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We consider sequences of tree-valued Markov chains that describe evolving genealogies in Cannings models, and we show their convergence in distribution to tree-valued Fleming-Viot processes. Under the conditions of M\"ohle and Sagitov, this…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-27 Stephan Gufler

We consider importance sampling as well as other properly weighted samples with respect to a target distribution $\pi$ from a different point of view. By considering the associated weights as sojourn times until the next jump, we define…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 S. Malefaki , G. Iliopoulos

The paper is concerned with the equilibrium distributions of continuous-time density dependent Markov processes on the integers. These distributions are known typically to be approximately normal, and the approximation error, as measured in…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-02-06 Sanda N. Socoll , A. D. Barbour

We provide a new strategy built on the divide-and-conquer approach by Lindsten et al. (2017) to investigate the smoothing problem in a hidden Markov model. We employ this approach to decompose a hidden Markov model into sub-models with…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-08-28 Dong Ding , Axel Gandy

Light propagation in an infinite uniform turbid medium is treated as a Markov stochastic process of photons to provide an intuitive framework for photon migration. The macroscopic physical quantities of photon migration are shown to be…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2007-05-23 M. Xu , W. Cai , M. Lax , R. R. Alfano

This paper is concerned with ergodic properties of inhomogeneous Markov processes. Since the transition probabilities depend on initial times, the existing methods to obtain invariant measures for homogeneous Markov processes are not…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-24 Zhenxin Liu , Di Lu

Consider the partial sums {S_t} of a real-valued functional F(Phi(t)) of a Markov chain {Phi(t)} with values in a general state space. Assuming only that the Markov chain is geometrically ergodic and that the functional F is bounded, the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Ioannis Kontoyiannis , Sean Meyn

We present a reachability based approach to establish unique ergodicity of non-linear filter processes where state space of a hidden Markov model is a compact Polish metric space and the observation space is a Polish metric space. We also…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-16 Yunus Emre Demirci , Serdar Yüksel

Herein, we analyze an efficient branching particle method for asymptotic solutions to a class of continuous-discrete filtering problems. Suppose that $t\to X_t$ is a Markov process and we wish to calculate the measure-valued process…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Michael A. Kouritzin , Wei Sun

In this paper we consider the convergence of the conditional entropy to the entropy rate for Markov chains. Convergence of certain statistics of long range dependent processes, such as the sample mean, is slow. It has been shown in Carpio…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-29 Andrew Feutrill , Matthew Roughan

Sequential Bayesian Filtering aims to estimate the current state distribution of a Hidden Markov Model, given the past observations. The problem is well-known to be intractable for most application domains, except in notable cases such as…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-16 Théophile Cantelobre , Carlo Ciliberto , Benjamin Guedj , Alessandro Rudi

In the analysis of Markov chains and processes, it is sometimes convenient to replace an unbounded state space with a "truncated" bounded state space. When such a replacement is made, one often wants to know whether the equilibrium behavior…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-24 Alex Infanger , Peter W. Glynn

In the paper, we study a new rate of convergence estimate for homogeneous discrete-time nonlinear Markov chains based on the Markov-Dobrushin condition. This result generalizes the convergence estimates for any positive number of transition…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-22 Aleksandr A. Shchegolev

In this work, we characterise the statistics of Markov chains by constructing an associated sequence of periodic differential operators. Studying the density of states of these operators reveals the absolutely continuous invariant measure…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-09-22 Bryn Davies , Angelica Yu Xiao

We introduce a multivariate hidden Markov model to jointly cluster time-series observations with different support, i.e. circular and linear. Relying on the general projected normal distribution, our approach allows for bimodal and/or…

Applications · Statistics 2015-01-27 Gianluca Mastrantonio , Antonello Maruotti , Giovanna Jona Lasinio

We consider the convergence of a continuous-time Markov chain approximation X^h, h>0, to an R^d-valued Levy process X. The state space of X^h is an equidistant lattice and its Q-matrix is chosen to approximate the generator of X. In…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-02 Aleksandar Mijatović , Matija Vidmar , Saul Jacka

In the present paper, we consider random invariant densities and the mean ergodic theorem for Markov operator cocycles which are applicable to quenched type random dynamical systems. We give necessary and sufficient conditions for the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-07-27 Fumihiko Nakamura , Hisayoshi Toyokawa

We prove the convergence of the law of grid-valued random walks, which can be seen as time-space Markov chains, to the law of a general diffusion process. This includes processes with sticky features, reflecting or absorbing boundaries and…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-15 Alexis Anagnostakis , Antoine Lejay , Denis Villemonais

Any discrete quantum process is represented by a sequence of quantum channels. We consider ergodic quantum processes obtained by a map that takes the points along the trajectory of a discrete ergodic dynamical system to the space of quantum…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2022-07-29 Ramis Movassagh , Jeffrey Schenker

Perturbation theory for Markov chains addresses the question how small differences in the transitions of Markov chains are reflected in differences between their distributions. We prove powerful and flexible bounds on the distance of the…

Computation · Statistics 2017-02-27 Daniel Rudolf , Nikolaus Schweizer