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Related papers: Monotone false discovery rate

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We extend conformal prediction to control the expected value of any monotone loss function. The algorithm generalizes split conformal prediction together with its coverage guarantee. Like conformal prediction, the conformal risk control…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-17 Anastasios N. Angelopoulos , Stephen Bates , Adam Fisch , Lihua Lei , Tal Schuster

Penalized regression methods are an attractive tool for high-dimensional data analysis, but their widespread adoption has been hampered by the difficulty of applying inferential tools. In particular, the question "How reliable is the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-13 Patrick Breheny

The use of weights provides an effective strategy to incorporate prior domain knowledge in large-scale inference. This paper studies weighted multiple testing in a decision-theoretic framework. We develop oracle and data-driven procedures…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-05-10 Pallavi Basu , T. Tony Cai , Kiranmoy Das , Wenguang Sun

Large-scale multiple testing is a fundamental problem in high dimensional statistical inference. It is increasingly common that various types of auxiliary information, reflecting the structural relationship among the hypotheses, are…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-07 Hongyuan Cao , Jun Chen , Xianyang Zhang

The false discovery rate (FDR)---the expected fraction of spurious discoveries among all the discoveries---provides a popular statistical assessment of the reproducibility of scientific studies in various disciplines. In this work, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-11-10 Weijie Su , Junyang Qian , Linxi Liu

A monotone version of an empirical Bayes estimator for the parameter of the Borel-Tanner distribution is constructed. Some properties of the estimator's regret risk are illustrated through simulations.

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-10-13 George P. Yanev , Roberto Colson

This paper formulates and solves a sequential detection problem that involves the mutual information (stochastic observability) of a Gaussian process observed in noise with missing measurements. The main result is that the optimal decision…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-05-30 Vikram Krishnamurthy , Robert Bitmead , Michel Gevers , Erik Miehling

In many classification tasks there is a requirement of monotonicity. Concretely, if all else remains constant, increasing (resp. decreasing) the value of one or more features must not decrease (resp. increase) the value of the prediction.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-02 Joao Marques-Silva , Thomas Gerspacher , Martin Cooper , Alexey Ignatiev , Nina Narodytska

We introduce a new stochastic order for the tail dependence between random variables. We then study different measures of tail dependence which are monotone in the proposed order, thereby extending various known tail dependence coefficients…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-08-23 Karl Friedrich Siburg , Christopher Strothmann , Gregor Weiß

This paper studies properties of functions having monotone tails. We extend Theorem 1 of Dhaene et al. (2002a) and show how the tail quantiles of a random variable transformed with a monotone tail function can be expressed as the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-19 Hamza Hanbali , Daniel Linders

This paper continues the line of research initiated in Liu et. al. (2016) on developing a novel framework for multiple testing of hypotheses grouped in a one-way classified form using hypothesis-specific local false discovery rates…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-22 Sanat K. Sarkar , Zhigen Zhao

In hypothesis testing, a false discovery occurs when a hypothesis is incorrectly rejected due to noise in the sample. When adaptively testing multiple hypotheses, the probability of a false discovery increases as more tests are performed.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-22 Wanrong Zhang , Gautam Kamath , Rachel Cummings

Certain monotonicity properties of the Poisson approximation to the binomial distribution are established. As a natural application of these results, exact (rather than approximate) tests of hypotheses on an unknown value of the parameter…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-08-05 Iosif Pinelis

Shape restrictions such as monotonicity on functions often arise naturally in statistical modeling. We consider a Bayesian approach to the problem of estimation of a monotone regression function and testing for monotonicity. We construct a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-08-05 Moumita Chakraborty , Subhashis Ghosal

We develop an efficient simulation algorithm for computing the tail probabilities of the infinite series $S = \sum_{n \geq 1} a_n X_n$ when random variables $X_n$ are heavy-tailed. As $S$ is the sum of infinitely many random variables, any…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-08 Henrik Hult , Sandeep Juneja , Karthyek Murthy

Randomization tests have gained popularity for causal inference under network interference because they are finite-sample valid with minimal assumptions. However, existing procedures are limited as they primarily focus on the existence of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-28 Shunzhuang Huang , Xinran Li , Panos Toulis

Many approaches for multiple testing begin with the assumption that all tests in a given study should be combined into a global false-discovery-rate analysis. But this may be inappropriate for many of today's large-scale screening problems,…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-06-10 James G. Scott , Ryan C. Kelly , Matthew A. Smith , Pengcheng Zhou , Robert E. Kass

Acquisition of data is a difficult task in many applications of machine learning, and it is only natural that one hopes and expects the population risk to decrease (better performance) monotonically with increasing data points. It turns…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-19 Zakaria Mhammedi

The highly influential two-group model in testing a large number of statistical hypotheses assumes that the test statistics are drawn independently from a mixture of a high probability null distribution and a low probability alternative.…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-08 Ruth Heller , Saharon Rosset

Isotonic regression or monotone function estimation is a problem of estimating function values under monotonicity constraints, which appears naturally in many scientific fields. This paper proposes a new Bayesian method with global-local…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-07 Ryo Okano , Yasuyuki Hamura , Kaoru Irie , Shonosuke Sugasawa