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Designing control policies for large, distributed systems is challenging, especially in the context of critical, temporal logic based specifications (e.g., safety) that must be met with high probability. Compositional methods for such…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-10-08 Krishna C. Kalagarla , Matthew Low , Rahul Jain , Ashutosh Nayyar , Pierluigi Nuzzo

We present a learning model predictive control (MPC) scheme for chance-constrained Markov jump systems with unknown switching probabilities. Using samples of the underlying Markov chain, ambiguity sets of transition probabilities are…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-01-06 Mathijs Schuurmans , Panagiotis Patrinos

We develop an approach to time-consistent risk evaluation of continuous-time processes in Markov systems. Our analysis is based on dual representation of coherent risk measures, differentiability concepts for multivalued mappings, and a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-01-31 Darinka Dentcheva , Andrzej Ruszczynski

Machine learning continues to grow in popularity in academia, in industry, and is increasingly used in other fields. However, most of the common metrics used to evaluate even simple binary classification models have shortcomings that are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-25 David H. Brown , Davide Chicco

Probabilistic model checking can provide formal guarantees on the behavior of stochastic models relating to a wide range of quantitative properties, such as runtime, energy consumption or cost. But decision making is typically with respect…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2024-03-19 Ingy Elsayed-Aly , David Parker , Lu Feng

This manuscript develops a new framework to analyze and design iterative optimization algorithms built on the notion of Integral Quadratic Constraints (IQC) from robust control theory. IQCs provide sufficient conditions for the stability of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-05-27 Laurent Lessard , Benjamin Recht , Andrew Packard

We consider the problem of defining and fitting models of autoregressive time series of probability distributions on a compact interval of $\mathbb{R}$. An order-$1$ autoregressive model in this context is to be understood as a Markov…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-17 Laya Ghodrati , Victor M. Panaretos

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling is an important and commonly used tool for the analysis of hierarchical models. Nevertheless, practitioners generally have two options for MCMC: utilize existing software that generates a black-box…

Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms are a workhorse of probabilistic modeling and inference, but are difficult to debug, and are prone to silent failure if implemented naively. We outline several strategies for testing the…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2014-12-18 Roger B. Grosse , David K. Duvenaud

This paper presents a time-optimal Model Predictive Control (MPC) scheme for linear discrete-time systems subject to multiplicative uncertainties represented by interval matrices. To render the uncertainty propagation computationally…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-26 Renato Quartullo , Andrea Garulli , Mirko Leomanni

Markov chain analysis is a key technique in formal verification. A practical obstacle is that all probabilities in Markov models need to be known. However, system quantities such as failure rates or packet loss ratios, etc. are often not --…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2023-11-08 Sebastian Junges , Erika Ábrahám , Christian Hensel , Nils Jansen , Joost-Pieter Katoen , Tim Quatmann , Matthias Volk

Transaction-level modeling with SystemC has been very successful in describing the behavior of embedded systems by providing high-level executable models, in which many of them have inherent probabilistic behaviors, e.g., random data and…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2017-12-07 Van Chan Ngo , Axel Legay

We present a novel approach to detecting and utilizing symmetries in probabilistic graphical models with two main contributions. First, we present a scalable approach to computing generating sets of permutation groups representing the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-08-12 Mathias Niepert

We present a novel approach to detecting and utilizing symmetries in probabilistic graphical models with two main contributions. First, we present a scalable approach to computing generating sets of permutation groups representing the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-06-29 Mathias Niepert

Reversible Markov chains play a central role in stochastic modelling and in algorithms such as Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC). Motivated by the fundamental importance of reversibility in classical settings, this paper develops a…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-28 Damjan Škulj

We consider a new class of non Markovian processes with a countable number of interacting components. At each time unit, each component can take two values, indicating if it has a spike or not at this precise moment. The system evolves as…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-12 Antonio Galves , Eva Löcherbach

Verifying the behaviors of autonomous systems with learned perception components is a challenging problem due to the complexity of the perception and the uncertainty of operating environments. Probabilistic model checking is a powerful tool…

Formal Languages and Automata Theory · Computer Science 2025-07-30 Matthew Cleaveland , Pengyuan Lu , Oleg Sokolsky , Insup Lee , Ivan Ruchkin

Besides the different approaches suggested in the literature, accurate estimation of the order of a Markov chain from a given symbol sequence is an open issue, especially when the order is moderately large. Here, parametric significance…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-11-10 Maria Papapetrou , Dimitris Kugiumtzis

This paper deals with the problem of formulating an adaptive Model Predictive Control strategy for constrained uncertain systems. We consider a linear system, in presence of bounded time varying additive uncertainty. The uncertainty is…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-04-13 Monimoy Bujarbaruah , Xiaojing Zhang , Marko Tanaskovic , Francesco Borrelli

Model predictive control (MPC) is a method to formulate the optimal scheduling problem for grid flexibilities in a mathematical manner. The resulting time-constrained optimization problem can be re-solved in each optimization time step…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-08-20 Steven de Jongh , Sina Steinle , Anna Hlawatsch , Felicitas Mueller , Michael Suriyah , Thomas Leibfried
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