Related papers: A skew true INAR(1) process with application
The Kaczmarz method is successfully used for solving discretizations of linear inverse problems, especially in computed tomography where it is known as ART. Practitioners often observe and appreciate its fast convergence in the first few…
In this paper the asymptotic behavior of an unstable integer-valued autoregressive model of order p (INAR(p)) is described. Under a natural assumption it is proved that the sequence of appropriately scaled random step functions formed from…
This paper proposes a piecewise autoregression for general integer-valued time series. The conditional mean of the process depends on a parameter which is piecewise constant over time. We derive an inference procedure based on a penalized…
This article introduces the GNAR package, which fits, predicts, and simulates from a powerful new class of generalised network autoregressive processes. Such processes consist of a multivariate time series along with a real, or inferred,…
Contemporary time series data often feature objects connected by a social network that naturally induces temporal dependence involving connected neighbours. The network vector autoregressive model is useful for describing the influence of…
We study discrete time Markov processes with periodic or open boundary conditions and with inhomogeneous rates in the bulk. The Markov matrices are given by the inhomogeneous transfer matrices introduced previously to prove the…
The purpose of this paper is to provide a sharp analysis on the asymptotic behavior of the Durbin-Watson statistic. We focus our attention on the first-order autoregressive process where the driven noise is also given by a first-order…
In this article, we discuss some geometric infinitely divisible (gid) random variables using the Laplace exponents which are Bernstein functions and study their properties. The distributional properties and limiting behavior of the…
Many estimators of dynamic discrete choice models with persistent unobserved heterogeneity have desirable statistical properties but are computationally intensive. In this paper we propose a method to quicken estimation for a broad class of…
In this paper, we study law of large numbers, central limit theorem, large and moderate deviations for INAR($\infty$) processes, which as a special case, includes both discrete-time linear Hawkes process and INAR(1) process in the…
The integer autoregressive (INAR) model is one of the most commonly used models in nonnegative integer-valued time series analysis and is a counterpart to the traditional autoregressive model for continuous-valued time series. To guarantee…
In this paper we consider a dynamic computer simulator that produces a time-series response $y_t(x)$ over $L$ time points, for every given input parameter $x$. We propose a method for solving inverse problems, which refer to the finding of…
Sequential scaling is a prominent inference-time scaling paradigm, yet its performance improvements are typically modest and not well understood, largely due to the prevalence of heuristic, non-principled approaches that obscure clear…
We discuss joint temporal and contemporaneous aggregation of $N$ independent copies of strictly stationary AR(1) and INteger-valued AutoRegressive processes of order 1 (INAR(1)) with random coefficient $\alpha \in (0, 1)$ and idiosyncratic…
We propose an Embedding Network Autoregressive Model for multivariate networked longitudinal data. We assume the network is generated from a latent variable model, and these unobserved variables are included in a structural peer effect…
In the present paper, we introduce so-called operator-stable-like processes. Roughly speaking, they behave locally like operator-stable processes, but they need not to be homogenous in space. Having shown existence for this class of…
Binary random variables are the building blocks used to describe a large variety of systems, from magnetic spins to financial time series and neuron activity. In Statistical Physics the Kinetic Ising Model has been introduced to describe…
Score-based models have recently been introduced as a richer framework to model distributions in high dimensions and are generally more suitable for generative tasks. In score-based models, a generative task is formulated using a parametric…
We introduce the notion of intensity reweighted moment pseudostationary point processes on linear networks. Based on arbitrary general regular linear network distances, we propose geometrically corrected versions of different higher-order…
The autoregressive process of order $p$ (AR($p$)) is a central model in time series analysis. A Bayesian approach requires the user to define a prior distribution for the coefficients of the AR($p$) model. Although it is easy to write down…