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Traditionally, population models distinguish individuals on the basis of their current state. Given a distribution, a discrete time model then specifies (precisely in deterministic models, probabilistically in stochastic models) the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-09-21 B. Boldin , O. Diekmann , J. A. J. Metz

Quasispecies theory predicts that there is a critical mutation probability above which a viral population will go extinct. Above this threshold the virus loses the ability to replicate the best adapted genotype, leading to a population…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-09-26 J. Theodore Cox , Rinaldo B. Schinazi

We consider the Moran model in continuous time with two types, mutation, and selection. We concentrate on the ancestral line and its stationary type distribution. Building on work by Fearnhead (J. Appl. Prob. 39 (2002), 38-54) and Taylor…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-12-09 Sandra Kluth , Thiemo Hustedt , Ellen Baake

We code Galton-Walton trees by a continuous height process, in order to give a precise meaning to the convergence of forests of trees. This allows us to establish the convergence of the forest of genealogical trees of the branching process…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-12 Ibrahima Drame

Power law distributions have been repeatedly observed in a wide variety of socioeconomic, biological and technological areas. In many of the observations, e.g., city populations and sizes of living organisms, the objects of interest evolve…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Predrag R. Jelenkovic , Jian Tan

Under natural assumptions, a Feller type diffusion approximation is derived for critical, irreducible multi-type continuous state and continuous time branching processes with immigration. Namely, it is proved that a sequence of…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-25 Matyas Barczy , Gyula Pap

The time process of transport on randomly evolving trees is investigated. By introducing the notions of living and dead nodes a model of random tree evolution is constructed which describes the spreading in time of objects corresponding to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 L. Pal

The evolution of cooperation often depends upon population structure, yet nearly all models of cooperation implicitly assume that this structure remains static. This is a simplifying assumption, because most organisms possess genetic traits…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-08-03 Simon T. Powers , Alexandra S. Penn , Richard A. Watson

The biological theory of adaptive dynamics proposes a description of the long-term evolution of a structured asexual population. It is based on the assumptions of large population, rare mutations and small mutation steps, that lead to a…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Nicolas Champagnat , Amaury Lambert

We introduce a class of one-dimensional positive Markov processes generalizing continuous-state branching processes (CBs), by taking into account a phenomenon of random collisions. Besides branching, characterized by a general mechanism…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-06-16 Clément Foucart , Matija Vidmar

We consider a family of models describing the evolution under selection of a population whose dynamics can be related to the propagation of noisy traveling waves. For one particular model, that we shall call the exponential model, the…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-13 E. Brunet , B. Derrida , A. H. Mueller , S. Munier

One of the classical questions in evolutionary biology is how evolutionary processes are coupled at the gene and species level. With this motivation, we compare the topological properties (mainly the depth scaling, as a characterization of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2011-07-26 E. Alejandro Herrada , Víctor M. Eguíluz , Emilio Hernández-García , Carlos M. Duarte

We consider a population model where individuals behave independently from each other and whose genealogy is described by a chronological tree called splitting tree. The individuals have i.i.d. (non-exponential) lifetime durations and give…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-05-20 Mathieu Richard

A continuous-state polynomial branching process is constructed as the pathwise unique solution of a stochastic integral equation with absorbing boundary condition. The extinction and explosion probabilities and the mean extinction and…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-09 Pei-Sen Li

Branching processes in a varying environment encompass a wide range of stochastic demographic models, and their complete understanding in terms of limit behaviour poses a formidable research challenge. In this paper, we conduct a thorough…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-18 Serik Sagitov , Alexey Lindo , Yerakhmet Zhumayev

We study the explosion phenomenon of nonlinear continuous-state branching processes (nonlinear CSBPs). First an explicit integral test for explosion is designed when the rate function does not increase too fast. We then exhibit three…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-10 Bo Li , Clément Foucart , Xiaowen Zhou

A controlled branching process (CBP) is a modification of the standard Bienaym\'e-Galton-Watson process in which the number of progenitors in each generation is determined by a random mechanism. We consider a CBP starting from a random…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-26 González , M. , Martín-Chávez , P. , del Puerto , I

We consider a supercritical branching process and define a contact tracing mechanism on its genealogical tree. We calculate the growth rate of the post tracing process, and give conditions under which the tracing is strong enough to drive…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-08-03 M. T. Barlow

Continuous time Bayesian networks (CTBNs) describe structured stochastic processes with finitely many states that evolve over continuous time. A CTBN is a directed (possibly cyclic) dependency graph over a set of variables, each of which…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-07-09 Uri Nodelman , Daphne Koller , Christian R. Shelton

We define a multi-type coalescent point process of a general branching process with finitely many types. This multi-type coalescent fully describes the genealogy of the (quasi-stationary) standing population, providing types along ancestral…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-09-18 Lea Popovic , Mariolys Rivas