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The problem of establishing out-of-sample bounds for the values of an unkonwn ground-truth function is considered. Kernels and their associated Hilbert spaces are the main formalism employed herein along with an observational model where…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-13 Paul Scharnhorst , Emilio T. Maddalena , Yuning Jiang , Colin N. Jones

We study random compositions of transformations having certain uniform fiberwise properties and prove bounds which in combination with other results yield a quenched central limit theorem equipped with a convergence rate, also in the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-01-08 Olli Hella , Mikko Stenlund

Kernel density estimation (KDE) is integral to a range of generative and discriminative tasks in machine learning. Drawing upon tools from the multidimensional calculus of variations, we derive an optimal weight function that reduces bias…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-07 Sangwoong Yoon , Frank C. Park , Gunsu S Yun , Iljung Kim , Yung-Kyun Noh

Information theory provides principled ways to analyze different inference and learning problems such as hypothesis testing, clustering, dimensionality reduction, classification, among others. However, the use of information theoretic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-09-03 Luis G. Sanchez Giraldo , Murali Rao , Jose C. Principe

This paper presents uniform convergence rates for kernel regression estimators, in the setting of a structural nonlinear cointegrating regression model. We generalise the existing literature in three ways. First, the domain to which these…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-05-08 James A. Duffy

We study the free central limit theorem for not necessarily identically distributed free random variables where the limiting distribution is the semicircle distribution. Starting from an estimate for the Kolmogorov distance between the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-02-15 Makoto Maejima , Noriyoshi Sakuma

We study the estimation, in Lp-norm, of density functions defined on [0,1]^d. We construct a new family of kernel density estimators that do not suffer from the so-called boundary bias problem and we propose a data-driven procedure based on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-29 Karine Bertin , Salima El Kolei , Nicolas Klutchnikoff

Kernel-weighted test statistics have been widely used in a variety of settings including non-stationary regression, inference on propensity score and panel data models. We develop the limit theory for a kernel-based specification test of a…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-05-30 Sid Kankanala , Victoria Zinde-Walsh

We provide new asymptotic theory for kernel density estimators, when these are applied to autoregressive processes exhibiting moderate deviations from a unit root. This fills a gap in the existing literature, which has to date considered…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-08-19 James A. Duffy

Moment restrictions and their conditional counterparts emerge in many areas of machine learning and statistics ranging from causal inference to reinforcement learning. Estimators for these tasks, generally called methods of moments, include…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-14 Heiner Kremer , Yassine Nemmour , Bernhard Schölkopf , Jia-Jie Zhu

Variable kernel density estimation allows the approximation of a probability density by the mean of differently stretched and rotated kernels centered at given sampling points $y_n\in\mathbb{R}^d,\ n=1,\dots,N$. Up to now, the choice of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-05-07 Ilja Klebanov

Mixtures of product distributions are a powerful device for learning about heterogeneity within data populations. In this class of latent structure models, de Finetti's mixing measure plays the central role for describing the uncertainty…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-09-27 Yun Wei , XuanLong Nguyen

A long-standing problem in the construction of asymptotically correct confidence bands for a regression function $m(x)=E[Y|X=x]$, where $Y$ is the response variable influenced by the covariate $X$, involves the situation where $Y$ values…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-12-10 Ali Al-Sharadqah , Majid Mojirsheibani

Density estimation is a fundamental task in statistics and machine learning applications. Kernel density estimation is a powerful tool for non-parametric density estimation in low dimensions; however, its performance is poor in higher…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-08 Joseph A. Gallego , Fabio A. González

The paper presents a new copula based method for measuring dependence between random variables. Our approach extends the Maximum Mean Discrepancy to the copula of the joint distribution. We prove that this approach has several advantageous…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-08-15 Barnabas Poczos , Zoubin Ghahramani , Jeff Schneider

We study random transformations built from intermittent maps on the unit interval that share a common neutral fixed point. We focus mainly on random selections of Pomeu-Manneville-type maps $T_\alpha$ using the full parameter range $0<…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-08-11 Wael Bahsoun , Christopher Bose

We present an analytic method for computing the moments of a sum of independent and identically distributed random variables. The limiting behavior of these sums is very important to statistical theory, and the moment expressions that we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-01-17 Daniel M. Packwood

Let $X=\{X_n: n\in \mathbb{N}\}$ be a linear process with bounded probability density function $f(x)$. Under certain conditions, we use the kernel estimator \[ \frac{2}{n(n-1)h_n} \sum_{1\le i<j\le n}K\Big(\frac{X_i-X_j}{h_n}\Big) \] to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-29 Yudan Xiong , Fangjun Xu

Improving Importance Sampling estimators for rare event probabilities requires sharp approximations of conditional densities. This is achieved for events E_{n}:=(f(X_{1})+...+f(X_{n}))\inA_{n} where the summands are i.i.d. and E_{n} is a…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-02-08 Michel Broniatowski , Virgile Caron

Let $(X_1,\ldots,X_n)$ be an i.i.d. sequence of random variables in $\mathbb{R}^d$, $d\geq 1$. We show that, for any function $\varphi :\mathbb{R}^d\rightarrow\mathbb{R}$, under regularity conditions, \[n^…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-06-07 Bernard Delyon , François Portier