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Bayesian models of cognition hypothesize that human brains make sense of data by representing probability distributions and applying Bayes' rule to find the best explanation for available data. Understanding the neural mechanisms underlying…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2021-07-02 Milad Kharratzadeh , Thomas R. Shultz

The emergent field of probabilistic numerics has thus far lacked clear statistical principals. This paper establishes Bayesian probabilistic numerical methods as those which can be cast as solutions to certain inverse problems within the…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-11-15 Jon Cockayne , Chris Oates , Tim Sullivan , Mark Girolami

Solving a decision theory problem usually involves finding the actions, among a set of possible ones, which optimize the expected reward, possibly accounting for the uncertainty of the environment. In this paper, we introduce the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-02-19 Damiano Azzolini , Elena Bellodi , Rafael Kiesel , Fabrizio Riguzzi

We formalize the notion of nesting probabilistic programming queries and investigate the resulting statistical implications. We demonstrate that while query nesting allows the definition of models which could not otherwise be expressed,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-07-31 Tom Rainforth

We propose the use of probabilistic programming techniques to tackle the malicious user identification problem in a recommendation algorithm. Probabilistic programming provides numerous advantages over other techniques, including but not…

Computer simulations of differential equations require a time discretization, which inhibits to identify the exact solution with certainty. Probabilistic simulations take this into account via uncertainty quantification. The construction of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-10-15 Philipp Frank , Torsten A. Enßlin

Generative deep learning methods built upon Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) provide a great tool for predicting non-linear structure in cosmology. In this work we predict high resolution dark matter halos from large scale, low…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2022-04-25 David Schaurecker , Yin Li , Jeremy Tinker , Shirley Ho , Alexandre Refregier

In this paper we describe a probabilistic method for estimating the position of an object along with its covariance matrix using neural networks. Our method is designed to be robust to outliers, have bounded gradients with respect to the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-11-22 David Mohlin , Gerald Bianchi , Josephine Sullivan

In this paper we investigate the applicability of standard model checking approaches to verifying properties in probabilistic programming. As the operational model for a standard probabilistic program is a potentially infinite parametric…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2016-07-28 Nils Jansen , Christian Dehnert , Benjamin Lucien Kaminski , Joost-Pieter Katoen , Lukas Westhofen

Most successful machine intelligence systems rely on gradient-based learning, which is made possible by backpropagation. Some systems are designed to aid us in interpreting data when explicit goals cannot be provided. These unsupervised…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-06-05 Aditya Ramesh , Yann LeCun

The Bayesian approach to data analysis provides a powerful way to handle uncertainty in all observations, model parameters, and model structure using probability theory. Probabilistic programming languages make it easier to specify and fit…

The machine learning community has recently put effort into quantized or low-precision arithmetics to scale large models. This paper proposes performing probabilistic inference in the quantized, discrete parameter space created by these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-20 Aleksanteri Sladek , Martin Trapp , Arno Solin

Deep learning algorithms have recently shown to be a successful tool in estimating parameters of statistical models for which simulation is easy, but likelihood computation is challenging. But the success of these approaches depends on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-20 Amanda Lenzi , Haavard Rue

The difficult task of observing Dark Matter subhaloes is of paramount importance since it would constrain Dark Matter particle properties (cold or warm relic) and confirm once again the longstanding $\Lambda$CDM model. In the near future…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2019-10-16 Marco Chianese

Advances in the general capabilities of large language models (LLMs) have led to their use for information retrieval, and as components in automated decision systems. A faithful representation of probabilistic reasoning in these models may…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-04-21 Gabriel Freedman , Francesca Toni

Probabilistic programming languages (PPLs) are an expressive means of representing and reasoning about probabilistic models. The computational challenge of probabilistic inference remains the primary roadblock for applying PPLs in practice.…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2020-10-19 Steven Holtzen , Guy Van den Broeck , Todd Millstein

In this paper, we introduce a method for approximating the solution to inference and optimization tasks in uncertain and deterministic reasoning. Such tasks are in general intractable for exact algorithms because of the large number of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-12-12 David Ephraim Larkin

We present dPASP, a novel declarative probabilistic logic programming framework for differentiable neuro-symbolic reasoning. The framework allows for the specification of discrete probabilistic models with neural predicates, logic…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-08-08 Renato Lui Geh , Jonas Gonçalves , Igor Cataneo Silveira , Denis Deratani Mauá , Fabio Gagliardi Cozman

Probabilistic language models are widely used in Information Retrieval (IR) to rank documents by the probability that they generate the query. However, the implementation of the probabilistic representations with programming languages that…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2016-10-05 Yanshan Wang , Hongfang Liu

Deep neural networks achieve impressive results across diverse applications, yet their overconfidence on unseen inputs necessitates reliable epistemic uncertainty modelling. Existing methods for uncertainty modelling face a fundamental…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-04 Yao Ni , Jeremie Houssineau , Yew Soon Ong , Piotr Koniusz
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