin

Probabilistic numerical solvers for ordinary differential equations compute posterior distributions over the solution of an initial value problem via Bayesian inference. In this paper, we leverage their probabilistic formulation to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-22 Nathanael Bosch , Filip Tronarp , Philipp Hennig

In this work we present a method, based on the use of Bernstein polynomials, for the numerical resolution of some boundary values problems. The computations have not need of particular approximations of derivatives, such as finite…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-10-20 Gianluca Argentini

Riemannian manifolds provide a principled way to model nonlinear geometric structure inherent in data. A Riemannian metric on said manifolds determines geometry-aware shortest paths and provides the means to define statistical models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-11 Christian Fröhlich , Alexandra Gessner , Philipp Hennig , Bernhard Schölkopf , Georgios Arvanitidis

In this paper, we prove that there exists a unique solution to the Dirichlet boundary value problem for a general class of semilinear second order elliptic partial differential equations. Our approach is probabilistic. The theory of…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-11-19 Tusheng Zhang

In this paper, we present a new iterative approximate method of solving boundary value problems. The idea is to compute approximate polynomial solutions in the Bernstein form using least squares approximation combined with some properties…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2017-09-08 Przemysław Gospodarczyk , Paweł Woźny
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