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We apply an asymmetric version of Kirman's herding model to volatile financial markets. In the relation between returns and agent concentration we use the square root law proposed by Zhang. This can be derived by extending the idea of a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-11 Friedrich Wagner

One approach to the analysis of stochastic fluctuations in market prices is to model characteristics of investor behaviour and the complex interactions between market participants, with the aim of extracting consequences in the aggregate.…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-02 Erhan Bayraktar , Ulrich Horst , Ronnie Sircar

We propose a model with heterogeneous interacting traders which can explain some of the stylized facts of stock market returns. In the model synchronization effects, which generate large fluctuations in returns, can arise either from an…

adap-org · Physics 2007-05-23 Giulia Iori

Agent-based models provide a constructive approach to studying emergent dynamics in life-like systems composed of interacting, adaptive agents. Financial markets serve as a canonical example of such systems, where collective price dynamics…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-28 Ryuji Hashimoto , Ryosuke Takata , Masahiro Suzuki , Yuki Tanaka , Kiyoshi Izumi

We address microscopic, agent based, and macroscopic, stochastic, modeling of the financial markets combining it with the exogenous noise. The interplay between the endogenous dynamics of agents and the exogenous noise is the primary…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-11-22 Vygintas Gontis

We review the statistical mechanics approach to the study of the emerging collective behavior of systems of heterogeneous interacting agents. The general framework is presented through examples is such contexts as ecosystem dynamics and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2007-05-23 Andrea De Martino , Matteo Marsili

In this paper we provide a comprehensive analysis of a structural model for the dynamics of prices of assets traded in a market originally proposed in [1]. The model takes the form of an interacting generalization of the geometric Brownian…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-06-06 Kartik Anand , Jonathan Khedair , Reimer Kuehn

We study a dynamical Ising model of agents' opinions (buy or sell) with coupling coefficients reassessed continuously in time according to how past external news (magnetic field) have explained realized market returns. By combining herding,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 Wei-Xing Zhou , Didier Sornette

In this paper, we propose a statistical aggregation method for agent-based models with heterogeneous agents that interact both locally on a complex adaptive network and globally on a market. The method combines three approaches from…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2020-11-04 Jakob J. Kolb , Finn Müller-Hansen , Jürgen Kurths , Jobst Heitzig

This paper reviews some of the phenomenological models which have been introduced to incorporate the scaling properties of financial data. It also illustrates a microscopic model, based on heterogeneous interacting agents, which provides a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Giulia Iori

In this study, we investigate the statistical properties of the returns and the trading volume. We show a typical example of power-law distributions of the return and of the trading volume. Next, we propose an interacting agent model of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-09-11 Taisei Kaizoji

Agent-based modeling is a powerful simulation technique to understand the collective behavior and microscopic interaction in complex financial systems. Recently, the concept for determining the key parameters of the agent-based models from…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-03-21 T. T. Chen , B. Zheng , Y. Li , X. F. Jiang

As a typical representation of complex networks studied relatively thoroughly, financial market presents some special details, such as its nonconservation and opinions spreading. In this model, agents congregate to form some clusters, which…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Jie Wang , Chun-Xia Yang , Pei-Ling Zhou , Ying-Di Jin , Tao Zhou , Bing-Hong Wang

A kinetic inhomogeneous Boltzmann-type equation is proposed to model the dynamics of the number of agents in a large market depending on the estimated value of an asset and the rationality of the agents. The interaction rules take into…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2017-02-07 Bertram Düring , Ansgar Jüngel , Lara Trussardi

This paper outlines an agent-based model of a simple financial market in which a single asset is available for trade by three different types of traders. The model was first introduced in the PhD thesis of one of the authors, see reference…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2019-01-17 Elena Green , Daniel M. Heffernan

We present a novel microscopic stock market model consisting of a large number of random agents modeling traders in a market. Each agent is characterized by a set of parameters that serve to make iterated predictions of two successive…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2009-11-07 R. Rothenstein , K. Pawelzik

We propose a model for equity trading in a population of agents where each agent acts to achieve his or her target stock-to-bond ratio, and, as a feedback mechanism, follows a market adaptive strategy. In this model only a fraction of…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2018-11-14 Misha Perepelitsa , Ilya Timofeyev

The three-state agent-based 2D model of financial markets in the version proposed by Giulia Iori in 2002 has been herein extended. We have introduced the increase of herding behaviour by modelling the altering trust of an agent in his…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2013-12-17 Jan A. Lipski , Ryszard Kutner

We study self-organized models for information transmission and herd behavior in financial markets. Existing models are generalized to take into account the effect of size-dependent fragmentation and coagulation probabilities of groups of…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-07 Dafang Zheng , G. J. Rodgers , P. M. Hui , R. D'Hulst

In this paper we present an interacting-agent model of stock markets. We describe a stock market through an Ising-like model in order to formulate the tendency of traders getting to be influenced by the other traders' investment attitudes…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-09-11 Taisei Kaizoji