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The intricate dynamics of stock markets have led to extensive research on models that are able to effectively explain their inherent complexities. This study leverages the econometrics literature to explore the dynamic factor model as an…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-09 Brian Godwin Lim , Dominic Dayta , Benedict Ryan Tiu , Renzo Roel Tan , Len Patrick Dominic Garces , Kazushi Ikeda

In this paper, we study large losses arising from defaults of a credit portfolio. We assume that the portfolio dependence structure is modelled by the Archimedean copula family as opposed to the widely used Gaussian copula. The resulting…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-12 Hengxin Cui , Ken Seng Tan , Fan Yang

Stochastic integrals are defined with respect to a collection $P = (P_i; \, i \in I)$ of continuous semimartingales, imposing no assumptions on the index set $I$ and the subspace of $\mathbb{R}^I$ where $P$ takes values. The integrals are…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-08-20 Constantinos Kardaras

We establish existence of Predictable Forward Performance Processes (PFPPs) in complete markets, which has been previously shown only in the binomial setting. Our market model can be a discrete-time or a continuous-time model, and the…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-09-22 Bahman Angoshtari

Functional It^o calculus is based on an extension of the classical It^o calculus to functionals depending on the entire past evolution of the underlying paths and not only on its current value. The calculus builds on Follmer's…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-11 Siboniso Confrence Nkosi , Farai Julius Mhlanga

In this paper, we are concerned with the optimization of a dynamic investment portfolio when the securities which follow a multivariate Merton model with dependent jumps are periodically invested and proceed by approximating the…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-04-26 Bahareh Afhami , Mohsen Rezapour , Mohsen Madadi , Vahed Maroufy

The aim of this work consists in the study of the optimal investment strategy for a behavioural investor, whose preference towards risk is described by both a probability distortion and an S-shaped utility function. Within a continuous-time…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-04-30 Miklos Rasonyi , Andrea M. Rodrigues

This paper investigates optimal investment and insurance strategies under a mean-variance criterion with path-dependent effects. We use a rough volatility model and a Hawkes process with a power kernel to capture the path dependence of the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-13 Liyuan Cui , Wenyuan Li

Statistical estimation often involves tradeoffs between expensive, high-quality measurements and a variety of lower-quality proxies. We introduce Multiple-Prediction-Powered Inference (MultiPPI): a general framework for constructing…

We propose a model in which, in exchange to the payment of a fixed transaction cost, an insurance company can choose the retention level as well as the time at which subscribing a perpetual reinsurance contract. The surplus process of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-02-13 Salvatore Federico , Giorgio Ferrari , Maria-Laura Torrente

We introduce a fairly general, recombining trinomial tree model in the natural world. Market-completeness is ensured by considering a market consisting of two risky assets, a riskless asset, and a European option. The two risky assets…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-10 Jagdish Gnawali , W. Brent Lindquist , Svetlozar T. Rachev

Individual risk models need to capture possible correlations as failing to do so typically results in an underestimation of extreme quantiles of the aggregate loss. Such dependence modelling is particularly important for managing credit…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-12-11 Michel Denuit , Anna Kiriliouk , Johan Segers

Stochastic portfolio theory aims at finding relative arbitrages, i.e. trading strategies which outperform the market with probability one. Functionally generated portfolios, which are deterministic functions of the market weights, are an…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-19 Patrick Mijatovic

We show that financial correlations exhibit a non-trivial dynamic behavior. We introduce a simple phenomenological model of a multi-asset financial market, which takes into account the impact of portfolio investment on price dynamics. This…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-11 Giacomo Raffaelli , Matteo Marsili

The paper investigates quadratic hedging in a semimartingale market that does not necessarily contain a risk-free asset. An equivalence result for hedging with and without numeraire change is established. This permits direct computation of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-07-08 Aleš Černý , Christoph Czichowsky , Jan Kallsen

Proof that under simple assumptions, such as constraints of Put-Call Parity, the probability measure for the valuation of a European option has the mean derived from the forward price which can, but does not have to be the risk-neutral one,…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-09-05 Nassim N. Taleb

Following a series of works on capital growth investment, we analyse log-optimal portfolios where the return evaluation includes `weights' of different outcomes. The results are twofold: (A) under certain conditions, the logarithmic growth…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-15 Mark Kelbert , Izabella Stuhl , Yuri Suhov

Robust optimization provides a principled framework for decision-making under uncertainty, with broad applications in finance, engineering, and operations research. In portfolio optimization, uncertainty in expected returns and covariances…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-15 Daniel Cunha Oliveira , Grover Guzman , Nick Firoozye

We introduce a price impact model which accounts for finite market depth, tightness and resilience. Its coupled bid- and ask-price dynamics induce convex liquidity costs. We provide existence of an optimal solution to the classical problem…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-04-23 Peter Bank , Moritz Voß

We follow a long path for Credit Derivatives and Collateralized Debt Obligations (CDOs) in particular, from the introduction of the Gaussian copula model and the related implied correlations to the introduction of arbitrage-free dynamic…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2010-02-17 Damiano Brigo , Andrea Pallavicini , Roberto Torresetti